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The Dragon
22 Aug 13 11:37
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Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 58,740 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys and gals here is my new thread as promised re the above, ,

Last season produced a very nice profit for my HIGHEST RATED tips although Best VALUE tips made a loss, but overall a healthy profit was made and I am hoping to do the same again this year.

I do not normally use my system until 6 games have been played as this allows enough matches to be played to see reliable form trends.

I have however bashed the numbers into the system for this weekend and have come up with some interesting results which i thought you maybe interested in.

The HIGHEST RATED are COLCHESTER at 1.82(amazing price and Playing friday) and OXFORD at 1.66(Both teams have an equal rating of 23 -Highest possible rating is 28)

Colchester have made a good start to the season winning 2 and drawing 1 of their 3 matches . they are at home to carlilse who have lost their first 3 games without scoring a goal and conceding 12!!! This will be my main bet for the weekend.

OXFORD look good on Saturday too they have made a great start wining all 3 matches and are at home to wycombe who have lost 2 out of 3 of their matches.

The BEST VALUE bet is EXETER at 2.60 who are away to Moreconbe who have lost 2 out of 3 games so far and only have 1pt. EXETER are unbeaten in the league winning 2 and drawing 1 of their games.

as i say please take these tips with a degree of caution as they are based on 3 games and not the usual six.

Good luck if you give any of them a go

as usual all comments on the selections will be gratefully received

Read more: http://www.topfooty.proboards.com/thread/404/dragons-football-tips-2013-2014#ixzz2ch1drrtW

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By:
The Dragon
When: 22 Aug 13 15:45
koral go 1.61 on Colchester so 4/5 available with a couple of bookies looks good
By:
colupaul
When: 22 Aug 13 16:34
Hi Dragon - yes, Colchester's price does seem somewhat wrong in places.  Unfortunately I don't get to see my ex-home team often these days but talk on the message boards are that the current team are playing a decent brand of football.

Having said that I had my second largest ever single bet on Colchester about 6 years ago and they drew 0-0... as we know nowt is certain in this game... good luck.
By:
The Dragon
When: 22 Aug 13 17:11
thanks col, the price does look to be wrong based on the form of the two respective teams, lets hope colchesters form continues on friday evening

thanks for the input
By:
colupaul
When: 22 Aug 13 18:27
Me tinks a Friday night League One home double is in order to set the weekend up...Cool
By:
The Dragon
When: 22 Aug 13 19:06
yes wolves look banker material, but i will stick to my main bet of colchester

good luck if you give the double a go
By:
BERLINGTONBERTIE
When: 22 Aug 13 19:18
With you on Colchester. My make money for Saturday bet - although gone wrong a few times :(.
Do you still live in Hart......
By:
The Dragon
When: 22 Aug 13 19:22
hi BB yes still in hart but moved house last year

good luck with your betCool
By:
BERLINGTONBERTIE
When: 22 Aug 13 19:36
Cheers pal and you. I've moved since we last spoke to sand , albeit 8 years ago :)
By:
The Dragon
When: 22 Aug 13 19:40
great stuff 8 years ago !!!!Surprisedomg!!
By:
The Dragon
When: 22 Aug 13 20:28
Team news ahead of Friday night's League One clash between Colchester and Carlisle at the Weston Homes Community Stadium.

Colchester manager Joe Dunne will assess a number of unnamed players ahead of the visit of out-of-sorts Carlisle.

Two members of Dunne's squad are doubtful due to illness while another couple have sustained knocks, although the U's boss is keeping his cards close to his chest regarding their identity.

Dunne has kept faith with an unchanged starting XI for Colchester's last two games - a 1-0 home win over Port Vale and last weekend's 1-1 draw at Sheffield United.

The Essex club have taken seven points from their first three matches in League One, although Carlisle have endured a disastrous campaign to date, losing all three games and conceding 13 goals in the process.

Meanwhile, Carlisle striker Lee Miller is expected to return to the starting line-up following suspension.

The Scot was shown a straight red card in the opening-day defeat to Leyton Orient and the Cumbrians have failed to score in their two subsequent league matches.

Skipper Paul Thirlwell, who missed last week's 4-0 home defeat to Coventry due to an Achilles injury, could return to help steady the ship following four straight losses that have cast doubts over the future of manager Greg Abbott.

Abbott has hinted versatile winger Matty Robson could make his first appearance of the season after being sidelined with a back injury.
By:
kenilworth
When: 22 Aug 13 22:33
I do not normally use my system until 6 games have been played as this allows enough matches to be played to see reliable form trends.

I have however bashed the numbers into the system for this weekend and have come up with some interesting results which i thought you maybe interested in
.

Why have you not waited for 6 matches?
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 09:54
because the teams it produced looked of interest
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 10:21
Waiting 6 weeks is a very sensible MO but some teams stand out instantly from the rest.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 10:26
indeed zzz i have tailored the size of my bets accordingly
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 10:30
The only thing that concerns me about backing Colchester is...

they are at home to Carlisle who have lost their first 3 games without scoring a goal and conceding 12!!!

How many times have we seen teams rise Lazarus like?
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 10:43
yeszzz but thats football you will always get results that buck the form,

i remember last season some real low priced home teams getting turned over, tottenham by wigan and cardiff by posh are two that come to mind but...... over a season by form based system does some to produce the goodies
By:
kenilworth
When: 23 Aug 13 12:21
Oh, I see. You wait for 6 games to be played but bet after 3 games
when something 'of interest' pops up OK
By:
kenilworth
When: 23 Aug 13 12:22
It shouldn't even 6 games, probably 16
IMO.
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 12:32
Ken do you get paid for stalking the Dragon or do you just do it out of love?
By:
kenilworth
When: 23 Aug 13 12:50
No Zing I don't get anything from giving
an honest opinion. I hope you have the good
sense not back his picks.
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 12:54
I enjoy looking at many people's tips but only ever back my own judgement.

As should everyone.
By:
kenilworth
When: 23 Aug 13 12:58
Quite correct.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 13:02
kenilworth is just making a fool of himself as usual some things will never change , he just picks holes in whatever i post, i have learnt to ignore what he says its the best way to deal with such people
By:
kenilworth
When: 23 Aug 13 13:14
Just be honest and no one will bother you.
If you don't, then it will be drawn to your
attention. You enjoy praise but resent
criticism. Grow up.
By:
poorpup
When: 23 Aug 13 13:17
if u dont like the thread then stay off it
By:
kenilworth
When: 23 Aug 13 13:56
poorpup, I don't like people telling lies,
do you?
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 14:12
colchester are into 1.79 so if you took the 1.82 you are in green up territory
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 14:28
A whole tub of watercress
By:
jed.davison
When: 23 Aug 13 14:30
1.01 landed. Kenilworth pops up to rubbish someone's opinion.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 14:31
Laugh he will do this throughout the season jedSad
By:
jed.davison
When: 23 Aug 13 14:54
I wouldn't mind if he wasn't so absolutely clueless himself.

You can bet your bottom dollar that he will be on, slating methodology and opinion, whenever someone sticks their head above the parapet. And as soon as someone dares to suggest that AN Other Racing Post tipseter might be less than perfect in every way, supernap will be on to defend them.

Boring, annoying, and predictable.
By:
colupaul
When: 23 Aug 13 14:55
Double on... Colchester @ 4/5 and Wolves @ 7/10...
By:
The Priest
When: 23 Aug 13 15:11
Good luck Dragon , the cynic in me and I can be Paranoid at most times says that the price is too good for Colchester , amazing how often bookies get these things right , but will go with you as on all known form and thats all we can go on surely Colchester stand out.

As I said very best of luck , will you be doing a running P/L for both types of bets to see how your doing?
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 15:41
thanks priest,

yes i know what you mean especially after only 3 games but hey i reckon its worth a punt. the bigger bets will come later

yes i will be doing a running P&L ,roi and SR for all the tips i post

Good luck to us all then
By:
dsmith
When: 23 Aug 13 15:54
Great to have this thread back, might encourage me to enter the forum more often.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 15:59
hello smithy trust all is well with you
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 16:00
drift on colchesterSurprised
By:
dsmith
When: 23 Aug 13 16:07
Yes thanks Dragon, currently sunbathing in Barbados. But hanging in there.
By:
kenilworth
When: 23 Aug 13 16:07
I will be out of here till things go wrong,
and that won't be much of a wait.
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