Stats are certainly not the key to success,but used in the correct way they can be a useful tool in gaining a view, an opinion and in some cases an upperhand in certain football betting markets.
I was amazed for instance Messi had only been the FIRST GOALSCORER at the Nou Camp on three occasions in each of the last 3 seasons in the league only 9 times in 57 games,he was freely available to lay at around 3.3ish in the first game of the season and sure enough Thiago netted first.I would have guessed without checking he would have been First Goalscorer in at least 20-25 games over the 3 seasons at the Nou Camp and know i have backed him blindly on numerous occasions,this stat showed there was value in laying him and also massive value in looking elsewhere for the first Goalscorer.
Of course i am not naive enough to believe all matches follow exactly to the stats associated to the teams/players taking part and of course football is a game of chance,but i think if you integrate the stats into your thinking and alongside your view on a particular match for instance you can find some value in nearly every game.
Of course there will be losses but i think using this formula there will be more wins than loses.
Over a short period of time i have posted some topics on the Football betting forum these i have included in my Favourites,i tried to utilise the stats available to me, then used these to form an opinion on the matches mentioned and placed bets accordingly.
I had previously been a gambler who bets were formed solely on my own opinion,without using any stats at all, in some cases i won and in some i lost.After monitoring for a period of time i realised i was losing not massive amounts but i was still losing. So i had a choice continue as i was or try something different i chose to put in more effort select my bets a bit more carefully and utilise the information and stats freely available to me to try and give me an edge.
I will post here in my blog and try and provide the betfair Forum with some information and stats on certain games to help you form an opinion on the game and hopefully help you get an edge on some of the markets.
Ps. Avoid my Horse tips.