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Shabba....
03 Nov 09 17:13
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Date Joined: 23 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 1,706 | Blogger: Shabba....'s blog
Here's my bets for tonight hopefully we can get a few up...

Man Utd v CSKA Moscow

Correct Score.... Lay Man Utd 2-0 Odds 6.60.... 5 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Owen Odds 5.80... 5 pts Lay

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay

AC Milan v Real Madrid

First Goal Odds.... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.40... 8 pts Lay

QPR v Cyrstal Palace

Half Time/Full Time... Lay QPR/QPR Odds 3.20.. 10 pts Lay

Total Goals.... Lay 4 goals or more Odds 4.10... 7 pts Lay

Just a few bets to make the night half interesting gl folks

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Replies: 41
By:
Shabba....
When: 03 Nov 09 21:06
Man Utd v CSKA Moscow

Correct Score.... Lay Man Utd 2-0 Odds 6.60.... 5 pts Lay........ Won 4.75 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Owen Odds 5.80... 5 pts Lay..... Won 4.75 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay... Won 6.65 pts

AC Milan v Real Madrid

First Goal Odds.... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.40... 8 pts Lay... Won 7.60 pts

QPR v Cyrstal Palace

Half Time/Full Time... Lay QPR/QPR Odds 3.20.. 10 pts Lay...Won 9.50 pts

Total Goals.... Lay 4 goals or more Odds 4.10... 7 pts Lay... Won 6.65 pts

Total Profit Including Commission.... +39.90 pts

Great night all round my new strategy is working like a charm
By:
fggggggfg
When: 03 Nov 09 21:10
wd
By:
Shabba....
When: 04 Nov 09 18:22
Lyon v Liverpool

Correct Score... Lay Lyon 1-0 Odds 9.80... 7 pts Lay

Half Time/Full Time... Lay Lyon/Lyon Odds 4.80... 10 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Bafetimbi Gomis Odds 10.50... 6 pts Lay

Dinamo Kiev v Inter Milan

First Goalscorer... Lay Diego Milito Odds 7.40.. 5 pts Lay

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay

Sevilla v Stuttgart

Correct Score... Lay Sevilla 1-0 Odds 8.20.. 10 pts Lay

First Goal... Lay 0-10 mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay

First Goalscorer.. Lay Fabiano Odds 4.80... 8 pts Lay

Another night of interest here's hoping for another full house gl folks
By:
Shabba....
When: 04 Nov 09 20:56
Lyon v Liverpool

Correct Score... Lay Lyon 1-0 Odds 9.80... 7 pts Lay... Won + 6.65 pts

Half Time/Full Time... Lay Lyon/Lyon Odds 4.80... 10 pts Lay... Won +9.95 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Bafetimbi Gomis Odds 10.50... 6 pts Lay... Won +5.70 pts

Dinamo Kiev v Inter Milan

First Goalscorer... Lay Diego Milito Odds 7.40.. 5 pts Lay... Won +4.75 pts

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay... Won +9.95 pts

Sevilla v Stuttgart

Correct Score... Lay Sevilla 1-0 Odds 8.20.. 10 pts Lay... Won +9.95 pts

First Goal... Lay 0-10 mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay.. Won +6.65 pts

First Goalscorer.. Lay Fabiano Odds 4.80... 8 pts Lay... Won +7.60 pts

Todays Profit... +61.2 pts

Total Profit.... +101.1 pts

Another full house until 2moro good night
By:
u want some
When: 04 Nov 09 20:58
Well done mate
By:
Charles1980
When: 04 Nov 09 20:58
awesome
By:
u want some
When: 04 Nov 09 20:59
How much is 1 point worth?
By:
Shabba....
When: 04 Nov 09 21:02
10 euro a point mate its just something I have been working on for a while so far so good a few close scares 2nite tho wit a few late goals helping me out
By:
u want some
When: 04 Nov 09 21:03
Well good work.
By:
swanny1982
When: 04 Nov 09 21:05
Excellent stuff, wd :-)
By:
u want some
When: 04 Nov 09 21:06
I like the lay of ROMA/ROMA tomorrow at 2.98.
By:
Shabba....
When: 04 Nov 09 21:08
Have not looked into 2moro's games yet mate I will have a look shortly I will let the odds level themselfs out a bit and decide before the games
By:
Shabba....
When: 05 Nov 09 18:53
A few bets for tonight hoping for another full house

Everton v Benfica

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.60... 7 pts Lay

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.60... 7 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Yakubu Odds 8.00... 5 pts Lay

Villarreal v Lazio

Correct Score... Lay Villarreal 1-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay

Fenerbahce v Steaua Bucharest

Correct Score... Lay Fenerbahce 1-0 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay

Werder Bremen v Austria Vienna

Correct Score... Lay Bremen 2-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay

Gl folks here's to a good night ahead
By:
guernseyw
When: 05 Nov 09 18:57
6 Selections Chosen
1 Levski Sofia v Red Bull Salzburg (Backing Levski Sofia @ 2.87)
2 Twente v Sheriff Tiraspol (Backing Twente @ 1.43)
3 Fenerbahce v Steaua Bucharest (Backing Fenerbahce @ 1.56)
4 FC Kobenhavn v PSV (Backing PSV @ 2.98)
5 W Bremen v Austria Vienna (Backing W Bremen @ 1.22)
6 Everton v Benfica (Backing The Draw @ 3.36

mug £3 at 79.42 = £235.26
By:
Shabba....
When: 05 Nov 09 18:58
good luck guernseyw I have giving up on accums there's always one that fcuks me up
By:
Finbad
When: 05 Nov 09 19:00
twente
werder bremen
nacional or draw

£8 doubles
£6 treble
By:
Shabba....
When: 05 Nov 09 21:12
Everton v Benfica

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.60... 7 pts Lay... Won +6.65 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.60... 7 pts Lay... Won +6.65 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Yakubu Odds 8.00... 5 pts Lay... Won +4.75 pts

Villarreal v Lazio

Correct Score... Lay Villarreal 1-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay... Won +7.60 pts

Fenerbahce v Steaua Bucharest

Correct Score... Lay Fenerbahce 1-0 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay... Won +9.50 pts

Werder Bremen v Austria Vienna

Correct Score... Lay Bremen 2-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay... Lost -57.60 pts

Todays Profit -22.45 pts

Total Profit +78.65 pts


A night that started so well I got done in the last 10 mins in the bremen game but these things happen onwards and upwards until next time
By:
u want some
When: 05 Nov 09 21:12
Unlucky pal, thats the problem with laying big odds.
By:
Shabba....
When: 05 Nov 09 21:15
Its the risk you take but over a period of time im hoping I will have a bit of an edge with these sort of bets gn folks im off this for the nite
By:
Finbad
When: 05 Nov 09 22:18
mine came in, how long do betfair multis take to come through? also how do you check your multi bets? cant find them!? cheers
By:
Craigyboy77.
When: 05 Nov 09 22:31
Shabba, just a thought, at 80 mins you could have backed the 2-0 scoreline in Bremen game at a much bigger price that what u laid it at.

Maybe it's worth a small bet to cover your liability next time, going very well tho :)
By:
Emmerson
When: 05 Nov 09 22:43
What are the points refering to when your winning the bets? And this seems pretty decent for making money, but how much did you start with? You usually need a largeish bank to win laying bets, thats why i don't do it cause if i put £50 in my acc i'd feel to tempted to just bet on normal matches.
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 18:11
Sorry guys I logged off last nite didnt see ur messages I had 5k in my account when I started this and I go with 10 euro per point as for the price on bremen in the last 10 mins I was out and never seen this but even if I did I prob wld not have traded out to be honest going to have a look thru a few games now I will post a few up in a bit
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 18:27
Derby v Coventry

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.8.. Lay 8 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.80... Lay 7 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Rob Hulse Odds 7.60... Lay 6 pts

Bristol Rovers v Southampton

Correct Score... Lay Southampton 1-0 Odds 11.00... Lay 5 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.90.. Lay 7 pts

Notts County v Bradford

Correct Score... Lay Notts County 2-1 Odds 9.80... Lay 7 pts

Half Time/Full Time.. Lay Notts Co/Notts Co.. Lay 10 pts

Gl folks here's to a good night
By:
chop180
When: 06 Nov 09 18:31
Can I ask what your selection criteria is, I hate to say it but that just looks like guesswork to me (apologies in advance if I'm wrong)
By:
mallethead
When: 06 Nov 09 18:32
GL with these Shabba, I do think an early goal is due though.
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 18:37
Cheers Guys I seem to have alot of luck with the 0-10 mins bet I just find in alot of games the first 15 mins teams are testing each other out thats my thinking for that bet as for guess work I just go with my gut feeling that one of the teams will score more or less in certain games so it is guess work in certain ways if I had a cyrstal ball I wld be a very rich man
By:
Charles1980
When: 06 Nov 09 18:38
most betting is guess work
By:
chop180
When: 06 Nov 09 18:44
Yes, sure teams test each other out in the first 15 mins, but that is reflected in the odds. I'm wondering what sort of edge there is in laying at nearly 5/1 and paying commission, do you know how often goals are scored during this period for example? Do you have any method for picking the sides? If not, it's just a case of dodging bullets and only a matter of time before some early ones go against you...
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 18:51
As I said chop I just go with my gut feeling if I fancy the bet I will go with it I dont do it in every game you can go thru all the stats and do it that way but who is to say the ref wont give a pen in the first min and ruin ur bet its all about luck also I dont know wat will happen wen the game starts I just feel over a period of time I will be up and thats wat its all about I will get stung now and again but thats just betting
By:
Charles1980
When: 06 Nov 09 19:42
early goal in the derby match
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 19:45
Got stung on the notts county at half time also seconds away from having tat bet up not looking good hopefully a few things will go my way in 2nd half to salvage something from the night as im looking at a few games late tonight so cld still get out of it with a small profit here's hoping tho
By:
martin_593114
When: 06 Nov 09 19:49
good luck with this shabba but i tried something similar and was doing quite well then had an absolute mare of a day and it all went wrong thats the problem one bad day will fu(k you over as i said tho good luck with it!
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 19:53
Cheers mate you will have bad days but im hoping over a period of time i can make it profitable but a few bad days on the spin and i will be fcuked all together
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 20:57
Derby v Coventry

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.8.. Lay 8 pts.... Won +7.60 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.80... Lay 7 pts... Lost -33.60 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Rob Hulse Odds 7.60... Lay 6 pts... Won +5.70 pts

Bristol Rovers v Southampton

Correct Score... Lay Southampton 1-0 Odds 11.00... Lay 5 pts... Won +4.75 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.90.. Lay 7 pts... Won +6.65 pts

Notts County v Bradford

Correct Score... Lay Notts County 2-1 Odds 9.80... Lay 7 pts... Lost -61.60 pts

Half Time/Full Time.. Lay Notts Co/Notts Co Odds 3.20.. Lay 10 pts... Lost -22.00 pts

Todays Profit -92.50 pts

Total Profit -13.85


An absolute disaster tonight everything that cld go wrong did go wrong but there's alot of football on at the weekend so onwards and upwards
By:
portvalefc
When: 06 Nov 09 20:59
wow
By:
u want some
When: 06 Nov 09 21:08
Im sorry to say it pal but this is what happens when you lay bets at massive odds. I wish you the best of luck to me it seems like your just guessing and this will always be the outcome.
By:
Shabba....
When: 06 Nov 09 21:15
these type of bets are always going to be guessing to be fair I dont know wat time a goal is going to be scored at or what score a game will end I just go with my gut feeling tonight it has backfired I just try to look for value bets if I can I thought the lay of notts county half time/ full time was a value bet I just got done on the stroke of half time these things happen there's alot of football over the weekend plenty of time to still make a profit for the week
By:
chop180
When: 06 Nov 09 21:18
There's nothing inherently wrong in going with gut feeling. I frequently do it myself. But I do try and justify it when I place a bet.

Having said that, I find it difficult to see how someone can see how anyone can say they have a gut feeling there won't be a goal in the first ten minutes of a game (or that it's less likely than the odds suggest), unless of course you have a reason for doing so. You would have to know a heck of a lot about both sides to have an edge, which isn't the same as with more normal markets.

Good luck anyway this weekend.
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