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Shabba....
03 Nov 09 17:13
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Date Joined: 23 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 1,706 | Blogger: Shabba....'s blog
Here's my bets for tonight hopefully we can get a few up...

Man Utd v CSKA Moscow

Correct Score.... Lay Man Utd 2-0 Odds 6.60.... 5 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Owen Odds 5.80... 5 pts Lay

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay

AC Milan v Real Madrid

First Goal Odds.... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.40... 8 pts Lay

QPR v Cyrstal Palace

Half Time/Full Time... Lay QPR/QPR Odds 3.20.. 10 pts Lay

Total Goals.... Lay 4 goals or more Odds 4.10... 7 pts Lay

Just a few bets to make the night half interesting gl folks
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Report Shabba.... November 3, 2009 9:06 PM GMT
Man Utd v CSKA Moscow

Correct Score.... Lay Man Utd 2-0 Odds 6.60.... 5 pts Lay........ Won 4.75 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Owen Odds 5.80... 5 pts Lay..... Won 4.75 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay... Won 6.65 pts

AC Milan v Real Madrid

First Goal Odds.... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.40... 8 pts Lay... Won 7.60 pts

QPR v Cyrstal Palace

Half Time/Full Time... Lay QPR/QPR Odds 3.20.. 10 pts Lay...Won 9.50 pts

Total Goals.... Lay 4 goals or more Odds 4.10... 7 pts Lay... Won 6.65 pts

Total Profit Including Commission.... +39.90 pts

Great night all round my new strategy is working like a charm
Report fggggggfg November 3, 2009 9:10 PM GMT
wd
Report Shabba.... November 4, 2009 6:22 PM GMT
Lyon v Liverpool

Correct Score... Lay Lyon 1-0 Odds 9.80... 7 pts Lay

Half Time/Full Time... Lay Lyon/Lyon Odds 4.80... 10 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Bafetimbi Gomis Odds 10.50... 6 pts Lay

Dinamo Kiev v Inter Milan

First Goalscorer... Lay Diego Milito Odds 7.40.. 5 pts Lay

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay

Sevilla v Stuttgart

Correct Score... Lay Sevilla 1-0 Odds 8.20.. 10 pts Lay

First Goal... Lay 0-10 mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay

First Goalscorer.. Lay Fabiano Odds 4.80... 8 pts Lay

Another night of interest here's hoping for another full house gl folks
Report Shabba.... November 4, 2009 8:56 PM GMT
Lyon v Liverpool

Correct Score... Lay Lyon 1-0 Odds 9.80... 7 pts Lay... Won + 6.65 pts

Half Time/Full Time... Lay Lyon/Lyon Odds 4.80... 10 pts Lay... Won +9.95 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Bafetimbi Gomis Odds 10.50... 6 pts Lay... Won +5.70 pts

Dinamo Kiev v Inter Milan

First Goalscorer... Lay Diego Milito Odds 7.40.. 5 pts Lay... Won +4.75 pts

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay... Won +9.95 pts

Sevilla v Stuttgart

Correct Score... Lay Sevilla 1-0 Odds 8.20.. 10 pts Lay... Won +9.95 pts

First Goal... Lay 0-10 mins Odds 5.50... 7 pts Lay.. Won +6.65 pts

First Goalscorer.. Lay Fabiano Odds 4.80... 8 pts Lay... Won +7.60 pts

Todays Profit... +61.2 pts

Total Profit.... +101.1 pts

Another full house until 2moro good night
Report u want some November 4, 2009 8:58 PM GMT
Well done mate
Report Charles1980 November 4, 2009 8:58 PM GMT
awesome
Report u want some November 4, 2009 8:59 PM GMT
How much is 1 point worth?
Report Shabba.... November 4, 2009 9:02 PM GMT
10 euro a point mate its just something I have been working on for a while so far so good a few close scares 2nite tho wit a few late goals helping me out
Report u want some November 4, 2009 9:03 PM GMT
Well good work.
Report swanny1982 November 4, 2009 9:05 PM GMT
Excellent stuff, wd :-)
Report u want some November 4, 2009 9:06 PM GMT
I like the lay of ROMA/ROMA tomorrow at 2.98.
Report Shabba.... November 4, 2009 9:08 PM GMT
Have not looked into 2moro's games yet mate I will have a look shortly I will let the odds level themselfs out a bit and decide before the games
Report Shabba.... November 5, 2009 6:53 PM GMT
A few bets for tonight hoping for another full house

Everton v Benfica

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.60... 7 pts Lay

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.60... 7 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Yakubu Odds 8.00... 5 pts Lay

Villarreal v Lazio

Correct Score... Lay Villarreal 1-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay

Fenerbahce v Steaua Bucharest

Correct Score... Lay Fenerbahce 1-0 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay

Werder Bremen v Austria Vienna

Correct Score... Lay Bremen 2-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay

Gl folks here's to a good night ahead
Report guernseyw November 5, 2009 6:57 PM GMT
6 Selections Chosen
1 Levski Sofia v Red Bull Salzburg (Backing Levski Sofia @ 2.87)
2 Twente v Sheriff Tiraspol (Backing Twente @ 1.43)
3 Fenerbahce v Steaua Bucharest (Backing Fenerbahce @ 1.56)
4 FC Kobenhavn v PSV (Backing PSV @ 2.98)
5 W Bremen v Austria Vienna (Backing W Bremen @ 1.22)
6 Everton v Benfica (Backing The Draw @ 3.36

mug £3 at 79.42 = £235.26
Report Shabba.... November 5, 2009 6:58 PM GMT
good luck guernseyw I have giving up on accums there's always one that fcuks me up
Report Finbad November 5, 2009 7:00 PM GMT
twente
werder bremen
nacional or draw

£8 doubles
£6 treble
Report Shabba.... November 5, 2009 9:12 PM GMT
Everton v Benfica

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.60... 7 pts Lay... Won +6.65 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.60... 7 pts Lay... Won +6.65 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Yakubu Odds 8.00... 5 pts Lay... Won +4.75 pts

Villarreal v Lazio

Correct Score... Lay Villarreal 1-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay... Won +7.60 pts

Fenerbahce v Steaua Bucharest

Correct Score... Lay Fenerbahce 1-0 Odds 7.20.. 10 pts Lay... Won +9.50 pts

Werder Bremen v Austria Vienna

Correct Score... Lay Bremen 2-0 Odds 8.20... 8 pts Lay... Lost -57.60 pts

Todays Profit -22.45 pts

Total Profit +78.65 pts


A night that started so well I got done in the last 10 mins in the bremen game but these things happen onwards and upwards until next time
Report u want some November 5, 2009 9:12 PM GMT
Unlucky pal, thats the problem with laying big odds.
Report Shabba.... November 5, 2009 9:15 PM GMT
Its the risk you take but over a period of time im hoping I will have a bit of an edge with these sort of bets gn folks im off this for the nite
Report Finbad November 5, 2009 10:18 PM GMT
mine came in, how long do betfair multis take to come through? also how do you check your multi bets? cant find them!? cheers
Report Craigyboy77. November 5, 2009 10:31 PM GMT
Shabba, just a thought, at 80 mins you could have backed the 2-0 scoreline in Bremen game at a much bigger price that what u laid it at.

Maybe it's worth a small bet to cover your liability next time, going very well tho :)
Report Emmerson November 5, 2009 10:43 PM GMT
What are the points refering to when your winning the bets? And this seems pretty decent for making money, but how much did you start with? You usually need a largeish bank to win laying bets, thats why i don't do it cause if i put £50 in my acc i'd feel to tempted to just bet on normal matches.
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 6:11 PM GMT
Sorry guys I logged off last nite didnt see ur messages I had 5k in my account when I started this and I go with 10 euro per point as for the price on bremen in the last 10 mins I was out and never seen this but even if I did I prob wld not have traded out to be honest going to have a look thru a few games now I will post a few up in a bit
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 6:27 PM GMT
Derby v Coventry

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.8.. Lay 8 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.80... Lay 7 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Rob Hulse Odds 7.60... Lay 6 pts

Bristol Rovers v Southampton

Correct Score... Lay Southampton 1-0 Odds 11.00... Lay 5 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.90.. Lay 7 pts

Notts County v Bradford

Correct Score... Lay Notts County 2-1 Odds 9.80... Lay 7 pts

Half Time/Full Time.. Lay Notts Co/Notts Co.. Lay 10 pts

Gl folks here's to a good night
Report chop180 November 6, 2009 6:31 PM GMT
Can I ask what your selection criteria is, I hate to say it but that just looks like guesswork to me (apologies in advance if I'm wrong)
Report mallethead November 6, 2009 6:32 PM GMT
GL with these Shabba, I do think an early goal is due though.
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 6:37 PM GMT
Cheers Guys I seem to have alot of luck with the 0-10 mins bet I just find in alot of games the first 15 mins teams are testing each other out thats my thinking for that bet as for guess work I just go with my gut feeling that one of the teams will score more or less in certain games so it is guess work in certain ways if I had a cyrstal ball I wld be a very rich man
Report Charles1980 November 6, 2009 6:38 PM GMT
most betting is guess work
Report chop180 November 6, 2009 6:44 PM GMT
Yes, sure teams test each other out in the first 15 mins, but that is reflected in the odds. I'm wondering what sort of edge there is in laying at nearly 5/1 and paying commission, do you know how often goals are scored during this period for example? Do you have any method for picking the sides? If not, it's just a case of dodging bullets and only a matter of time before some early ones go against you...
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 6:51 PM GMT
As I said chop I just go with my gut feeling if I fancy the bet I will go with it I dont do it in every game you can go thru all the stats and do it that way but who is to say the ref wont give a pen in the first min and ruin ur bet its all about luck also I dont know wat will happen wen the game starts I just feel over a period of time I will be up and thats wat its all about I will get stung now and again but thats just betting
Report Charles1980 November 6, 2009 7:42 PM GMT
early goal in the derby match
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 7:45 PM GMT
Got stung on the notts county at half time also seconds away from having tat bet up not looking good hopefully a few things will go my way in 2nd half to salvage something from the night as im looking at a few games late tonight so cld still get out of it with a small profit here's hoping tho
Report martin_593114 November 6, 2009 7:49 PM GMT
good luck with this shabba but i tried something similar and was doing quite well then had an absolute mare of a day and it all went wrong thats the problem one bad day will fu(k you over as i said tho good luck with it!
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 7:53 PM GMT
Cheers mate you will have bad days but im hoping over a period of time i can make it profitable but a few bad days on the spin and i will be fcuked all together
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 8:57 PM GMT
Derby v Coventry

Correct Score... Lay 1-1 Odds 7.8.. Lay 8 pts.... Won +7.60 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.80... Lay 7 pts... Lost -33.60 pts

First Goalscorer... Lay Rob Hulse Odds 7.60... Lay 6 pts... Won +5.70 pts

Bristol Rovers v Southampton

Correct Score... Lay Southampton 1-0 Odds 11.00... Lay 5 pts... Won +4.75 pts

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.90.. Lay 7 pts... Won +6.65 pts

Notts County v Bradford

Correct Score... Lay Notts County 2-1 Odds 9.80... Lay 7 pts... Lost -61.60 pts

Half Time/Full Time.. Lay Notts Co/Notts Co Odds 3.20.. Lay 10 pts... Lost -22.00 pts

Todays Profit -92.50 pts

Total Profit -13.85


An absolute disaster tonight everything that cld go wrong did go wrong but there's alot of football on at the weekend so onwards and upwards
Report portvalefc November 6, 2009 8:59 PM GMT
wow
Report u want some November 6, 2009 9:08 PM GMT
Im sorry to say it pal but this is what happens when you lay bets at massive odds. I wish you the best of luck to me it seems like your just guessing and this will always be the outcome.
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 9:15 PM GMT
these type of bets are always going to be guessing to be fair I dont know wat time a goal is going to be scored at or what score a game will end I just go with my gut feeling tonight it has backfired I just try to look for value bets if I can I thought the lay of notts county half time/ full time was a value bet I just got done on the stroke of half time these things happen there's alot of football over the weekend plenty of time to still make a profit for the week
Report chop180 November 6, 2009 9:18 PM GMT
There's nothing inherently wrong in going with gut feeling. I frequently do it myself. But I do try and justify it when I place a bet.

Having said that, I find it difficult to see how someone can see how anyone can say they have a gut feeling there won't be a goal in the first ten minutes of a game (or that it's less likely than the odds suggest), unless of course you have a reason for doing so. You would have to know a heck of a lot about both sides to have an edge, which isn't the same as with more normal markets.

Good luck anyway this weekend.
Report Shabba.... November 6, 2009 9:21 PM GMT
Cheers chop as I said earlier I have been quite fortunate with that sort of bet if you look thru all the games tonight you will notice there's never usually alot of goals in the first 10 mins I picked the wrong game tonight but these things happen
Report Shabba.... November 7, 2009 1:42 PM GMT
Aston Villa v Bolton

Match Odds... Lay Bolton Odds 5.90... 10 pts Lay

Correct Odds...Lay Villa 1-0 Odds 8.60.. 8 pts Lay

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 5.30... 8 pts Lay

Man City v Burnley

Correct Score... Lay City 2-0 Odds 8.20... 7 pts Lay

Half Time/Full Time... Lay Draw/Draw Odds 10.00... 6 pts Lay

Spurs v Sunderland

Correct Score... Lay Spurs 2-0 Odds 9.60..10 pts Lay

Half Time/Full Time.. Lay Spurs/Spurs Odds 2.52... 7 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Jermain Defoe Odds 5.30... 8 pts Lay

Wolves v Arsenal

Match Odds... Lay Wolves Odds 9.40... 8 pts Lay

Correct Odds... Lay 1-0 Arsenal Odds 9.40... 8 pts Lay

First Goal Odds... Lay 0-10 Mins Odds 4.80... 5 pts Lay

First Goalscorer... Lay Van Persie Odds 4.90.. 6 pts Lay

A nice football day ahead I hope it cant get worst than last night hopefully we can turn the corner today there will a few short nails today I feel another day like yesterday and I will have to rethink this betting lark gl folks
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