I wasn't trying to rain on your parade - I'm all for encouraging experimentation. Its just you seemed to want a mathematical explanation as to your chances from what I rad on here and your website and I just wanted you to have a realistic picture. If you make it, it will be purely from a great deal of luck rather than something that can be consistently repeated/copied. Im also not sure you will be able to keep up the blog for an entire year! Once you have a couple of inevitable losses I think your interest will wane. Have you thought of how you will cope with losses and your trade out as described? what happens when you get a couple in quick succession that wipes out many days of betting? Also, have you thought about the difficulties that you will face when you reach say $10,000 and have to face finding liquidity in the market and also the feeling of losing large amounts of money that you have made? You will have to take increasingly risky 1.01 on to get your bets matched - a hard position to face with your hard earned cash - I know I have been there!

I do think you are on the right sort of track though on how to increase your bank - don't be too disillusioned by mine and others comments. Keep analysing your plan and I think you will get there!

upaymyschool - how did it go yesterday? Notice the blog hasn't been updated. I hope you haven't lost interest already!