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Huracan v Banfield
1-0 @ 14.50 2-1 @ 19.50 Racing Club v Tigre 1-1 @ 8.80 G-Osaka v Chiba 0-0 @ 22 Hiroshima v Kyoto 2-0 @ 10 3-0 @ 17.50 Kashiwa v Kawasaki 0-1 @ 10 |
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Istres v Caen 2-1 @ 17.50***won***
Niigata v FC Tokyo 0-2 @ 18.50 |
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68 from 968 @ 19.32 ( 35.7% ROI )
Koblenz v St Pauli 1-0 @ 15 Leeds v Huddersfield 0-1 @ 21 Ascoli v Reggina AU @ 17 Brescia v Empoli 0-1 @ 11.50 0-2 @ 28 1-2 @ 16.50 Dortmund v Nurnberg 0-1 @ 15.50 1-2 @ 20 Grosseto v Ancona AU @ 16.50 Mantova v Salernitana AU @ 15 Sassuolo v Padova 0-1 @ 11.50 AU @ 16.50 Stuttgart v Bochum 0-1 @ 21 Triestina v Crotone 0-1 @ 11 Wolfsburg v Freiburg 0-1 @ 29 2-0 @ 11.50 Aston Villa v Hull 0-1 @ 27 Blackpool v Barnsley 0-1 @ 15.50 Cardiff v Preston 0-1 @ 16.50 Celtic v Aberdeen 1-2 @ 38 Crewe v Lincoln 0-0 @ 17 Derby v West Brom 0-0 @ 15 0-1 @ 10 MK Dons v Yeovil 0-1 @ 17.50 1-2 @ 19.50 Norwich v Oldham 0-0 @ 16 1-1 @ 9.80 Rochdale v Macclesfield 0-1 @ 22 Grasshoppers Zurich v FC Zurich 0-0 @ 18 |
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Crewe v Lincoln 0-0 @ 17 ***won***
69 from 997 @ 19.29 ( 33.5% ROI ) Nautico v Avai 0-1 @ 18 1-0 @ 14.50 3-1 @ 20 Tucuman v Colon 1-3 @ 46 |
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Nautico v Avai 0-1 @ 18 ***won***
70 from 1001 @ 19.27 ( 34.8% ROI ) Levante v Rec de Huelva 0-1 @ 11.50 1-3 @ 50 Genclerbirligi v Denizlispor 0-1 @ 21 1-2 @ 27 Utrecht v Ajax 0-1 @ 12 1-0 @ 27 Giannina v Iraklis 0-1 @ 11.50 |
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Getting to be a brilliant sample, mate.... :)
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A big sample is a good sample!
Fiorentina v Atalanta 0-1 @ 20 1-2 @ 29 Genoa v Parma 0-1 @ 16 Napoli v Bari 1-2 @ 20 Siena v Catania 0-1 @ 10.50 Trabzonspor v Ankaragucu 0-0 @ 13.50 FC Koln v W Bremen 0-0 @ 16.50 Ergotelis v Kavala 0-1 @ 11.50 FC Basel v Bellinzona 0-0 @ 34 2-0 @ 9.20 Luzern v Aarau 0-0 @ 20 Randers v Koge 0-1 @ 14.50 Young Boys v Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 @ 36 2-0 @ 11 3-0 @ 15.50 Auxerre v Nancy 0-1 @ 13 0-2 @ 32 1-2 @ 20 Boulogne v Lens 1-3 @ 30 Austria Karnten v LASK Linz 0-1 @ 18 Panionios v AEK 0-1 @ 9.80 Galatasaray v Buyuksehir 0-1 @ 36 Villarreal v Getafe 0-2 @ 34 |
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just 15 mins to go in the Werder game! well done
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The only one though Jens' ...
been an 'ordinary' week... FC Koln v W Bremen 0-0 @ 16.50 ***won*** 71 from 1031 @ 19.23 ( 32.4% ROI ) Newells v Arsenal FC 0-1 @ 22 1-3 @ 160 ( Maybe Arsenal FC can turn it around ! ? ) |
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Newells v Arsenal FC
1-2 at 58mins ........!!!! |
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1-2 FT = torture !
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71 from 1033 @ 19.23 ( 32.2% ROI )
Nantes v Arles 0-2 @ 29 Vicenza v Piacenza 0-1 @ 13 0-2 @ 30 1-2 @ 18.50 Setubal v Sp Lisbon 1-0 @ 15.50 GL All... |
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71 from 1038 @ 19.23 ( 31.5% ROI )
Frosinone v Brescia 0-1 @ 10.50 Grosseto v Albinoleffe 0-1 @ 14 Reggina v Sassuolo 0-1 @ 13.50 0-2 @ 32 Atl Madrid v Porto 0-1 @ 15 Barnet v Accrington S 1-0 @ 10 Barrow v Oxford Utd 1-0 @ 13 FC Zurich v AC Milan 0-0 @ 17 1-0 @ 30 Leicester v Bristol City 0-2 @ 29 Luton v Rotherham 1-0 @ 10.50 Preston v Derby 0-2 @ 30 Stockport v Torquay 0-1 @ 13.50 Swansea v Plymouth 1-2 @ 27 West Brom v Cardiff 0-1 @ 19 1-2 @ 20 Middlesbrough v Blackpool 0-2 @ 42 1-2 @ 22 Reading v C Palace 0-1 @ 12.50 1-0 @ 9 GL All. |
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Reggina v Sassuolo 0-2 @ 32**won***
( Blackpool !! ) 72 from 1058 @ 19.41 ( 32.1% ROI ) Colon v Godoy Cruz 0-0 @ 14 Independiente v Argentinos Juniors 0-1 @ 14 |
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2 up
and a 32 winner well done |
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2 up
and a 32 winner well done |
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72 from 1059 @ 19.41 ( 31.9% ROI )
Dinamo Kiev v Barcelona 1-0 @ 22 Inter v Rubin Kazan 0-1 @ 24 1-1 @ 9.20 Olympiacos v Arsenal 0-2 @ 29 gl All. |
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What's the highest odds you've had come in so far??
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Fatal, thanks for the thread, interesting following the last few weeks.
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72 from 1063 @ 19.41 ( 31.5% ROI )
Rocket ..( Millwall v Wycombe 0-2 @ 80***won*** ) is the biggest win 'so far' Thanx Cynth.. ...stay tuned... |
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Lille v St Etienne
1-2 @ 27 Toulouse v Sochaux 0-2 @ 34 1-2 @ 21 |
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North Queensland v Perth
AU @ 13.50 |
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Aachen v Paderborn
0-1 @ 15 0-2 @ 30 Kaiserslautern v Koblenz 0-1 @ 27 Antalyaspor v Galatasaray 0-0 @ 13.50 Wisla Krakow v Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 @ 27 1-1 @ 11 1-2 @ 40 Westerlo v Anderlecht 1-0 @ 17 Brighton v Colchester 0-0 @ 13 GL All. |
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Fatal an interesting thread, I assume you have a method for scraping the prices of betfair into your spreadsheet, how do you do this?
I have figures for correct scores but it's too laborious to cross check them against betfair. |
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72 from 1076 @ 19.41 ( 29.9% ROI )
Roman - you can click and drag from bottom right cnr of any cs market to top left cnr , copy then paste into excel spreadsheet.... GL. |
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Wellington v Sydney
0-0 @ 15 |
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Motherwell v Celtic
0-0 @ 16 Bochum v B Munich 0-0 @ 17.50 1-0 @ 28 Crotone v Gallipoli 0-1 @ 12 0-2 @ 30 1-2 @ 17 Empoli v Vicenza 0-1 @ 15.50 1-2 @ 22 Freiburg v FC Koln 1-3 @ 44 Frosinone v Cittadella 0-1 @ 12 Hoffenheim v Frankfurt 0-1 @ 26 Lecce v Ascoli 0-1 @ 19 0-2 @ 55 Modena v Mantova 0-1 @ 13 1-2 @ 17.50 Piacenza v Grosseto AU @ 18 Salernitana v Albinoleffe AU @ 18 Torino v Sassuolo 1-2 @ 21 Aris Thes. v Asteras Tripolis 0-1 @ 14.50 1-2 @ 29 1-3 @ 120 |
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I've generated some cs for the leagues I cover - it's only a preliminary investigation inspired by your work - i was already covering one correct score angle i've found, that's what made me look at your thread.
Anyway for the games we've both covered and the scores you suggest I'd be happy to get invovlved at the following prices (if i was anymore than paper trading) Bochum v Munich 0-0 @ 17.3 or more 1-0 @ 18.0 or more Freiburg v Koln 1-3 at 36.3 or more Hoffenheim v Frankfurt 0-1 at 16.6 or more. |
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I assume 1860 Munchen game is the reserves, I have them down as playing FC Augsberg.
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This may or may not help, but ive found that calculating 'percieved value odds' alone is not enough.. when i incorporated the weight of money in the market into calculations, thats when results improved noticeably.
ie; 1-0 @ 28 for Bochum v B Munich may represent value by my 'calculations but if there is 'plenty' of money willing to lay it in the cs market, then perhaps its not actually value ?? If you can find a 2nd 'factor to confirm your first , then i'd recommend using it. GL |
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1860 Munich v Augsburg
is bundesliga 2 - i found no 'value' in it. |
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Just pasted a couple of matches into a spreadsheet just to set the mechanism up for comparing with betfair at a glance, to start some proper testing later..
I'm not recommending these as selections but it threw up the following as value Brentford v Leeds 1-0 @ 16 2-0 @ 34 3-0 @ 110 Huddersfield v Gillingham 2-0 @ 8.6 3-0@ 12.5 It's just a coincidence that these feature the home team to nils. |
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I appreciate your comment about a second factor and will give this further thought. Apart from my original angle i'm at a very early stage.
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Good luck, keep us posted...
FSV Frankfurt v Rot-Weiss Ahlen 0-2 @ 27 Barnsley v Newcastle 2-0 @ 30 2-1 @ 18 Birmingham v West Ham 0-1 @ 12 1-3 @ 44 Bolton v Man City 1-0 @ 17 2-1 @ 18.50 Brentford v Leeds 0-0 @ 13.50 1-0 @ 16 |
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Burton v Aldershot
0-0 @ 13.50 Carlisle v Wycombe 0-0 @ 14.50 Dag and Red v Bury 1-0 @ 10.50 Huddersfield v Gillingham 0-0 @ 19 L Orient v MK Dons 2-0 @ 23 Notts Co v Accrington S 0-2 @ 50 1-2 @ 22 Oldham v Exeter 0-2 @ 21 Rangers v St Johnstone 0-0 @ 23 Reading v Scunthorpe 0-1 @ 21 0-2 @ 46 Sheff Utd v C Palace 0-1 @ 13.50 Shrewsbury v Grimsby 0-2 @ 42 Southampton v Tranmere 0-0 @ 18 Stockport v Charlton 1-0 @ 18 Torquay v Darlington 1-2 @ 25 Watford v Derby 1-0 @ 9.80 Yeovil v Norwich 2-0 @ 29 Lech Poznan v Korona 0-1 @ 22 1-1 @ 9.60 1-2 @ 30 Albacete v Levante AU @ 16 FC Wiener Neustadt v LASK Linz 0-1 @ 25 1-1 @ 10.50 Iraklis v Panathinaikos 2-1 @ 30 Rapid Vienna v SV Ried 2-0 @ 9 SV Kapfenberg v Mattersburg 0-2 @ 27 Sp Lisbon v Leiria 1-1 @ 9.60 1-2 @ 36 Fenerbahce v Ankaragucu 0-1 @ 28 Lens v Nice 1-2 @ 15.50 Heerenveen v Feyenoord 0-2 @ 26 1-0 @ 14.50 Twente v Breda 0-1 @ 32 2-0 @ 9 Barcelona v Espanyol 0-0 @ 28 3-0 @ 9 Club Brugge v KV Mechelen 0-0 @ 19 0-1 @ 32 PSV v AZ Alkmaar 2-0 @ 9.60 gl all. |
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Aris Thes. v Asteras Tripolis 0-1 @ 14.50 ***won***
Brentford v Leeds 0-0 @ 13.50 ***won*** Notts Co v Accrington S 1-2 @ 22 ***won*** Heerenveen v Feyenoord 0-2 @ 26 ***won*** 76 from 1147 @ 19.39 ( 28.5% ROI ) Argentinos Juniors v Huracan 0-1 @ 19.50 0-2 @ 55 1-2 @ 27 1-3 @ 140 |
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Cartagena v Salamanca
0-3 @ 100 1-3 @ 55 Atromitos v Xanthi 0-2 @ 24 1-2 @ 18.50 Bielefeld v Union Berlin 0-1 @ 19 Fortuna Dusseldorf v Oberhausen 0-1 @ 22 0-2 @ 48 Larissa v Panionios 0-1 @ 10.50 St Pauli v G Furth 1-0 @ 10.50 |
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ADO Den Haag v Heracles
1-0 @ 11.50 3-1 @ 28 Vitesse v Utrecht 3-0 @ 48 Willem II v Roda JC 0-1 @ 13 Legia Warsaw v Arka Gdynia 0-1 @ 20 1-2 @ 44 1-3 @ 290 AC Milan v Palermo 0-1 @ 26 Atalanta v Inter 1-0 @ 21 2-1 @ 25 Catania v Livorno 0-1 @ 13 Lausanne v Young Boys 0-2 @ 8.60 Olympiacos v Panthrakikos 0-0 @ 30 Sturm Graz v Austria Vienna 0-1 @ 13 Academica v Leixoes 1-2 @ 22 Betis v Gimnastic 0-1 @ 14 Cadiz v Las Palmas 1-3 @ 46 Getafe v Tenerife 0-1 @ 17 0-2 @ 36 Maritimo v Rio Ave 1-2 @ 21 Paris St-G v St Etienne 0-1 @ 16.50 1-2 @ 26 Sochaux v Grenoble 0-2 @ 34 1-2 @ 21 Toulouse v Montpellier 1-3 @ 60 Valladolid v Malaga 0-1 @ 14 Wolfsburg v Dortmund 0-1 @ 19 1-0 @ 13.50 AEK v Levadiakos 0-1 @ 27 0-2 @ 110 1-1 @ 11.50 1-2 @ 42 Atl Madrid v Villarreal 0-0 @ 18.50 0-2 @ 29 Braga v Naval 1-1 @ 11 Gent v Genk 1-2 @ 18 Sampdoria v Roma 0-2 @ 20 Gijon v Sevilla 0-0 @ 12 Newells v San Lorenzo 1-3 @ 110 GL All... |
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Tigre v River Plate
0-0 @ 14.50 2-0 @ 32 |
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Catania v Livorno 0-1 @ 13***won***
77 from 1201 @ 19.30 ( 23.7% ROI ) Reggina v Triestina 0-1 @ 12.50 0-2 @ 30 West Brom v QPR 0-1 @ 22 Tucuman v Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 @ 21 Been an 'ordinary' couple of weeks now, and the ROI has taken a hit , but hopefully it rebounds now and i can plough on to 100 winners asap... |