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hello :-)
17 Apr 12 00:09
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Date Joined: 09 Sep 09
| Topic/replies: 16,722 | Blogger: hello :-)'s blog
Normally something stands out but its pretty hard to find a value bet tomorrow nite , points to a tight game

Whats the play here Shocked

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By:
sofaking
When: 17 Apr 12 00:11
I might lay Real but not decided yet.  I think it'll be a tight game.
By:
utd
When: 17 Apr 12 00:12
Overs?
By:
sofaking
When: 17 Apr 12 00:13

Apr 17, 2012 -- 12:12AM, utd wrote:


Overs?


I don't think I'll go for overs.   1-1 maybe.

By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 00:17
Madrid never won in munich , so its a difficult one

More teams seem content with 0-0 at home aswell now so bayern may look to contain them plus madrids league form has been patchy , very hard game to call

Markets not formed fully yet but odds for most things look skinny at the mo
By:
bob_terwilliger
When: 17 Apr 12 00:18
see my champions league final predictions thread

madrid have lost 3 times in all comps all season

twice to barca
By:
sofaking
When: 17 Apr 12 00:19
Bayern very capable of a 0-0 at home.   I fúcking hate the bastards. Whoops
By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 00:23
Bit strong sofa Laugh

May take ozil for a card , german returning to germany may try to hard plus he will understand any insults Laugh
By:
sofaking
When: 17 Apr 12 00:25

Apr 17, 2012 -- 12:23AM, hello :-) wrote:


Bit strong sofa May take ozil for a card , german returning to germany may try to hard plus he will understand any insults


They've cost me many times in the past with their 0-0 draws but I've finally learnt my lesson.   i will lay Real and I won't be too unhappy if my bet loses. Cool

By:
bob_terwilliger
When: 17 Apr 12 00:26
They've cost me many times in the past with their 0-0 draws

Bayern or Real?
By:
sofaking
When: 17 Apr 12 00:26
Bayern.
By:
sofaking
When: 17 Apr 12 00:27
I see they did it again on Saturday against mainz.   they were 1.34 and drew 0-0.
By:
utd
When: 17 Apr 12 00:28
Ozil getting shown a card is tempting...
By:
elvissss
When: 17 Apr 12 00:37
Doubt if I'll have a bet in this one - 2 teams to score maybe

Some decent looking bets in the lower divs. Reading red hot at the moment
By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 00:38
Ozil doesnt normally get booked in a side that probably averages 4 or 5  yellows a game , he has only two yellows all season

Even he is only 4/1 , skinny odds everywhere , layers know it will be punted off the boards so shortening the lot
By:
Mariner Paul
When: 17 Apr 12 08:57
Munich to qualify looks short.
By:
loadedgimp
When: 17 Apr 12 09:06
hopefully I can get back before this match, I would bet under 1.5 first half goals for a trade, how long you stay in is up to you but at 1.5 if only one goal within the first 40 minutes you can easily make a trade (first goal can come in 1st minute or 30th, long as the 2nd doesn't come) but if the goal comes too early you will still be able to take a loss, probably at 1.7-2 max.
Lay either team and you should have a trading opportunity, Bayern took it easy in their last match so I expect Real Madrid lay to be safer.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 17 Apr 12 09:08
hello :-) 17 Apr 12 00:17 
Madrid never won in munich , so its a difficult one

More teams seem content with 0-0 at home aswell now so bayern may look to contain them plus madrids league form has been patchy , very hard game to call





27 wins in 33 league games, scoring 107 goals is patchy? I'd love to see what teams you'd class as being in good form then!
By:
maggotno1
When: 17 Apr 12 09:10
teams like mau untied and celtic biscuit that questions easy to answer
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 17 Apr 12 09:19
maggotno1 17 Apr 12 09:10 
teams like mau untied and celtic biscuit that questions easy to answer




who both have less league wins than Real. Great answer.
By:
green army
When: 17 Apr 12 09:43
I think crazily enough the market is being v harsh on Real, remember they are 4 points clear of Barca on merit and what price would they be here - 2.2ish ?

For me the yardstick is the other semi where I wold expect Chelsea to be only marginally higher than Bayern or the Europa Cup where the other Spanish teams have made the German sides look pretty weak eg atletico v Schalke - look for Real to be around 2.5 at ko
By:
berto77
When: 17 Apr 12 09:46
Madrid have been the most reliable and predictable team all season for me.

I can't see them losing tonight say I'll probably lay Bayern. As an outside bet, 0-0 would be a good result for Bayern and okay for Real.  Worth a tenner.
By:
moutrie
When: 17 Apr 12 11:42
back real madrid i think but in a tight game! robben and gomez wont get a sniff
By:
bob_terwilliger
When: 17 Apr 12 11:46
Madrid have been the most reliable and predictable team all season for me.

agreed. tonight a tough game though so a score draw will suit
By:
MoonJago
When: 17 Apr 12 12:12
I have to be with Bayern in this game they have been resting players for the last couple of league matches while Real havint had that luxury with Barca breathing down their necks. I agree that Reals league form has been patchy over the last few weeks. I think Lahm will keep tabs on Ronaldo and thats half the battle with Real. Going forward Bayern are one of the best in Europe Gomez himself has 40 goals this season and is second in CL goals behind Messi.

Bayern for me tonight.
By:
MoonJago
When: 17 Apr 12 12:14
And Real have El Classico at the weekend.
By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 12:14
Biscuits1979 i know how good madrid are mate ive been watching and backing them all season , all im saying is its not done and dusted , Bayern have played 9 won 8 and drawn 1 at home to real though , thats a big stat imo

Over two legs its real madrid for me but tonite is a very tough call whatever market you play in , i couldnt play in the win markets with any confidence but im thinking this will be a very hard fought game with bayern content to take a 0-0 to spain if need be , so bookings may be the market for me
By:
therhino
When: 17 Apr 12 13:20
Disagree with the 0-0 predictions, expect Bayern to go all out attack. Defense not good enough to keep out Real and they know it. Only hope is goals and I would expect them to play as such.
By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 13:32
Well with two out off the top 3 european strikers on the pitch i wouldnt do 0-0 either , tho it is a good result to take to madrid ,

I still believe this will be a tough tackling game , Bayern have the final and Madrid are the form team in europe so both want this more than a normal semi , bit more at stake for both

Just think yellows will be shown from the start
By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 16:09
Some nice odds appearing for individual bookings , wait on the final teams then decide , im thinking 7 yellows here but to who ?
By:
bluerock
When: 17 Apr 12 16:29

Apr 17, 2012 -- 4:09PM, hello :-) wrote:


Some nice odds appearing for individual bookings , wait on the final teams then decide , im thinking 7 yellows here but to who ?


I was also thinking bookings then I saw Howard Webb is the ref!

By:
Biscuit1979
When: 17 Apr 12 16:33
The more i think about it, the more i think this is no bet game and one to just watch and enjoy
By:
addrian
When: 17 Apr 12 17:01
perfect game for unders I guess as bayern will be happy to take the 0-0 to madrid and real will play it safe and try to go for the qualification on bernabeu thinking they will play barcelona next weekend..I fancy very much a 0-0
By:
wallis
When: 17 Apr 12 17:08
any other firms doing individual bookings apart from here and uni ?
By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 17:16
Howard will need to put his stamp on the game early imo

Doesnt want another world cup final on his hands Laugh
By:
chathamjack
When: 17 Apr 12 17:17
I think it's a game you need to watch first to see how Bayern actually start,

Madrid are far more consistent, but if Bayern look lively they could quite easily outscore them tonight.

obviously a lot of the emphasis will be put on Ribery and Robben, the latter having something to prove after he was forced out of Madrid when Cristiano was brought in, so that could play in his mind but equally on occasion they haven't turned up in games this season (particularly Ribery Cry) it makes Bayern far more narrow and easier to play against.

I think part of Madrids strategy will be to put Ronnie up against Lahm, Lahm's far more adept at going forward than defending and he's quite poor in the air so deep crosses to the back stick aren't off the cards

BTTS might be a decent shout with one eye on el classico Madrid would probably even take a narrow defeat for the sake of an away goal.
By:
hello :-)
When: 17 Apr 12 17:22
I think if your in the win or draw market it would pay to watch a bit first before committing thats a good idea , im playing the cards market though so need to be on before kick off ,


I can see at least 7 yellows in a hard fought game , will see the teams first then do 3 or 4 players depending on price
By:
chathamjack
When: 17 Apr 12 17:30
not sure about Madrid players, but Badstuber's probably good for a card depending on the odds, he's pretty clumsy and i've almost certainly seen milk turn quicker than him
By:
padlock
When: 17 Apr 12 17:59
madrid have much better players and so are likely to win imo,bayern been awful lately,of course they will be up for this but will lay them as expect draw or madrid win,hope bayern dont turn it into a borefest
By:
lukekelly88
When: 17 Apr 12 18:15
If Marcelo is playing and up against Robben i expect him to nick a booking,3's with Sky Bet. its too hard a game to predict,goina have a dabble inplay,forecasting these huge games can be impossible
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