Well here we go, after a Betfair vacation lasting nearly a year,i thought now would be a good time to return to the Forum pages, gonna dip my toe in the water and see if there is any sharks out there. I ran a blog last year and threw a few tips out there on the Forum as well, relatively successful for the first couple of months,then took a hammering off a certain Mr Messi, I had cleaned up previously over the last few years by laying him First Goal and on the Hat-trick market at the Nou Camp, so back to back Hat-tricks 0n 17th and 24th Sept 2011 were a little bit sore on the old Sky Rocket. So time to regroup get the head down and paper trade for a period, Messi obliged with 6 more Hat-tricks during the season, 4 of which came at the Nou Camp, so dodged 4 bullets that i probably wouldn't have recovered from had I continued to lay. Anybody who read my posts/blog previously will know I group STATS together and try and utilise the info to pick out Bets on here and with the online bookies that I believe represent a bit of value, or are just too good to miss even at cramped odds. I know people will will respond that following STATS will lead you to the poor house and to a certain extent Mr Messi has proved this as above^but up until last season I had been hoovering money up on the above bets by following the information I had gathered on Messis scoring patterns. I believe, in that utilising the STATS and factoring in your own opinion, there is an opportunity to make some money. I know posting on here opens the door to be shot down, and you become an easy target when things don't go well but I enjoy the research and if it even results in minimal success then I be happy. With the EPL starting back at the weekend this opens up more games to try and find an edge on, I will study up and see if there is any games Home or Abroad that offer an opportunity. International Friendlies are a minefield and as a rule I wouldn't normally wager on but think there might be a bit of value for very small stakes in the Serbia vs Rep of Ireland game. I believe the Bookings points market with Billy Hills 25-45pts 16/5, 35-55pts 7/1, over 45pts 17/2. Staking plan 2pt at 16/5 1pt at 7/1 and 1pt at 17/2. 3 bookingsrequired a lot I know for a friendly but the Ref has had 2 friendlies in last 4 years producing 3 cards in both, averages around 4 cards per game.