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JUGADOR MEJOR
16 Oct 09 00:30
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Date Joined: 30 Jul 09
| Topic/replies: 1,604 | Blogger: JUGADOR MEJOR's blog
I have noticed that not many people on this forum post info about this game.
Do many of you play it?
I have noticed some good trading opportunities on this game.
Anyone got any comments?

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Replies: 57
By:
Celt82
When: 17 Oct 09 02:38
Anyone got any comments?

Yea i do - zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

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By:
Celt82
When: 17 Oct 09 02:49
lol just joking you.
By:
Flutter_kid
When: 17 Oct 09 16:07
I hates it. So slow! Not a fan - prefer the cards!
By:
Slippy Blue
When: 17 Oct 09 21:33
testing
By:
Jazza
When: 18 Oct 09 00:02
1-2-3
By:
FavNav
When: 20 Oct 09 21:35
probably the best game on here to b e honest. I play it most of the time...im doing quite well out of it, but it is very boring at times when ur waiting for sequences etc...but its profitable in the long run if u got patience!
By:
wolber
When: 21 Oct 09 14:26
tried everything and the only three strategies that work on games are

the derby game (only one winner no ties , not multiple ways to win either loads of ops to trade etc)
Lay the post handicap fav trade out asap

and Holdem poker (only lay hands that have higher kickers in other hands when the hand cant make a straight or a flush ..)

BlackJack lay only one has 21 pre deal and trade out

simple

derby game is the best though if you have the patience you can make money on this
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 21 Oct 09 15:05
I agree with you on the derby comment that there are no ties, this makes it a bit easier to look at trading strategies. However sometimes the post handicap favourite steams off, drastically lowering the odds. What do you do in this case?
By:
wolber
When: 21 Oct 09 15:23
on the occasions that this happens I trade out imediatley and prepare to lose half my stake. if you compare it with poker or BJ often you have no chance of recovering even a quater of your stake but in the derby racing you can most times get at least half back. Derby game has the edge over other games because there is only one way to win and normally about 4 - 6 rounds of betting.
By:
Celt82
When: 22 Oct 09 02:02
I run your strats for 9 hours & made 25 million quid , thanks mate.
By:
Grunweld
When: 22 Oct 09 08:28
wolber 21 Oct 15:26 wrote:
tried everything and the only three strategies that work on games are


Any strategy involving a trade out will not work long term, particularly where you suggest green and red trades on the same selection. All you are doing is placing 2 undervalue bets, instead of one.

The lay R2 poker hand with higher kickers in other hands, also will not work long term, with or without tradeout. This usually lays at high odds which means that any bullet you take will have a dramatic effect on your P/L. I agree that the odds for getting 2 pairs on the flop are higher than the odds offered for the selection, so on the face of it appears to be good value, but there is no way of completely eliminating the chance of a flush or straight being almost made on the flop or turn - and this would result in an expensive tradeout.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 23 Oct 09 17:41
Where is everyone?
By:
heed the baw
When: 23 Oct 09 17:49
pub
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 23 Oct 09 18:34
What, all afternoon?
By:
heed the baw
When: 23 Oct 09 19:23
i guess
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 24 Oct 09 21:02
The x-card derby racing has never frozen on me.
By:
Grunweld
When: 24 Oct 09 21:17
No, but hell will freeze over quicker than that game plays.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 26 Oct 09 14:32
You won't lose so quickly though.
By:
wolber
When: 27 Oct 09 11:24
the laying poker hands with 2 higher kickers thing works about 70% of the time on the occasion that it hits a bad hand you stand to lose about 15 x stake so it does make a profit all be a small one over time. I always set a limit and quit when I hit it on any game in my experience games more than anything else require discipline ..then you can make em pay. It is so easy to rack up a huige profit then the lot gone in the blink of an eye .
By:
Grunweld
When: 27 Oct 09 11:57
I botted that strat myself. The version in x-feeder free strategies section misses some bets and also places bets that don't fit the rules. It can only be played with a bot as there are so few bets, that you would fall asleep waiting for them. In my version I place a red trade in R3 if the price is lower than R2 and a red trade in R4 if the price is 25% lower than R3 and 20.0.

It probably does make money very slowly, but due to the incredibly low strike rate you would really need to test for at least a year to get enough bets. Need something more exciting than this. lol
By:
wolber
When: 27 Oct 09 15:09
yes I have a bot and it doesnt play if there is the possibility of a straight or a flush get about 3 bets per day. The other day got 12 bets up though !! I set a stop loss of £100 and a win max of £ 50
By:
Grunweld
When: 27 Oct 09 15:31
Interesting, but it is impossible to eliminate the chance of the hand hitting a flush or straight, before the flop is down. I don't lay any suited hands, but I forget about straights and just let the red trade in later rounds deal with these possibilities. I get a lot more bets than you describe - around 4-5% of games played.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 27 Oct 09 17:55
Fools, you have both missed a very important variable that will increase your hit percentage. Try looking at your data again it isn't blatantly obvious, but when you see it you will jump for joy.
By:
wolber
When: 28 Oct 09 13:41
what statistic is this ? ....if you have a hand where the two cards are in other hands with higher kickers , and you cannot make a flush or an obvious straight from it the odds to lay are normally about 15 - 20 where as the real odds should be about 49/1 ..this is value and value is the most important factor in betting ...plus who the hell are you calling a fool , if there is some rogue attribute that I have not considered then please share it and prove me a fool
By:
Grunweld
When: 28 Oct 09 17:44
I wouldn't take it personally, he's a bit of a loose canon, our Jugador.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 28 Oct 09 18:05
I do apologise, but sometimes i do like a wind-up.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 28 Oct 09 18:11
Wolber, you are obviously a very intelligent person and i am sorry if i offended you. I studied your strategy on Blackjack, but as soon as i started to use it the game kept dealing single Blackjacks or stands with one player showing 11, therefore green trades not possible.
By:
wolber
When: 29 Oct 09 07:59
no offense taken..there in lies the problem with blackjack when you lay a one has 21 and a blackjack appears you cannot really trade out . I forgot to mention that I normally wait until a blackjack has occurred before betting in the next hand, plus I often lay the dealer wins or ties AND one has 21 so at the worst i can get some stake back at the best I get a double winning lay. Slightly dissolusioned by BJ at the moment am focusing my efforts on poker and derby racing.
By:
Jazza
When: 29 Oct 09 16:28
I often lay the dealer wins or ties AND one has 21 so at the worst i can get some stake back

Not if the dealer wins with only 21.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 29 Oct 09 20:26
Thanks for that info wolber and jazza'
How often, percentage wise, does the dealer win with the only 21 showing.
By:
Jazza
When: 29 Oct 09 22:41
Too often I would guess. If I'm wrong are you saying this is a winner?
I've tried this sort of thing with no luck.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 30 Oct 09 00:08
Still looking at it, but shows promise jazza.
By:
wolber
When: 30 Oct 09 07:34
as I said I only do this occasionaly ..If a player has a blackjack and the dealer is sitting on an ace then you will not really be able to trade out on either lays ..and it is a horrible feeling . Like I say my main strateggies are on derby racing and poker
By:
Implosion
When: 30 Oct 09 11:07
wolber can u be little more specific about your strategy at hold'em pls?

e.x. r you laying preflop?

and u said cards with the highest kickers..e.x. A of spades 9 hearts it's the best hand in the field preflop,is that a kind of hand you'd lay?
By:
Grunweld
When: 30 Oct 09 12:14
It's a well known strategy, someone sells it and it's given away free by x-feeder on their website - so all of that means it probably won't make long term profit.

Lay any hand in R2 (preflop) whose cards also appear in other hands that have higher kickers, avoid laying suited hands.

so: 37 J7 44 93 - lay hand 1
also: 49 29 2K KA - lay hand 2 - 4 is a higher kicker than 2

The free x-feeder trigger doesn't lay all possibilities and lays some that shouldn't be layed. So you need to write your own trigger or bot.
By:
JUGADOR MEJOR
When: 30 Oct 09 14:40
What about laying the favourite pre-flop providing it has no chance of making straight or flush, has anyone tried that.
By:
wolber
When: 30 Oct 09 15:00
I dont use x feeder i use a much cheaper alternative that never seems to lay a wrong hand. The strat is fairly well known and is free on lots of sites
By:
Jazza
When: 30 Oct 09 16:27
What is it?
By:
Flutter_kid
When: 30 Oct 09 16:36
Good question!
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