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After the weekend's success I've spotted another false fav, this time in the CL matches this Wednesday.
PSV are away to Rostov, and currently priced around 2.50, clear favs with Rostov around 3.30.
PSV and Rostov are in a group with Bayern and Ath Madrid so they've got no chance of progressing. They'll be fighting it out for third spot and Europa consolation.
But the market seems to think Rostov are mugs and PSV deserve to be clear favs, even in Russia.
I think they've got this badly wrong.
Rostov almost won the Russian Premier League, losing out only on the last day, finishing 2nd to CSK Moscow. They may not be a familiar name like the Moscow sides or Zenit but they are an improving side and are strong at home. Domestically, they've started well enough, sitting 5th, and are unbeaten at home (winning 4 and drawing 1).
In Europe their first CL group match was away to Bayern were they got schooled 5-0, but that can and will happen to many better sides than Rostov.
But they had to qualify to get into the CL group stages. They saw off Anderlecht, and then they beat Ajax (drawing in Amsterdam, and then smashing them 4-1 at home).
Laying Dutch sides in the CL has been very profitable in recent years, Dutch football is of a weak standard these days, and PSV are not CL standard. They haven't won any of their last 6 away matches and I don't think they'll be be winning in a tough place like Rostov.
LAY PSV all day at this silly price. False favourites imo.
PSV are away to Rostov, and currently priced around 2.50, clear favs with Rostov around 3.30.
PSV and Rostov are in a group with Bayern and Ath Madrid so they've got no chance of progressing. They'll be fighting it out for third spot and Europa consolation.
But the market seems to think Rostov are mugs and PSV deserve to be clear favs, even in Russia.
I think they've got this badly wrong.
Rostov almost won the Russian Premier League, losing out only on the last day, finishing 2nd to CSK Moscow. They may not be a familiar name like the Moscow sides or Zenit but they are an improving side and are strong at home. Domestically, they've started well enough, sitting 5th, and are unbeaten at home (winning 4 and drawing 1).
In Europe their first CL group match was away to Bayern were they got schooled 5-0, but that can and will happen to many better sides than Rostov.
But they had to qualify to get into the CL group stages. They saw off Anderlecht, and then they beat Ajax (drawing in Amsterdam, and then smashing them 4-1 at home).
Laying Dutch sides in the CL has been very profitable in recent years, Dutch football is of a weak standard these days, and PSV are not CL standard. They haven't won any of their last 6 away matches and I don't think they'll be be winning in a tough place like Rostov.
LAY PSV all day at this silly price. False favourites imo.
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Good write up thank you.
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Agree with that. I've seen Rostov 4-5 times this season and it's remarkable what they're doing considering they haven't been paid all season.
The Iranian lad (no 20) looks decent and has goals in him. |
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Spot on Platini
I posted similar sentiments about Ajax in the previous CL rounds I am convinced that Ajax (and Dutch football in general) over the last 5 years have contributed to putting Cruyff in his grave |
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I don't remember now but I suspect the prices on Ajax v Rostov were similar ? Always over bet these Dutch sides, priced up on OLD reputation.
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Right on cue, the Dutch are being overbet again, now into 2.42
 Time for a reality check : Rostov are 24 matches unbeaten at home PSV without an away European win in six games Rostov hammered PSV's Dutch rivals Ajax in the play-offs, just a few weeks ago. |
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I agree with the OP. Seems silly that a side that spanked Ajax 4-1, the team that handed the title to PSV, are the underdogs. Decent write up too, idiots like Mug88 take note
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Yep win or lose well picked out Plats that feckin Dutch side have morphed into a pub team like Legia Warsaw over the past year.
Lay PSV for me too, only niggle is Spurs last night owned CSKA with 5 first teamers missing,still cannot back PSV to score atm far less win. |
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Good read Plat. Convinced me to open my wallet.
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I was watching the Spurs game last night, they're a very good side just now, we know that. But the Russians had chances to score and had it been at their usual home ground, I think they'd have got something from the game. Home advantage is massive in this comp, and that was really negated last night (new stadium for CSKA). Unlike CSKA, Rostov will have the big home advantage tonight, and anyway Spurs are light years better than PSV.
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Good, i didn't know about new stadium for CSKA i was just going by radio reporting i'm off to lay PSV good luck and thanks.
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got 2.18 for the lay
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I laid them at 2.5 following your advice. Price is now 2.14 to lay - should I take a loss or top up?
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Rob, I've layed at 2.50 (and could have greened when they went out to 2.62 but I didn't, expecting them to be 2.70 +)
It's your decision, but personally I will be letting it ride at the current insane price. I also got some 7/2 on Rostov last night with Stan James - another insane price. |
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I actually agree with you that the price is a bit odd, but the very fact that you can get on with SJ leads me to believe you're a mug of the highest repute, so I'm wary of taking any more advice.
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Pinny go 2.07 PSV
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Oh dear mugs following mugs nothing worse especially when JC1326 is involved
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"I actually agree with you that the price is a bit odd, but the very fact that you can get on with SJ leads me to believe you're a mug of the highest repute, so I'm wary of taking any more advice".
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Ill be lumping on psv HEAVY they are no mugs, the only thing that worries me is how qpr beat them this year still every team has its off day, match my money u mugs
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Go on then, I'll match your £2.
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Rostov Under 19's currently getting beat 6-0 by PSV, an hour in
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akabula
akabula 28 Sep 16 11:51 Joined: 13 Mar 08 | Topic/replies: 21,886 | Blogger: akabula's blog Good read Plat. Convinced me to open my wallet. Rate reply: | report block user How you get the super glue of the zip |
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Rob_The_Bantam 28 Sep 16 12:41 Joined: 04 Dec 06 | Topic/replies: 5,400 | Blogger: Rob_The_Bantam's blog
I actually agree with you that the price is a bit odd, but the very fact that you can get on with SJ leads me to believe you're a mug of the highest repute, so I'm wary of taking any more advice. Is this the same chap Robbie who is on mesmerised thread calling people trolls and kids What a clown you are mate load up your SJ account screenshot last bets and show us you can't place bets It's easy done |
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You want me to post a screenshot of bets that I didn't place?
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Remember Ajax just changed managers also and that new guy has them winning now all 6 games since Rostov
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mega hes fast
Rob_The_Bantam 28 Sep 16 13:41 Joined: 04 Dec 06 | Topic/replies: 5,401 | Blogger: Rob_The_Bantam's blog You want me to post a screenshot of bets that I didn't place? No log in your account and screenshot the bit where it rejects your bet |
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But show balance also as we can all screenshot a bet for 100,000 and have it rejected as no funds
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No log in your account and screenshot the bit where it rejects your bet
I cant, as it's been closed: All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patterns on this account the decision has been made to close it. I would make you aware that this decision has been made at the highest level and will not be reversed. Any open bets will be honoured in accordance with our rules, and any outstanding balance will be returned to you via your normal withdrawal method. Kind regards, The Stan James Team. |
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All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patterns on this account the decision has been made to close it.
I would make you aware that this decision has been made at the highest level and will not be reversed. Any open bets will be honoured in accordance with our rules, and any outstanding balance ( with yours being £5,000,000 will be returned to you via your normal withdrawal method.We had to cancel as you are such a big player. Kind regards, The Stan James Team. |
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Even if that email is to you Rob
They banned you for trying to take advantage of a free bet or something not for your huge bets. All Stan James accounts are reviewed on a regular basis by our Trading team, and due to betting patterns on this account the decision has been made to close it.go on show us your history big bets |
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laid at 2.18
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Why you think bookies are now paying out sign up bet bonuses in FREE BETS now and not hard cash?
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go on show us your history big bets
I know that this is difficult for you, but I can't log in to the account as it was closed. How can I make it any plainer? |
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What account you use to bet now
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Chaser, could you stop ruining one of the few threads on here that's actually about betting? I'm sure there's some stupid thread on here you and Mug88 could be stroking one another and posting stupid cigar photo's?
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Chaser, I'm not here for a chat with you, believe it or not. If you want to ask any questions, do so by PM and I'll gladly ignore you.
Back on track. PSV were massively unlucky to lose against Atleti in their opening match, but does this really translate into being virtually even money shots away in Russia? I don't see how it does. I can't think of a national side that has regressed as much as the Dutch over the past couple of years (before anyone says it, England didn't have too far to fall) and, while PSV aren't a completely Dutch outfit, it's still indicative of the standard of the league. Can only think that, as Platini says, it's being priced up partly on reputation. Apart from the likes of Celtic, teams that qualify for this competition generally aren't mugs and Rostov will be realistic enough to know that any chance of qualifying hinges on them picking up points at home. PSV may well win, but at 2.14 it's a lay. |
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JC rob jumps on at me every thread i just answer him and make out him
JC thought you left at the Euros So many people on here quick to grumble but then start numerous threads of their own and it's ok |
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can't make out his agenda*
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