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Charlie
30 Oct 14 13:40
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Date Joined: 01 Dec 01
| Topic/replies: 38,189 | Blogger: Charlie's blog
Somebody's got a real-hard on for these again.

Notts County last six at home: W3 D2 L1.
Walsall last six away: W0 D2 L4.

Notts 4th in league, Walsall 18th.

Notts last price matched 2.72.
Walsall last price matched 2.84 and dropping.

Over 10k matched on game, the rest in division have a few hundred.

I've backed Notts and laid Walsall.

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Replies: 103
By:
Johnny_Mustang
When: 30 Oct 14 14:33
Couldn't agree more Charlie, have also backed Notts County although the phrase 'if something looks too good to be true' etc. springs to mind.

P.S - when are we going to be seeing some more of your 'my personal thread' again?
By:
Charlie
When: 30 Oct 14 15:00
Walsall were also very short for their last away game against Crawley.  They lost.
Probably Christmas Mischief
By:
The Dragon
When: 30 Oct 14 15:27
yes im on big on notts great price with bv
By:
Charlie
When: 30 Oct 14 17:43
Shocked
Anybody know what's going on?
And I fancy Baggies.
By:
JK257
When: 30 Oct 14 18:00
Notts County 3.1 now. This is insane. No basis whatsoever to these prices.

County are 4th and have won 6 in a row!

If there's some information about County that could affect the odds then it'd be a first for the market to pay that much attention to a League One game.
By:
Charlie
When: 30 Oct 14 18:22
I'm maxed out on this. Wish I wasn't.
Not sure of this but ref is apparently Simon Hooper from Wiltshire. Seems to like cards.  Was in charge when Walsall beat Portsmouth 2-0. Still doesn't explain prices.
Not going to analyse this anymore.  The prices are good and if I lose then I lose.
By:
JK257
When: 30 Oct 14 18:29
Similar situation for me. If this inexplicably stays as it is or gets worse then I'm just going to leave the loss on Walsall.
By:
Charlie
When: 30 Oct 14 18:37
Agree JK  Whether County win or not isn't the point.  Getting the correct odds is.  If odds change dramatically then i'll lay some off.
By:
JK257
When: 30 Oct 14 18:40
Nothing worse than taking a bad loss when you know for a fact you got good odds in the first place.
By:
sixpackad
When: 31 Oct 14 08:00
Couple of guys in work today mentioned the Notts County price, bit of a strange one. Thought Boro going off 2.04/06 against Watford last weekend was low also
By:
Howdi
When: 31 Oct 14 10:07
Good spot Charlie yr bet makes sense.
By:
The Dragon
When: 31 Oct 14 16:55
took some of the 19/10 with boyles great price lets hope the market has got this one wrong
By:
colupaul
When: 31 Oct 14 17:37
Must be a good chance that one of the tipsters in the RP tomorrow will flag up County given the price... the 19/10 may look big by 3pm...
By:
chewy11
When: 31 Oct 14 17:43
County lost 1 in 14 v Bristol City, won last 6, I couldn't believe my eyes. I thought I'd start a thread to see what the reason was & saw this. G L.
By:
The Dragon
When: 31 Oct 14 18:29
i backed county midweek anf have gone in again amazing price given the form of the two teams. makes you wonderScared
By:
JK257
When: 31 Oct 14 18:42
They should be around evens. It really is daft.

I layed Walsall at 2.58 and can avoid any loss as soon as County hit 2.72, but I'm not sure what to do now. I'd love to think there's a great chance the price will plummet but this is only League One and you can never trust the market to apply logic and reason.
By:
sonofshinner
When: 31 Oct 14 20:02
county+1 @1.50...wallsall+1 @1.44.....s/james.
By:
JK257
When: 01 Nov 14 08:41
Market still can't decide who should be favourites!
By:
southerner101
When: 01 Nov 14 11:22
purely because of last year gents!!!! when they won 1-5
By:
sugarfoot
When: 01 Nov 14 11:31
Walsall prices are just very strange.  Away from home been favs/jt favs at Port Vale (D), Scunthorpe (L), Gillingham (D), Crawley (L).  They were a bigger price at home to Chesterfield (W) last time than they were away at Crawley, and they also won at home to Preston when easy to back at 3.4.  Notts County aren't that great and have rushed up the table by beating three of the bottom four, and have a poor recent record against Walsall.  Walsall won 5-1 at County in January, but have only won 1/15 away in the league since then.  All very odd, but not sinister odd
By:
JK257
When: 01 Nov 14 11:35
Pretty sure the market won't consider last season's result. Most people will have no idea.
By:
southerner101
When: 01 Nov 14 11:38
strange enough to leave alone im starting to think
By:
JK257
When: 01 Nov 14 11:40
I agree. Especially as it's only League One, where logic and reason doesn't usually apply.
By:
LcfcUCIAN
When: 01 Nov 14 11:45
all runs are there to be broken. Seems strange that here is so much money on this game?!
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 01 Nov 14 12:53
Apart from obviously their league positions, recent results and home advantage, there are a lot of factors that point to Walsall.  They team news I read was that they are at full strength for the first time this season and there is certainly a case that they are currently playing better than Notts County, despite recent results and they won 5-1 there last season.  The outright spreads rate the 2 teams equal, saying that they will both achieve 40 points from now until the end of the season.  Odds are disappointing because I was looking to back Walsall, which I'm not now, but not that surprising.
By:
REM
When: 01 Nov 14 13:20
Assuming that NC and Walsall are roughly equal in footballing terms would still mean that home advantage makes NC clear favourites. Huge value backing NC or laying Walsall imo. I've maxed out on this.
By:
The Dragon
When: 01 Nov 14 14:55
ffs get real walsall not won away this season, scored 3 goals in 7 games losing 4 and drawinig 3 , not played a team away above 13th, county should win ythis
By:
bettingmike8
When: 01 Nov 14 14:56
I have just seen this game. Couldn't believe NC were 17/10 on Ladbrokes. I have put them in my 5-fold accum!
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 01 Nov 14 15:15
Walsall have won away twice this season
By:
Charlie
When: 01 Nov 14 15:19
Not in the league.
By:
The Dragon
When: 01 Nov 14 16:08
crazyCrazy
By:
Charlie
When: 01 Nov 14 16:21
0-1
By:
sonofshinner
When: 01 Nov 14 16:22
0-1  no suprise.
By:
The Dragon
When: 01 Nov 14 16:22
Cry
By:
Platini
When: 01 Nov 14 16:23
what's happened is MoneyTree has napped Notts County Scared
By:
Sexual Harassment Panda
When: 01 Nov 14 16:24
an own goal .....
By:
hasachance
When: 01 Nov 14 16:24
Og aswell while all you guys here were lumping on notts county , notts county players were lumping on Walsall
By:
Charlie
When: 01 Nov 14 16:25
You may well be right!
By:
stu
When: 01 Nov 14 16:32
Did anyone also notice it is McGovern's (Mirror) 'Bet of the Day' too - I was actually reading it this morning on the train and was tempted to do a massive bet on NC. Feeling like I dodged a bullet.
He even wrote 'unless the bookies know something I don't...'
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