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Home United v Albirex Niigata

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Replies: 190
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 14:02
365 need some money to watch
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 14:02
my acc  is 0.00 lol
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 17 May 13 14:03
them 2 Georgian games look suspiciously straight Cry
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 14:03
So far ;)
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:05
my 365 account is 0.08 Cool
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 17 May 13 14:07
I feel rich...mine's got a tenner in it
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:09
wow...is that english poounds? I remember seeing that much money once...I was very young
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:09
then i found gambling Surprised
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 17 May 13 14:19
Sad 1-0 Amkar
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:23
yeah - early goal :( might top up at odds against
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 14:25
2-0 Amkar. Race to 3?
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:26
bollox
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:28
moving swiftly on....Cry
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 17 May 13 14:28
u3.5 @evens
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 14:28
3 shots 2 goal  ??
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 17 May 13 14:28
decent money on 2-0 CS
By:
Punting for Profit
When: 17 May 13 14:28
singapore sucks
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:29
Can i ask a question guys - when you find what you believe is an unders game - why not take unders @KO then green out at 15% or 10 mins into the game? whichever comes first - then it doesnt matter if it finishes 6-6 lol
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:29
Singapore? Amkar is Russia mate ;)
By:
CJ70
When: 17 May 13 14:31
Good point. Looks like a 2-0 slightly worried because you normally get a late goal in such games.
By:
Punting for Profit
When: 17 May 13 14:31
I'm still on about home/albirex was on over 1.5 ref thread title
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:32
simply because that isn't my strategy.  If I find an unders game it means I think it is going to be unders.  Greening out at 15 ticks or so cuts dramatically into my potential profit. If you pick a game you believe to be unders, and then take 10 ticks and the FT score is unders, do you view that as 90% lost?
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:32
Kaposvari 1.'9s for a goal in the last 15 - :)
By:
Punting for Profit
When: 17 May 13 14:32
YOU NEVER GO BROKE TAKING PROFIT
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:33
@darth - I see it as profit because i greened it - ie win/win unders or overs
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 14:33
thats a good point
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:35
i guess my point is based around opportunity cost.  If you blindly bet on every game and green out after 10 mins then that's fine.  and if it's a winning strategy great.  If you've done the research and identified an unders game, greening out after 10 mins for a few ticks is effectively saying you don't trust your analysis?
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 14:35
if i cashout amkar now i can profit 100%+
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:36
then cashout Foto mate- profit is profit - with hundreds of gmaes - every £1 adds up
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:37
@GTFI out of interest what % of your bank goes on a game where you intend to take 10-15 ticks?
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:37
My analysis tells me that an unders game that i expect is great- until one of them score - then it all goes out the window - but the analysis uses shows that there isnt an early goal in those games
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:39
@darth - im NOT saying do this - but its how i play it  as follows.....

pick your stake - lets use £10 for arguements sake.....
£10...green it when it hits 15% - I actually go for 20% personally...
then keep rollingover until you hit half what you started with.. so £15--  take out 5...go again from £10

Hope that makes sense
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:41
but ONLY on games you have researched and believe will be unders.. dont go blindly into ALL games or you'll go bust very quick. Which I know you wouldnt - but some would lol
By:
darthginge
When: 17 May 13 14:41
yeah it makes sense, my interest is what happens in games where a goal is scored very early.  QPR v Arsenal springs to mind the other week.  At that point the market will have plummeted so badly it would take a long time to get to the point to break even/green out for ticks.

What do you do in that scenario?
How much of your bankroll is at stake?
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 14:43
i just lay my stake a small profit if it goes angasint me
By:
fotofor
When: 17 May 13 14:43
looking for next match
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:43
bankroll is around 5%... but id retake unders so i can green out at a higher price
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:44
let me look - i had that scenario last night in copa game -
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:46
Football > Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul : Over/Under 2.5 Goals    Showing 1 - 13 of 13 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Over 2.5 Goals    1.89    7.94    Back    17-May-13 04:32    7.10
Over 2.5 Goals    1.90    3.48    Back    17-May-13 04:32    3.13
Over 2.5 Goals    1.80    10.00    Back    17-May-13 04:29    8.00
Over 2.5 Goals    2.00    10.00    Back    17-May-13 04:33    10.00
Under 2.5 Goals    5.81    30.00    Back    17-May-13 03:31    -30.00
Under 2.5 Goals    2.85    30.00    Back    17-May-13 03:12    -30.00
Under 2.5 Goals    1.94    26.00    Back    17-May-13 04:35    -26.00
Under 2.5 Goals    1.73    50.00    Back    17-May-13 03:06    -50.00
Under 2.5 Goals    1.55    4.14    Lay    17-May-13 04:44    4.14
Under 2.5 Goals    1.58    4.88    Lay    17-May-13 04:43    4.88
Under 2.5 Goals    3.00    80.00    Lay    17-May-13 03:34    80.00
Under 2.5 Goals    2.22    30.00    Lay    17-May-13 03:24    30.00
Under 2.5 Goals    1.60    10.12    Lay    17-May-13 04:43    10.12
*Average odds: On  Off    Back subtotal:    -107.77
Lay subtotal:    129.14
Market subtotal:    21.37
Commission @ 4.82%:    1.03
Net Market Total:    20.3
By:
GTFI
When: 17 May 13 14:47
they kept scoring as i backed unders lol...  so i went back in @1 minute after the goal - let market settle
then pray ;)
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