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Very interesting thread.Like your strategy,No New Orleans.
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laying the draw
Aston Villa : 62 Sunderland : 62 Draw : -192.20 |
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backed the draw at 2.2 for £165
Villa : -103 Sunderland : -103 Draw 5.80 |
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good luck, beggs
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thanks mate, my ar se is going a bit lol
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What happened?
Did you not back out as soon as possible when Sunderland scored? I am thinking about trying this myself, but there are high risks if the wrong team scores first. |
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the price of the draw dropped to 3.4. wouldve been quite a big loss anyway, picked the wrong game this evening, lets just hope i get away with it (again)
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What odds did you initially lay the Draw score for?
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4.1
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I am wondering if there may have been some potential in backing FT Score 1v1?
I would assume that this would have been above 4.1, so the only score that may have destroyed the bet would have been 2v2... |
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The best little spaniard we know, just stay 1-1 at Villa Park and ill thank the betfair gods (im an everton fan by the way)
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phew
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Dodged one there.... :)
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indeed.
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NEW BANK :199.42
200 proving very difficult lol |
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This defo wont work in the long run if you have to "dodge one" every fifth game ;) Need a good plan for what to do when things go wrong..
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Beggs is it full bank everytime or level out when a target is reached? Lucky tonight well done but the hit wouldnt have been so bad if you had traded out after the first goal would it?
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Larst makes a good point the exit strategy needs something . . . Personally i dont mind trading out for a loss occasionly. . .
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If you layed at 4.1 and could have sold at 3.4 you loss would have been around 12pounds, not too bad imo.
I have been thinking about a couple of strategies. How about this then, - Fint two or three games that you want to lay the draw. Wait until 20 min have been played, if the game is still 0-0 then lay the draw. This way you can reduce your liability. If the stays 0-0 then you should proably back out at 2ish. |
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think my ego is taking priority unfortunately (just dont want to red out) when i make 200 im going to farm the £150 into the reserve banks and start with the £50 pounds again (with three £100 banks in hand) Ive had four games now that have hung me out to dry and ive had to "escape"
Wolfsburg v Kazan - Kazan scored first price dropped and I didnt get out for a very small loss - Lesson 1 - take the small loss Leeds v Millwall - Millwall scored first and i got out for a small win Lesson 1 - Taken this rime West Ham v Wolves - price of draw went down when wolves scored (surprisingly for me) Lesson 2 - Shouldve got out and took the loss and now tonight Villa v Sunderland seems as though there is a common trend. REMIND ME NEXT TIME GUYS GET OUT!!!!! |
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does not matter if u have 1 bank or 5 or 50,your risking to much on each bet,your in to much of a hurry reduce your liabilty now before you lose bank 1.
and dont trade out,how many goals come in the last 15 mins,take the hit and move on. |
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You need to write down your exit strategy rules, stick them on your monitor and follow them! Redding-up is part of the game and you should get as used to taking the small losses as taking the wins, before that bullet hits the target :)
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Disagree with ibrox srongly take the hit and red out, patience and discipline is all. . . .
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disagree with bridgeboy lol,if u are laying at under 4 and cant take the odd hit you are staking to much imo,but every body diffrent i lay many draws and take the hit,late goals i luv em
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I think it goes without saying that i need to drop my stakes considerably, that was my cack-handed way of doing it by spreading profit into the background, it seems as though i was much more careful when i started
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price to good to miss here,
laying the draw Brondby v Koge (0-2) Layed the draw @ 4.5 for £20 Brondby : 20 Koge : 20 Draw : -70 |
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at 5.32 i layed brondby @ 4.4,HOW DOES THAT WORK M8
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couldnt tell u ibrox, I just saw 0-2 draw was 4.5 i put my bet on it instantly went to 4.7, that WAS THE PRICE!
what else can i say? |
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NEW BANK :219.35
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good going mate anymore for tonite?
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Yep
aying the draw Napoli v Juventus for £30 @ 3.4 at 7.36pm lol Napoli : £30.00 Juventus : : £30.00 Draw : -£72.00 |
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Now what? ;)
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get out at 3.8 before an equaliser comes.....profit is profit
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I backed 0-0 at 11, and laid the draw at 3.40.
I backed out at 3.9 and broke even... |
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out at 3.55 for £29
Napoli : £1.00 Juve : £1.00 Draw : £1.95 |
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So, that 5 games in a row or something that the wrong team has scored first? ;)
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bet you glad you got out now
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yep, was always gonna get out ay half time though
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yes Lars but only 1 game where i lost a penny, bit of tweaking and experience and im confident this systen could fly
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Jupp, I agree. Im trying this myself, but Im also backing 0-0 pre KO and laying the draw pre KO. Not sure if thats the way to go tbh. It does feel a bit safer though.
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