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After the weekend's success I've spotted another false fav, this time in the CL matches this Wednesday.
PSV are away to Rostov, and currently priced around 2.50, clear favs with Rostov around 3.30.
PSV and Rostov are in a group with Bayern and Ath Madrid so they've got no chance of progressing. They'll be fighting it out for third spot and Europa consolation.
But the market seems to think Rostov are mugs and PSV deserve to be clear favs, even in Russia.
I think they've got this badly wrong.
Rostov almost won the Russian Premier League, losing out only on the last day, finishing 2nd to CSK Moscow. They may not be a familiar name like the Moscow sides or Zenit but they are an improving side and are strong at home. Domestically, they've started well enough, sitting 5th, and are unbeaten at home (winning 4 and drawing 1).
In Europe their first CL group match was away to Bayern were they got schooled 5-0, but that can and will happen to many better sides than Rostov.
But they had to qualify to get into the CL group stages. They saw off Anderlecht, and then they beat Ajax (drawing in Amsterdam, and then smashing them 4-1 at home).
Laying Dutch sides in the CL has been very profitable in recent years, Dutch football is of a weak standard these days, and PSV are not CL standard. They haven't won any of their last 6 away matches and I don't think they'll be be winning in a tough place like Rostov.
LAY PSV all day at this silly price. False favourites imo.
PSV are away to Rostov, and currently priced around 2.50, clear favs with Rostov around 3.30.
PSV and Rostov are in a group with Bayern and Ath Madrid so they've got no chance of progressing. They'll be fighting it out for third spot and Europa consolation.
But the market seems to think Rostov are mugs and PSV deserve to be clear favs, even in Russia.
I think they've got this badly wrong.
Rostov almost won the Russian Premier League, losing out only on the last day, finishing 2nd to CSK Moscow. They may not be a familiar name like the Moscow sides or Zenit but they are an improving side and are strong at home. Domestically, they've started well enough, sitting 5th, and are unbeaten at home (winning 4 and drawing 1).
In Europe their first CL group match was away to Bayern were they got schooled 5-0, but that can and will happen to many better sides than Rostov.
But they had to qualify to get into the CL group stages. They saw off Anderlecht, and then they beat Ajax (drawing in Amsterdam, and then smashing them 4-1 at home).
Laying Dutch sides in the CL has been very profitable in recent years, Dutch football is of a weak standard these days, and PSV are not CL standard. They haven't won any of their last 6 away matches and I don't think they'll be be winning in a tough place like Rostov.
LAY PSV all day at this silly price. False favourites imo.
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I laid them at 2.5 following your advice. Price is now 2.14 to lay - should I take a loss or top up?
Rob, I've layed at 2.50 (and could have greened when they went out to 2.62 but I didn't, expecting them to be 2.70 +)
It's your decision, but personally I will be letting it ride at the current insane price.
I also got some 7/2 on Rostov last night with Stan James - another insane price.
It's your decision, but personally I will be letting it ride at the current insane price.
I also got some 7/2 on Rostov last night with Stan James - another insane price.
I actually agree with you that the price is a bit odd, but the very fact that you can get on with SJ leads me to believe you're a mug of the highest repute, so I'm wary of taking any more advice.
Oh dear mugs following mugs nothing worse especially when JC1326 is involved
"I actually agree with you that the price is a bit odd, but the very fact that you can get on with SJ leads me to believe you're a mug of the highest repute, so I'm wary of taking any more advice".
Ill be lumping on psv HEAVY they are no mugs, the only thing that worries me is how qpr beat them this year still every team has its off day, match my money u mugs
Rostov Under 19's currently getting beat 6-0 by PSV, an hour in
Sep 28, 2016 -- 1:12PM, mega88 wrote:
Ill be lumping on psv HEAVY they are no mugs, the only thing that worries me is how qpr beat them this year still every team has its off day, match my money u mugs
Using a summer friendly match as part of his analysis. A punting genius
akabula
akabula 28 Sep 16 11:51 Joined: 13 Mar 08 | Topic/replies: 21,886 | Blogger: akabula's blog
Good read Plat. Convinced me to open my wallet.
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How you get the super glue of the zip
akabula 28 Sep 16 11:51 Joined: 13 Mar 08 | Topic/replies: 21,886 | Blogger: akabula's blog
Good read Plat. Convinced me to open my wallet.
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How you get the super glue of the zip
Rob_The_Bantam 28 Sep 16 12:41 Joined: 04 Dec 06 | Topic/replies: 5,400 | Blogger: Rob_The_Bantam's blog
I actually agree with you that the price is a bit odd, but the very fact that you can get on with SJ leads me to believe you're a mug of the highest repute, so I'm wary of taking any more advice.
Is this the same chap Robbie who is on mesmerised thread calling people trolls and kids
What a clown you are mate load up your SJ account screenshot last bets and show us you can't place bets
It's easy done
I actually agree with you that the price is a bit odd, but the very fact that you can get on with SJ leads me to believe you're a mug of the highest repute, so I'm wary of taking any more advice.
Is this the same chap Robbie who is on mesmerised thread calling people trolls and kids
What a clown you are mate load up your SJ account screenshot last bets and show us you can't place bets
It's easy done
You want me to post a screenshot of bets that I didn't place?
Sep 28, 2016 -- 1:41PM, Rob_The_Bantam wrote:
You want me to post a screenshot of bets that I didn't place?
Chase you got a live wire here son 
Remember Ajax just changed managers also and that new guy has them winning now all 6 games since Rostov
mega hes fast
Rob_The_Bantam 28 Sep 16 13:41 Joined: 04 Dec 06 | Topic/replies: 5,401 | Blogger: Rob_The_Bantam's blog
You want me to post a screenshot of bets that I didn't place?
No log in your account and screenshot the bit where it rejects your bet
Rob_The_Bantam 28 Sep 16 13:41 Joined: 04 Dec 06 | Topic/replies: 5,401 | Blogger: Rob_The_Bantam's blog
You want me to post a screenshot of bets that I didn't place?
No log in your account and screenshot the bit where it rejects your bet
But show balance also as we can all screenshot a bet for 100,000 and have it rejected as no funds
No log in your account and screenshot the bit where it rejects your bet
I cant, as it's been closed:
All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patterns on this account the decision has been made to close it.
I would make you aware that this decision has been made at the highest level and will not be reversed. Any open bets will be honoured in accordance with our rules, and any outstanding balance will be returned to you via your normal withdrawal method.
Kind regards,
The Stan James Team.
I cant, as it's been closed:
All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patterns on this account the decision has been made to close it.
I would make you aware that this decision has been made at the highest level and will not be reversed. Any open bets will be honoured in accordance with our rules, and any outstanding balance will be returned to you via your normal withdrawal method.
Kind regards,
The Stan James Team.
All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patterns on this account the decision has been made to close it.
I would make you aware that this decision has been made at the highest level and will not be reversed. Any open bets will be honoured in accordance with our rules, and any outstanding balance ( with yours being £5,000,000 will be returned to you via your normal withdrawal method.We had to cancel as you are such a big player.
Kind regards,
The Stan James Team.
I would make you aware that this decision has been made at the highest level and will not be reversed. Any open bets will be honoured in accordance with our rules, and any outstanding balance ( with yours being £5,000,000 will be returned to you via your normal withdrawal method.We had to cancel as you are such a big player.
Kind regards,
The Stan James Team.
Even if that email is to you Rob
They banned you for trying to take advantage of a free bet or something not for your huge bets.
All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patternson this account the decision has been made to close it.
go on show us your history big bets
They banned you for trying to take advantage of a free bet or something not for your huge bets.
All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patterns
on this account the decision has been made to close it.go on show us your history big bets
Why you think bookies are now paying out sign up bet bonuses in FREE BETS now and not hard cash?
go on show us your history big bets
I know that this is difficult for you, but I can't log in to the account as it was closed. How can I make it any plainer?
I know that this is difficult for you, but I can't log in to the account as it was closed. How can I make it any plainer?
Chaser, could you stop ruining one of the few threads on here that's actually about betting? I'm sure there's some stupid thread on here you and Mug88 could be stroking one another and posting stupid cigar photo's?
Chaser, I'm not here for a chat with you, believe it or not. If you want to ask any questions, do so by PM and I'll gladly ignore you.
Back on track. PSV were massively unlucky to lose against Atleti in their opening match, but does this really translate into being virtually even money shots away in Russia? I don't see how it does. I can't think of a national side that has regressed as much as the Dutch over the past couple of years (before anyone says it, England didn't have too far to fall) and, while PSV aren't a completely Dutch outfit, it's still indicative of the standard of the league.
Can only think that, as Platini says, it's being priced up partly on reputation. Apart from the likes of Celtic, teams that qualify for this competition generally aren't mugs and Rostov will be realistic enough to know that any chance of qualifying hinges on them picking up points at home. PSV may well win, but at 2.14 it's a lay.
Back on track. PSV were massively unlucky to lose against Atleti in their opening match, but does this really translate into being virtually even money shots away in Russia? I don't see how it does. I can't think of a national side that has regressed as much as the Dutch over the past couple of years (before anyone says it, England didn't have too far to fall) and, while PSV aren't a completely Dutch outfit, it's still indicative of the standard of the league.
Can only think that, as Platini says, it's being priced up partly on reputation. Apart from the likes of Celtic, teams that qualify for this competition generally aren't mugs and Rostov will be realistic enough to know that any chance of qualifying hinges on them picking up points at home. PSV may well win, but at 2.14 it's a lay.
JC rob jumps on at me every thread i just answer him and make out him
JC thought you left at the Euros
So many people on here quick to grumble but then start numerous threads of their own and it's ok
JC thought you left at the Euros
So many people on here quick to grumble but then start numerous threads of their own and it's ok
Rob using stats for Celtic to compare Rostov
Celtic made last 16 3 times in the last 10-11 year and only been in the groups like 5-6 times
Not bad for muggy teams
Celtic made last 16 3 times in the last 10-11 year and only been in the groups like 5-6 times
Not bad for muggy teams
JC rob jumps on at me every thread
I think that it's been two. You and your band of internet mates pollute every thread with your nonsense to the point where the forum is virtually unusable. I'm happy to steer clear of you, but you post on every single thread. Are you really that bored or full of your own self importance? I feel sorry for you.
I see you've now started a thread claiming that I've had your posts removed and am trying to get you banned. Just for the record, I haven't reported anything and have no interest in seeing you banned, as you have the right to your opinion despite how idiotic it may be.
You're a total numbskull, so I will give up on trying to persuade you to keep off threads and let someone else have a go. All the best.
I think that it's been two. You and your band of internet mates pollute every thread with your nonsense to the point where the forum is virtually unusable. I'm happy to steer clear of you, but you post on every single thread. Are you really that bored or full of your own self importance? I feel sorry for you.
I see you've now started a thread claiming that I've had your posts removed and am trying to get you banned. Just for the record, I haven't reported anything and have no interest in seeing you banned, as you have the right to your opinion despite how idiotic it may be.
You're a total numbskull, so I will give up on trying to persuade you to keep off threads and let someone else have a go. All the best.
I think that it's been two. You and your band of internet mates pollute every thread with your nonsense to the point where the forum is virtually unusable. I'm happy to steer clear of you, but you post on every single thread
You replied to my posts on the other thread today so what are you on about
if you want to keep clear why post under me all the time ?
You're a total numbskull, so I will give up on trying to persuade you to keep off threads and let someone else have a go. All the best.
numbskull that is waiting until 7.45 to bet when the money making is all on the under 19s
numbskull that is waiting until 7.45 to bet when the money making is all on the under 19s
The trader's nightmare. Three options available.
1 - take the hit and red out
2 - let the bet ride and pray Rostov score first
3- call in a bomb hoax and get the game abandoned
1 - take the hit and red out
2 - let the bet ride and pray Rostov score first
3- call in a bomb hoax and get the game abandoned
btw wouldn't back PSV to beat Rostov U19 s atm.
on at 3/1..this game has home win written all over it.
jammy deflected equaliser with their only attack
never mind, we're all green here surely.
never mind, we're all green here surely.
Platini was so busy posting on here he didn't have time to green up
Couldn't make this sh@t up loooooooool what utter mugs, says green up after first goal so no confidence in them winning which begs the question why write up a war and peace opening post to "green up " after 5 mins
Sep 28, 2016 -- 8:18PM, Platini wrote:
you wish
I was only joking, mate. I hope you have made a profit, this was a good thread, bar dumb and dumber's contribution
It's a nice profit, JC. But I'd like Rostov to nick another cos its worth an extra ton to me.
Of course, if they take the lead again, I'll be laying some of that profit to go equal green.
Of course, if they take the lead again, I'll be laying some of that profit to go equal green.
mega88 28 Sep 16 20:23 Joined: 16 May 07 | Topic/replies: 7,495 | Blogger: mega88's blog
Couldn't make this sh@t up loooooooool what utter mugs, says green up after first goal so no confidence in them winning which begs the question why write up a war and peace opening post to "green up " after 5 minsExcitedLaughLaughLaughLaugh
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Platini i would watch JC he seems to be getting v.friendly with you
Watch inbox messages you will open up and you won't know what he sends
Watch inbox messages you will open up and you won't know what he sends
It's alright Chase, I spotted his big wooden spoon early doors 
Juice in town feck me must be a cricket match on soon
feck me must be a cricket match on soon
yeh I'm up in the middle of the night, trading the test match.
laid psv - thinking about taking some profit soon, they are starting to look likely!
Sep 28, 2016 -- 9:20PM, bobweenit wrote:
Juice you heard about this mug king?
no, what happened
no mobile reckon he lost it after we were all planning to contact each other, booked plane tickets on the wrong dates and lost his password 4 skype all within half n hour
Sep 28, 2016 -- 9:21PM, bobweenit wrote:
no mobile reckon he lost it after we were all planning to contact each other, booked plane tickets on the wrong dates and lost his password 4 skype all within half n hour
if I can be arsed going scouse land to get a passport, would have been good with 3
not that we r missing much
, can't imagine him being the life and soul of a party
, can't imagine him being the life and soul of a party
not easy to organise something like that with strangers from all parts of the UK.
You are best going somewhere in the uk first. You might hate each other's guts!!
You are best going somewhere in the uk first. You might hate each other's guts!!
yeah i mentioned London first Juice like organising 5 years olds
Sep 28, 2016 -- 9:31PM, bobweenit wrote:
yeah i mentioned London first Juice like organising 5 years olds
ballache!!
right, I've seen enough of this. Going back to bed, lays in place on the cricket, hope to see the draw drift when I wake from my pit!
Rubbish write up ended 2-2 ffs!! Greens up after 5 cause he's bricking it
Sep 28, 2016 -- 10:26PM, mega88 wrote:
Rubbish write up ended 2-2 ffs!! Greens up after 5 cause he's bricking it
Some people actually put real money down and write up why they do it. This was an excellent write up.
More of this and less of your non-betting and multi-accounting nonsense is just what this forum needs.
Rubbish write up ended 2-2 ffs!! Greens up after 5 cause he's bricking it
Go on then, I'll bite.
Advised a lay of PSV with full write up that actually made sense. Winning bet.
Backed Rostov and then took a profit when they took the lead. Rostov failed to win.
Seems like it was played perfectly to me. Still, I await your next hilarious cigar picture with bated breath.
Go on then, I'll bite.
Advised a lay of PSV with full write up that actually made sense. Winning bet.
Backed Rostov and then took a profit when they took the lead. Rostov failed to win.
Seems like it was played perfectly to me. Still, I await your next hilarious cigar picture with bated breath.
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