£56.89 to waste on a Euro 2016 long shot

I've backed Ukraine at 120s. They are overdue a tournament win.

I like Croatia as a long shot to win too.

I also like Iceland to make good progress.

England to finish bottom of their group,  or Slovakia to win the very same group

trilby thats about 4 of us thats 50% the forum were on a good thing

just Brassneck , Mega88 and a few others to fck it and out up back Croatia

I'll be cheering for Iceland in heir first tournament.

@ TheChaser...Croatia always appear as a side lacking something to me...or a side thats ready to implode at any given moment...

maybe its belief they lack, i dont know...I dont rate Mandzukic either...

but, good luck on your bet

^ here's hoping Moneytree doesn't back either of 'em

panther they have lacked it for years its time to let it all out , i think manduzic is ok not the best but if he has been listening to my prayers of him look at old Davor Suker tapes he comes out on fire.

if Mandzukic was only half as good as Davor Suker he would be a top striker

Don't know that much about the current Croatia team, but is it fair to say that they are a better balanced, more cohesive side than some Croatia sides of the past? How would you guys rate them in comparison with, say the '98 WC team, which had a few world-class players, but maybe not the same strength right through the team?

Just looking at the odds for Portugal at 20/1. They are 50/1 to win and Ronaldo to be top goal scorer.
You would think for them to win it he's going to have to bang a few in. With him being on the penalties and their top scorer anyway
that might be worth a nibble.

They have Austria, Hungary and Iceland in their group. He should torment Hungary and Iceland possibly Austria.
Then in the knock out stages he will again have to be the man.

Portugal/Ronaldo TGS 50/1

Think I'll have a score on that myself actually

Des Pond 05 Jun 16 17:09 Joined: 19 Aug 06 | Topic/replies: 716 | Blogger: Des Pond's blog
Don't know that much about the current Croatia team, but is it fair to say that they are a better balanced, more cohesive side than some Croatia sides of the past? How would you guys rate them in comparison with, say the '98 WC team, which had a few world-class players, but maybe not the same strength right through the team?

Hard to compare for me , was a lot of quality in that team and would probably beat this team back then but in 18 years fitness has improved all round so that team in 98 v this team in 2016 would probably be fecked after HT.That team from 98 just missed on euro 2000 by a point in qualifiers , they all played for decent teams also.

what price is ronnie outright tgs

Yea they had some very skillful individuals Prosinecki, Boban, Suker etc

10/1

It's not 10 x 20/1 (portugal odds x ronaldo odds) though as the bet would be linked unfortunately.

Another way to look at it is. What odds is Ronaldo to be Portugals top scorer, he's 1/2

So 20/1 for say tenner gives you £210 then on a 1/2 £315 i.e 30/1

I dont rate them but its Ronnies last show at the Euros as a great player so if he can carry them you never know , pepe etc need to keep the head

Pelle at 55 to be top scorer

if I were backing Croatia I'd want to know Corluka was fit, as Schildenfeld looks an accident waiting to happen, imo. Looked fairly uncomfortable last night, and that was against The Goose and Granit. Rest of the team looks very good though, Perisic's stock may sky rocket if they have a good tournament, imo

Best rags on the o/r the Ukraine imo, but personally wouldn't back any of them

rumour that Pelle is an injury scare so scrub that.

croatians have this

donate half to Unicef you plum

Germany/Spain final nailed on

when it wins ill donate to the homeless people in the uk

But that’s not to say there isn’t some value knocking around further down the order and the 100/1 on Ukraine to win the competition looks like a decent each-way punt for an outside interest. A combination of factors could leave the door ajar for Mykhaylo Fomenko’s men to make good progress quietly, presenting them with a relatively easy passage to the quarter-finals.

By my reckoning, Ukraine are superior to Group C rivals Poland, an assertion that both Elo ratings and UEFA coefficients agree with, so the market making Poland favourites to finish second behind Germany is the first bone of contention. Secondly, the idea that Switzerland finish as runners-up to France in Group A is far from a formality, so a last-16 clash with either Romania or Albania is quite feasible, but I’d make Ukraine jollies to progress in any case.

Beyond that, we’re asking for something extraordinary but it’s only two more hurdles that need to be cleared for a bumper payout. And as the wheel turns back from the high-tempo pressing game of the Guardiola era towards more counter-attacking ideologies, it suits that Ukraine are threatening to be ultra-defensive with inverted wingers Yehven Konoplyanka and Andriy Yarmolenko capable of causing enough damage on the break.

Spain would be the likeliest opponents for Ukraine in the quarters, at which point you’d hope the extended winter break of the Ukrainian Premier League - from which all but one of the likely starting 11 are drawn - might give them a chance. Then a semi-final against a contender from either Group B, E or F would represent a fairly modest barrier to the place money.

Finally, there’s also a political motive to consider. Sport has a fabulous way of enabling countries to restore immense pride in their national identity following periods of conflict or crisis, a cause that transcends the normal pressures of a competition like this. We shouldn’t rule out the possibility that Ukraine will be psyched-up in a way that clears the mental obstacles that have maybe prevented them from fulfilling their potential at previous tournaments.

above is from mike holden on oddschecher

Lewandowski top scorer has got to be a good bet. Couple of easy group games and more-or-less guaranteed to get at least a 4th match to add to his tally what with the new format etc.

hi Dragon...

i think mike holden maybe looking for another job with that sort of tipping...

Ukraine are dogmeat and will finish bottom of their group with 0pts

panthernot sure m8 not to boned up on euro football , i think his point about political motive is laughable

Jun 6, 2016 -- 8:30AM, Panther65 wrote:

hi Dragon...i think mike holden maybe looking for another job with that sort of tipping...Ukraine are dogmeat and will finish bottom of their group with 0pts

+1

Was going to throw this on Northern Ireland @ 500, as I think they can at least get through the group, but seeing Kyle Lafferty hobble off today makes it a no bet. He may not be injured, but there's no way he'll be properly fit

Think instead I'll do a glory hunt, betting on the individual games

Mike cut his tipping teeth on ere in the good old days of the forum.... very good at the lower leagues, real top lad as well fwiw.

Providing Kyle Lafferty proves his fitness to me, I'll put this on Northern Ireland @ 500. Gonna start by backing Romania on the Asian Handicap + 2 @ 1.37 tonight however

I have backed Croatia (25) & Portugal (18)

Croatia 28s at ladkrooks for me

Italy for lowest scorers, 50-1. Defensive manager in a group where the others will try to keep a clean sheet against them.
Ron and Portugal double at 40s

A pair of proper long-shots.

Jun 10, 2016 -- 6:44PM, JC1326 wrote:

Providing Kyle Lafferty proves his fitness to me, I'll put this on Northern Ireland @ 500. Gonna start by backing Romania on the Asian Handicap + 2 @ 1.37 tonight however

you must earn yer money easy if your putting £56 on Northern Ireland to win the euros!!!!

I wish. I don't think Poland or Ukraine are much better than them, so why not

Jun 10, 2016 -- 6:44PM, JC1326 wrote:

Providing Kyle Lafferty proves his fitness to me, I'll put this on Northern Ireland @ 500. Gonna start by backing Romania on the Asian Handicap + 2 @ 1.37 tonight however

Bet won, so £20.02 profit, which I'll use as my starting bank. Nothing I like in tomorrow's game, except backing Slovakia AH + 1 @ 1.16 for a very small bank increase

A goal in every game until you reach 1059 and then take the grand and start again.it may not come up but you have 90 mins in every game to die a slow death.but great fun .just one goal and you can relax until the next game.

I hate that slow death, Brassneck

Gonna back Albania + 2 AH @ 1.11 for the £56.89, then probably stick that on Slovakia as well, to increase interest in the matches

back Hamsik to score

you went from backing 40/1s to 1.11s?

just to add interest, regretting it now

Backed Switzerland @ 1.10, returns a tenner. £4.75 on 0-3 @ 6, £3 on 0-4 @ 11 and 1.75 on 1-4 @ 34. To save my Northern Ireland fund

£1.75

Jun 11, 2016 -- 1:29PM, TheChaser wrote:

you went from backing 40/1s to 1.11s?

Lollll

^^^^ 500/1 as well, now 1.11 shots.... Loll

I thought the aim was to back long shots

maybe a couple of people on here can't read

Anyway, for literate folk, how did Albania not get a draw? Mug punting master-class from the OP

Jun 11, 2016 -- 3:53PM, tenpins wrote:

I thought the aim was to back long shots

Read the whole thread, not just the first post, would be my advice

Albania bet won, so £5.95 profit. Plus the £20.02 currently on Slovakia means £25.97 bank. I'll add £6.89 of the money I was gonna back Northern Ireland with on just put an even £50 on them, so bank now £32.86

so your alabania +2 is in though yeah did you do that?


bankit 11 Jun 16 15:19 Joined: 25 Oct 14 | Topic/replies: 482 | Blogger: bankit's blog
^^^^ 500/1 as well, now 1.11 shots.... Loll

500s to 1/10 shots not much difference

JC1326
JC1326 11 Jun 16 14:59 Joined: 12 May 12 | Topic/replies: 6,752 | Blogger: JC1326's blog
just to add interest, regretting it now Grin

Backed Switzerland @ 1.10, returns a tenner. £4.75 on 0-3 @ 6, £3 on 0-4 @ 11 and 1.75 on 1-4 @ 34. To save my Northern Ireland fund Laugh

whats this then a different bank?

or 1/9 whatever it is not 1/10

JC1326 11 Jun 16 15:58 Joined: 12 May 12 | Topic/replies: 6,753 | Blogger: JC1326's blog
Albania bet won, so £5.95 profit. Plus the £20.02 currently on Slovakia means £25.97 bank. I'll add £6.89 of the money I was gonna back Northern Ireland with on just put an even £50 on them, so bank now £32.86

im lost

Not really that complicated, but I'll summarise, this one time.

Point of thread was to throw £56.89 on a long shot, which is going to be Northern Ireland. Out of boredom, I put that money on Romania AH yesterday, and Albania AH today, which both won.

The profit made from those two games (£20.02 Romania, £5.95 Albania) is a seperate bank of £25.97 from the £56.89 that is going on Northern Ireland. But I've added £6.89 of that Northern Ireland money to this new bank, so £25.97 + £6.89 is £32.86. And £50 is going on Northern Ireland

so your 32.86 up?

25.97 even?

Backed Switzerland @ 1.10, returns a tenner. £4.75 on 0-3 @ 6, £3 on 0-4 @ 11 and 1.75 on 1-4 @ 34. To save my Northern Ireland fund Laugh


whats this bit you have £100 on swiss to tin tenner

I backed Switzerland @ 1.10 to make a tenner, to put on those three correct scores. If any of those scores came in, I would have made some money back on my losing back of Albania AH + 2. Obviously I feared the worst at half-time

Yes, I'm £32.86 up

well, technically, £25.97 up, but I added £6.89 from the Northern Ireland fund. Y'know what, I'll scratch that. I won't bother adding the £6.89. So £25.97 up, that's the current bank. And £56.89 on Northern Ireland @ 500

Anyone other than Chaser still reading this, I regret to inform you that you've actually slipped in to a coma

you backing slovak

so you had 56.89

won 20.02 on romania put that on slovakia
won 05.97 on albania

easy to work out was just confused when you started creating multiple banks

This thread is fecking hilarious... Starts with " putting a little away to have £56 on a long shot " the long shot being a really long shot at 500/1, but there has been a change in strategy to now betting 1/10 shots!!!!!!

Albania + 2 AH @ 1.11 at that price did this cover 2-0 swiss money back or anything or lost it all as thats low for a team at 4/1

for instance russia are 15/4 on a site and +2 3/10

bankit 11 Jun 16 16:44 Joined: 25 Oct 14 | Topic/replies: 483 | Blogger: bankit's blog
This thread is fecking hilarious... Starts with " putting a little away to have £56 on a long shot " the long shot being a really long shot at 500/1, but there has been a change in strategy to now betting 1/10 shots!!!!!!

I think hes still doing the long shot if lafferty is fit , having a bet at the euros relying on kyle lafferty is the most amusing thing

yeah so you get refund thats why so low , im up to speed i think

lets hope lafftery is good luck if you do back them at 500s though

yes, chaser, I already backed Slovakia before the Albania match. and Asian Handicap + 2 means if Albania lost by two goals I would just get my money back

Jun 11, 2016 -- 4:44PM, bankit wrote:

This thread is fecking hilarious... Starts with " putting a little away to have £56 on a long shot " the long shot being a really long shot at 500/1, but there has been a change in strategy to now betting 1/10 shots!!!!!!

you obviously can't read, mate. I'm not saying it again, ffs

Did you back northern ireland at that 500/1

no. They were down to 401 at three bookmakers, the most I was allowed on was 60p. Didn't think I'd get fully matched and had a crap weekend, so couldn't be bothered with it. The £80 odd will be put to better use betting on individual matches anyway

60p

I know. Fine if you're a 60p mug ala BetfairBuddy, but not for the rest of us

slow death still going JC.

Must have been a painful watch for anyone dieing a slow death tonight. I'd be sat here with a headache and a boat load of shame

TheChaser 05 Jun 16 15:19 Joined: 23 May 12 | Topic/replies: 30,236 | Blogger: TheChaser's blog
Croatia all the way said it on here for months 28/1 great midfield , decent attack , defence experienced to fook

jamesdean
05 Jun 16 14:33
Joined: 15 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 9,438 | Blogger: jamesdean's blog
Not a mssive outsider but Portugal at 20's will win you ver a grand.

Thought they looked head and shoulders above England the other night despite the score and they had a man sent off.

They had some first teamers rested including Ronnie obviously and England were full strength yet still looked 2nd best even with an extra man at times.

Wide open tournament. Ronnie could be the difference in any tight game

Portugal 20/1


You could of had over a grand if you listened instead on having 16p on Northern Ireland

Good shout mate

Well done james holding out for so long hoping that someone else bumped it for you

Nice tip btw

Too right duff, couldnae wait any longer

Thanks lads!

Wide open tournament. Ronnie could be the difference in any tight game


Right with that too because in the Wales game, as poor as the Welsh were, Portugal themselves weren't looking anything special but that brilliant header out of the blue turned it.

Jul 11, 2016 -- 4:46PM, jamesdean wrote:

jamesdean05 Jun 16 14:33Joined: 15 Sep 05| Topic/replies: 9,438 | Blogger: jamesdean's blogNot a mssive outsider but Portugal at 20's will win you ver a grand.Thought they looked head and shoulders above England the other night despite the score and they had a man sent off.They had some first teamers rested including Ronnie obviously and England were full strength yet still looked 2nd best even with an extra man at times.Wide open tournament. Ronnie could be the difference in any tight gamePortugal 20/1You could of had over a grand if you listened instead on having 16p on Northern Ireland

Moron. If you could read, you'd know I didn't bother with it. And your Portugal ''tip'' was a total guess, being as ''Ronnie'' was garbage in all but two of the games, and contributed nothing in the final

Ok JC. You come across as a lovely chap. Have a nice day!

great tipping james,hope you got plenty! 

Show me the post where I made a joke about you being a pedophile please?

Whether you're a pedophile or not I don't know. What I do know, is that you are a grade A **** as many others have already said.

you're blocked now, by the way. I'm done lowering myself conversing with pond life like yourself

Aye, thought as much. Next time you make a claim like that try backing it up please, weirdo.

great tip JamesDean

hope you were on

JC1326
JC1326 05 Jun 16 15:14 Joined: 12 May 12 | Topic/replies: 6,973 | Blogger: JC1326's blog
Jun 5, 2016 -- 2:33PM, jamesdean wrote:

Not a mssive outsider but Portugal at 20's will win you ver a grand.Thought they looked head and shoulders above England the other night despite the score and they had a man sent off. They had some first teamers rested including Ronnie obviously and England were full strength yet still looked 2nd best even with an extra man at times.Wide open tournament. Ronnie could be the difference in any tight gamePortugal 20/1

I think Portugal have a good chance, manager will set them up to be hard to beat, like the other night. Definite consideration. Cheers

Thanks capt

It's pointless agruing/debating with the guy though. He has serious anger issues

tbf, that post was before I knew jamesdean was a guesser, and a prize ****

prize as*hole. That was to Capt__F

Isn't it odd how someone can put up a tip with detailed reasoning, get it right then get called a guesser. Only on the Betfair forum!

I'd say everyone was 'guessing' on who'd win the tournament before it started. It was about the price, most 20/1 picks are guesses tbf
There was thought behind it so maybe an educated guess would be more accurate. But hey ho

That's the last from me on this thread. Gl all!

Why the hell haven't I seen this Fred before
JC has not only managed to tie himself up in knots but has also made himself into a prize kipper
No wonder he retired to save face!!!!
Chaser tooooooooooooo funny 
Classic Fred

JC this Fred was not your finest hour lad

You've dropped a pollock here

Well done James Dean on tip I bet JC is seething right now!!

Jun 15, 2016 -- 10:22PM, brassneck wrote:

slow death still going JC.

Dear God I bet JC won't come back after this debacle I know I wouldn't