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Home United v Albirex Niigata

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Replies: 190
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:52
it's certainly an interesting strategy, my instinct tells me there is a certain amount of cutting your profit but it would definitely reduce risk.
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:53
to clarify for the hard of thinking (me!)
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:54
Back £10 u2.5 @ 2
Lay @ 1.85 for even profit
Back £10 @ 1.85
Lay @ 1.6 for even profit
repeat ad nauseum
???
Profit
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:54
agreed it cuts profit BUT if a game goes overs you still win - so equals itself out in the long term mate
Look at it this way - from the second a ball is kicked - your making money - UNTIL a goal is scored - so profits until you gren out - or a boom - i know which i prefer
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:55
the hardest is part is the reaction WHEN that goal is scored and you aren't greened out
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:55
yes darth - but personally i go for 20%
so id back @1.65, lay @ 1.45    (1.65 more likely figure for expected unders match - market should agree with you)
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:56
the top up - or cross fingers- but if you expect it to be undrs- you should still have hope - personally id top up like the guy said earlier and i think he did
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:56
also at what point do you stop? let say you rinse and repeat and have made 60 ticks.  Do you keep going on the same market?  Move up to the next market, so 3.5 goals?
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:58
wait wait
DONT repeat on the same game- not what i meant - if using the same game - get 15-20% - then wait for a goal - then go back in on the next level up ie 3.5gls-  roll over onto NEXT game is what i meant - sorry for inclarity
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:58
I only go back in on the same market if an early goal and i wasnt out in time - so i dont need the dds to drop as much to get out
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:59
always remember you're talking to a div when talking to me Blush so once you've got your ticks on a market the game is over for you?
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:59
yes mate..  i might go in at 80 mins if im bored - but not advicing that ;)
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 17 May 13 15:03

May 17, 2013 -- 1:47PM, CJ70 wrote:


Hapoel Ashkelon game could be interesting. Away side look to have nothing to play for and home side need to win.


just looking at the stats for this game, how is it 0-1, gonna lay away side

By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:03
what sort of bankroll growth do you experience per week/month?
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:04
I'm amazed the Amkar game got to 2-0.  3 shots on target all half
By:
sponge-bob
When: 17 May 13 15:06
bit disappointed with amkar game. Locked in at -55% of stake. Any pointers to reduce exposure going on previous posts ?
By:
sponge-bob
When: 17 May 13 15:06
Forgot to mention, I am on u2.5 from start
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 15:09
@Sponge - its aftetiming now - but i would have taken more at 1 goal, and again on the second goal - to try and reduce losses - then took small red HOPING no goal for say 10-15 mins after number 2 would have been greatly reduced red - you can try the same for 10 mins into second half - but its risky now- your money - so not advising what to do mate
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:09
I'm the same as you sponge-bob.  Except I haven't redded out yet.  GTFI's method would appear to look at the u4.5 market and steal ticks until you have made equal to your loss on the 2.5 market (I think)
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:10
so in this game GTFI you would top up your original unders bet yes? i did this but the second goal came almost straight away Cry
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 15:10
no, my method would have been to retake undrs at a goal IF you wasnt out in time - only move up a level if you was out and then a goal

ie - EXAMPLE ONLY
you took unders at 1.7 - goal :(  so retake at 2.4, goal - retake at 5's,  you now need unders to drop to around 2.3's instead of original 1.7's to get out
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 15:14
Pen Amkar. Are we expecting a missed pen?
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 17 May 13 15:14
Cry
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 15:14
3-0. Oh well.
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 15:14
Had three figures on that.
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:15

May 17, 2013 -- 3:10PM, GTFI wrote:


no, my method would have been to retake undrs at a goal IF you wasnt out in time - only move up a level if you was out and then a goalie - EXAMPLE ONLYyou took unders at 1.7 - goal :(  so retake at 2.4, goal - retake at 5's,  you now need unders to drop to around 2.3's instead of original 1.7's to get out


hmmm, again my first instinct is that this throwing good money after bad.  If the market is going to drop back to 2.3s you can red out for 60 tick loss.  But in order to regain that you've put another 2 bets on at same stakes as the original.  That is increasing your exposure 200% which, if the 3rd goal comes is a massive loss

By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:15
3-0, bugger.  I was starting to get hopeful then!
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 15:16
Got a bit on u3.5
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 15:16
Wondering whether to red.
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 15:16
any1 doing the cezh 2 game bohemains
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:17
I'm out on this game.  Called it completely wrong.  Lost 30% of my roll in the last 3 days
By:
sponge-bob
When: 17 May 13 15:18
Hey ho. Kept to the one single bet exposure and didn't try and average down, although interesting concept. Sounds very similar to stock market quick trades just taking small slices of profit.
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:19
the thing with small slices of profit is you have to make enough so that when it inevitably goes wrong you still come out on top.
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 15:19
I can asure you the trades work - you wont be giving a flying Sh ite what the score is in the game after quick trades
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 15:19
There's the Serie B draw which should be a near cert if you want to risk getting back up 1.3 last time I looked.
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:20
Cheers CJ, I'll just do what I always do, try and build it up slowly and trust my staking plan to let me swallow the downswings
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 15:21
gl mate...
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:23
3-1 now in Amkar
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 15:24
Oh well I didn't red out. Lost a big one there, misadventure!
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 15:25
indeed, been a horrible couple of days.  I'm back to where I was about a fortnight ago
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