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no idea.
goals price seems high aswell |
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1) Opening game, so expect a nervy start from the French
2) Romania only conceded 2 goals in qualifying and are likely to be setting out to stick 11 men behind the ball and play for a 0-0, as they will fancy their chances of getting at least one win against the other two opponents in the group 3) If Romania do concede, the format of the tournament (ie 4 of the 3rd placed teams going through) means that it will be in Romania's favour to stick to 11 men behind the ball and play for a 0-1, as again they will fancy their chances of getting 3-4 points against their other two opponents, in which case goal difference will be key |
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Say hello to the layers. Romania only conceded two in qualifying nerves from the French in the first game. Not much in the move imo
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team news leaked ?
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Welcome to a non-static market. As opinions/positions come in, the price will bounce around in sync with those(and any movements under double figure percentages are hardly uncommon or "alarming")
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Thats over 20% drift on opening price.
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Could be cos 5 or 6 of the French starting 11 ply their trade in England ??
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You'd get 20% more money back at those prices, wouldn't that be classed as a 20% drift?
Really it's .31 out to .39. |
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France will win with much goals.
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In terms of probability:
1.31 = 76.33% 1.39 = 71.94% This is a 4.39% difference By your logic a drift from 1.01 to 1.02 would be a 100% drift, which isn't accurate |
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No wonder people get scared with certain movements, they don't even understand the significance of them {facepalm}
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Probably just because its the opening game.
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laying France and backing unders, dont expect fireworks in this match.
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Billys were laying an even tenner earlier today I suppose some burglars have friends n family lapping all that up
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Given that 3rd place can qualify we could see more goals, Easy France win for me & -1.5 on the asians.
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over 2,5 at 2 is a good bet, will be 3-0 or 3-1...
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third place qualifying means that it is theoretically possible to qualify with 1 point , might mean goals are scarce though
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First competitive match for France in 2 years.
Romania only lost once in their last 20 matches or so with about 15 clean sheets Something on the underdogs for me. |
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I have a couple of acca's on this. The drift is alarming but the cash out offered is a joke.
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Since (and including) 2004, only Ukraine in 2012 have won their opening game as tournament host or co-host
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France can get goals but defensively not great , laporte and varane both out , and evra , sagna and koscielny in team, btts for me
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far point stroodle but the opposition team in that stat were pretty decent or evenly matched.
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Romania have no attacking threat to take advantage of a weak French back line but are well organised and very defensive minded.
France to sneak a 1-0 win. |
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Ted Brogan 10 Jun 16 16:24 Joined: 29 Jan 06 | Topic/replies: 1,591 | Blogger: Ted Brogan's blog
Jun 10, 2016 -- 4:16PM, pantsonfire wrote: Thats over 20% drift on opening price. No it isn't. It's less than 5% ted, could you please give us an example of a 20% drift on opening price |
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1.31 = 76.33%
1.78 = 56.33% i know you didnt ask me but thats the answer |
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assuming a 100% overound
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so what would 1.31 to 1000 be?
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76.33% > 0.1%
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so the odds were 3/10 and now they are 1000/1 and you are calling that a 76% change in the odds?
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76% change in the implied chance of winning.
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ted, clacher? any news?
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the question didnt mention "the implied chance of winning"
it said give an example where the odds change by 20% in your world, the odds can never double, is that correct? |
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sorry was too busy not caring and watchign the football.
yes, odds can not double. use whatever language you want though it doesnt bother me |
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well can never increase by 100% but they can double.
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6/4 is double 4/1, 40% v 20%
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odds can not double?
you up or down on here long term? |
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clacherholiday2 10 Jun 16 20:10 Joined: 02 Jun 04 | Topic/replies: 6,707 | Blogger: clacherholiday2's blog
well can never increase by 100% but they can double. wish you were rich and i was your accountant... |