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mesmerised
16 Aug 24 18:47
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Date Joined: 10 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 41,219 | Blogger: mesmerised's blog
thought I'd do this again for the new season, attempting to predict all 380 Premier League match results and correct scores, along with some accas, using the same mug bookie odds to compare and contrast whilst making it more challenging. If not every match then as many as I can as may not be around all season, but should be for most at least.

Totals to beat from 22/23 seasons
Match Odds: +10.375pts
Correct Scores:+94.5pts
Accas: +30.84pts

expecting the same slow start as last time til I become accustomed to the the new new teams, managers, players etc.

will give the other 7 people on the forum something to look at whilst slobbering over the Racing Post of a Saturday morning

will post a pretty table in the updates to make it as clear and as easy to follow as possible

it's a tall order but I've beat the bookies before and can do it again Cool



Kind Regards.

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Replies: 501
By:
mesmerised
When: 16 Aug 24 18:50
1. Man United 2-0 Fulham @ 1.6 and 10.0

will post the other 9 matches soon and the accas
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 16 Aug 24 18:50
Better get skates on for man yoo v fullham
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 16 Aug 24 18:51
Ah, well done, and good luck.
By:
Emitdeb
When: 16 Aug 24 18:57
I just knew the expert Fantasy football league genius would reappear shortly after the deadline.. Laugh
By:
everyone's a winner
When: 16 Aug 24 19:02
nice one, good luck with it
By:
mesmerised
When: 16 Aug 24 20:25
thanks Donny, EAW, good to see familiar names


Game Week 1


...........


Full Totals to beat from 22/23 seasons

Match Odds: +10.375pts
188 correct results out of 380 matches  = 49.5%
8 (twice) was the most in any given game week
Ave. = 4.9 correct per week.

Correct Scores:+94.5pts
34 correct out 380 = 8.9%
4 was the most in any given game week
Ave. 0.89 correct per week

Accas: +30.84pts
7 correct from 77 = 9.09%
2 was the most in any given game week
Ave. 0.18 correct per weekPlain


God knows how this Slot guy will get on, he looks and sounds like a toned down version of Klopp but I'd punt he'll get them top 4 based on what I've seen so far, never heard of Hürzeler, how many times can Brighton pluck a random manager from nowhere and get away with it, Maresca looks a bit clueless but he was signed by Boehly so that was probably part of the job description, think Lopetegui will do well With Wham, no idea about the second coming McKenna either but they'll probably be a Luton and punch above their weight all season before being relegated. Ten Haag continues to look like he's won a managerial competition to take over United, no player can take a coach on the sidelines wearing a flat cap seriously. Will probably be replaced by Van Nistlerooy by the time the international break comes round.

Kind Regards.
By:
The Dragon
When: 17 Aug 24 09:02
Thanks Mes - Interesting read as always- Good Luck m8
By:
vidou
When: 17 Aug 24 09:08
Will follow with interest again mes - GL for the season
By:
Storm Alert
When: 17 Aug 24 09:41
Good luck with it Mes. Excellent result in 22/23, given how the bookies generally have match betting stitched up.
By:
mesmerised
When: 19 Aug 24 22:18
[   This image is no longer available.   ]

a poor start but it's how you finish, T*ttenham mugs let me down, would have been in the black if they'd have won.

Thanks, Storm, Dragon and Vidou.

On to next week.

Kind Regards.
By:
mesmerised
When: 19 Aug 24 22:19
Well that went well

[   This image is no longer available.   ]
By:
Emitdeb
When: 20 Aug 24 00:31
Good effort Mes! Laugh... 2/10

On the top line you have PREDICTION twice...

You should enter Dragons and Aspros correct score competition, (seems rude not to) imo.
By:
The Dragon
When: 20 Aug 24 08:43
early doors mes, form lines get easier after 5 games imvho- early season games always difficult from a betting perspective.

gl this week
By:
mesmerised
When: 23 Aug 24 13:14
Game Week 2

By:
vidou
When: 23 Aug 24 13:59
Laugh Filth
By:
Emitdeb
When: 23 Aug 24 14:04
Wow!.. and he wonders why he was bullied at school! Crazy
By:
sofaking
When: 24 Aug 24 02:20
Good luck kid. Grin
By:
mesmerised
When: 25 Aug 24 18:38


a sea or red this week, good news is next week can't get much worse, a couple of near misses with correct scores, other than that, not very good. Acca's and correct scores can sky rocket on any given week, so really it's the match predictions results that need to be steadied. Kind Regards.
By:
Emitdeb
When: 25 Aug 24 23:49
On the top line you have PREDICTION twice...
By:
sofaking
When: 26 Aug 24 02:10

Aug 25, 2024 -- 11:49PM, Emitdeb wrote:


On the top line you have PREDICTION twice...


Think he meant "RESULT". Wink

By:
Emitdeb
When: 27 Aug 24 12:55
Yeah that's what I was thinking also.. He wont change it though, as a sort of proof he doesn't read any of our posts! Wink
By:
Emitdeb
When: 27 Aug 24 13:00
I was just thinking, you'd be hard pressed to make worse predictions than these so far!
By:
penzance
When: 27 Aug 24 17:08
Thought he copied that table from election night.
By:
mesmerised
When: 28 Aug 24 19:01


posting this now as I'm busy with the US Open and will otherwise probably forget

with the acca's, going to the same well for goals, goals, goals all round

so it is feast, or it's famine

Kind Regards.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 28 Aug 24 19:08
Motd will be fun.

Good luck.
By:
Clarky9
When: 31 Aug 24 12:59
Isn't this the guy who said to lay Haaland at 9/2 for top scorer?
By:
Emitdeb
When: 31 Aug 24 13:23
Laugh
By:
Emitdeb
When: 31 Aug 24 17:30
Hope he's not printing these out... Gotta be running out of Red ink! Wink
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 31 Aug 24 17:35
Needs chavs and btts...
By:
everyone's a winner
When: 31 Aug 24 18:00
match odds look good this week
By:
sofaking
When: 01 Sep 24 02:43
Looking good for the small balls acca. Excited
By:
Emitdeb
When: 01 Sep 24 15:58
Cry... Bad Luck Mes...
By:
mesmerised
When: 01 Sep 24 18:17


knew it'd be a bad start as per opening post, but worse than expected, still, didn't know what to expect from Liverpool or Brighton for example, now I do, match odds in profit and will land one of these big acca's and correct scores sooner rather than later, acca's a lot closer this week, small balls lost by 1 goal, medium balls lost by 1 failed Chelsea goal, big balls had 3 of the 4 matches winning with 6 of the 8 teams scoring in the second half.

Speaking of which, was looking closer at the BTTS in the second stats from previous seasons

23/24    129    3.4 a week   
22/23    98    2.57   
21/22    84    2.21   
20/21    85    2.23   
19/20    83    2.18   

last season had a sharp increase due to the extra injury time played, will expect it to be similar again this season, suffice to say, 4 in a week is too much, will probably restrict that to two or three.

Kind Regards.
By:
Emitdeb
When: 01 Sep 24 18:24
On the top line you have PREDICTION twice... Can someone (who's not been blocked) pass this on.. Just trying to help the guy.
By:
everyone's a winner
When: 01 Sep 24 19:47
interesting stat, i'm surprised the extra minutes had such a bearing. BTW you've got the word "Prediction" twice in your column headers
By:
sofaking
When: 02 Sep 24 02:27
Maybe he's blocked absolutely else on the forum and doesn't see any replies.
By:
Emitdeb
When: 02 Sep 24 13:49
Who was that Man utd fan, who was blocking everyone that had a differing opinion to his? Lou Macari something or other.. Mes is quite similar in his sensitivity.. Happy
By:
Clarky9
When: 07 Sep 24 15:00
He didn't like me mocking him for laying Haaland at 9/2 for top scorer, when he should have been 1/2
By:
Emitdeb
When: 07 Sep 24 20:55
Tbh, I'm picking up a vibe that maybe mes is approaching his tipping point (again)..
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