No point in explaining anything to you greenviking, your mind is already made up.

g/l fool.

Martin654, Kenilworth,.... Inventor of infamous "impossible to loose 8 in row Football System" (which turned out to be just fruitcake plan),.... was spot on with his comment :)

Martin, I'm not sure what you are referring to, could you explain ?

Why do so many people insist on using the phrase 'true odds'? 

Whatever the sport there is simply no way of knowing the true odds for any event.

To quote General Midwinter, Never has been, never will be - end of.

Martin654, Kenilworth,.... Inventor of infamous "impossible to loose 8 in row Football System" (which turned out to be just fruitcake plan),.... was spot on with his comment :)

Martin, I'm not sure what you are referring to, could you explain ?


I think he's got you confused with kenniky

If he's betting favourites blind then he's betting below the true odds and he will fail.

greenviking
 
Scotbet totally agree noone knows the true odds of an event happening.Also the same event doesnt happen often enough for these so called edges to apply.Everyone thats on this thread is full of excrement ..............................................................

OK greenviking, either you are full of excrement yourself or you are therefore implying that you are not & as such superior to other posters. I think the latter cannot be true in your case.

My other posting about not bothering to explain anything to you was in reference to what I was originally going to post about the databases that I have that do allow the user to form a reasonable idea of the probabilities of an event taking place. I subsequently deleted most of what I had typed because frankly I didn't think you were worth the effort. For having only supplied partial information in that last post I apologise.

You sir are still a plank.

g/l

Casino's love Fibonacci.  Funny that...

Scotbet

I'm very happy to discuss that with you.

Can you give me an example of a system that increases the stake after a loss that is not doomed to fail?  Then we can have a look at it.

Top2rated, I would seriously think twice about increasing stakes after a losing day, or after anyday for that matter. The distribution of winners and losers in any system like this would be completely random.

Even if an edge does exist, you are getting straight into the martingale scenario. Sooner or later you are guaranteed to hit a losing run & to tap out.

PS - do you happen to have the BSPs of the losers readily to hand?

Artisan                       
                       
You asked if I could give an example of a system that                        
increases the stake after a loss that is not doomed                       
to fail                       
                       
Yes , a controlled or regulated system                        
and this is how I try to achieve this                        
                       
1st of all I look for 3 main things when entering                       
into a system.                       
                       
1) Steady Strike Rate                       
2) Steady Steady Price (Risk)                       
3) Obtaining  a level staking profit                       
                       
This is very very hard - however its what I try to do                       
                       
I then work out my ranges of ROI and broadly I                        
try to achieve a mid target.                       
                       
However I only  start "moving" my staking UP and DOWN when                       
I go out of my minimum & maximum targets                       
                       
So for example , lets say I have a mid target                       
of 6% - with say bottom & top ranges  2% either side                       
of.                       
                       
So basically , I can reduce my staking because I feel the system                       
is over performng , or increase if it's under performing                        
AND IT'S NOT JUST BASED ON FINANCE.                       
                       
Usually , I make my adjustments only after                       
10% of my total bets ( based on 3 season moving                       
averages ) have gone                        
                       
I only bet on trends , bit like the guy who started                       
betting on the DRAWS in the EPL last season as                       
he felt a correction was coming.