dunlaying

Zavateri 0
Gstaad +1
Distant Storm +3
Alparslan +4+
Gewan +4
Saba Desert +5
Italy +6
Pacific Avenue +8
Oxagon +8


A thriller on paper . There have been big price winners in the past like Generous and Milk It Mick . I am not sure that all are classically engaged but the bottom two are so none is without a chance . 2lb per length .
Oxagon split two Longchamp winners last time but , according to my figures , they only improved by 1lb and 2lb . The figure for Gewan comes from The Acomb .
EDIT : It is worth noting Pacific Avenue at the price . Twice he has looked like he did not get home . Against Bow Echo the race was at 8f and in The Solario there was give underfoot . Today we are 7f on good to firm and some believe that he is there to make the pace . At 80/1 I am in for the price of a takeaway . It is iffy but can you see value in any other runner ?
....?...........
Midnight Tango 0
Coming Attraction +1
Calendar Girl +2
Senorita Vega +4
Brings Sister +4
Mood Queen +5
Classic Cuvee +5
Tavana +6+
Mubasimah +9+
Shady Dame +11+

............


One for the notebook Blue Jewel (IRE) . A Frankel out of a Dark Angel mare .
Re Longchamp , the clues are there to say that the going was not as stated . Asfoora wins , Givellotto runs well , Kalpana runs badly and so does Alohi Alii . It rode fast and Graeme North was the only "expert " to suggest that that might be the case .
As a final word , I have just heard a prize Jeremy say that Kalpana is not " the horse " she was when she ran so well against Calandagan .
Everybody seems to forget that that race was marred by the eccentric tactics employed by the Ballydoyle duo .

Asfoora -2
Monteille 0
Sky Majesty +2
Frost At Dawn +2
Rumstar +3
Mgheera +3
Ain't Nobody +3
She's Quality +4
Washington Heights +5
Rayevka +5
Jm Jungle +5
Afjan +5
Night Raider +6
Pontos +7
First Instinct +7
.........
Puerto Rico 0
Rayif +1
Time To Turn +1
A Bit Of Spirit +1
Nightime +4
Imperial Me Cen +7
Vardif +7
Campacite +10
Cielo Di Romano ???

Imperial Me Cen should be an outsider but 66/1 is too big . 8 lengths behind the winner last time giving her 4lb . Level with the rest and they were ;
Venetian Sun
Gstaad
Wise Approach
Outfielder a Wesley Ward confection
Coppull
...........

Argentine Tango 0
Song Of The Clyde +5
Hollywood Treasure +9
Arduis Invicta +10

I thought that Argentine Tango was over the top but connections knew what weight she would have and they know full well what she is capable of so it might be that this race has been the target .
....?........
Half Sovereign 0
Blakefell +2+
True Test +2
Jel Pepper +2
Come On Eibhlin +2
Wetsand +3
Straight Time +3
Mystic Moment +3
.........
If you like tilting at windmills , in the Sun Chariot , note that Sparks Fly is unbeaten in October .

Vafortino -5 handicap form
Vafortino 0
Duty First 0
Schutzenauber +2
Espero +2
Shootout +3
Quebec +5
Breizh Sky +6
Dhitjari +8
......
Sibayan 0
Tiffany +2
Alleno +3
Egina +5
Path Of Soldier +7
Columbus +8
Think Giant +10

Daytona -7? Possible
Bow Echo 0
Humidity +4
Ancient Egypt +5+
Pacific Avenue +5
Daytona +6 probable
Action +7
Lord Britain +10
Tailgunner Joe +14

It is messy .
...............
Beautify 0
Royal Fixation +1
True Love +2
Havana Anna +3
America Queen +3
Fitzella +6
Anthelia +7
Onions Belt +8+
Golden Palace +15
...............


Wise Approach 0
Coppull +6
Kansas +7
Hilitany +7
Havana Hurricane +7
The Publicans Son +8
First Approach +8
Brussels +9
Five Ways +11+
........
Geryon 0
Hawk Mountain +6
Al Haarith +8
Port Of Spain +9
Shaihaan +9
........
Composing 0
Green Sense +6
Dorset +8
Brownstown +8
August George +9
Punica Granatum +10
Stop The Nation +11
New Monarch +11
Take Charge Star +12+

Swinging The World 0
War Saint +2
Femme Beauty +2
John La Bear +6
Sinners Kid +8

Venetian Sun 0
Composing 0
Beautify 0
Suzie Songs +2
Skydance +6
Pivotal Attack +6
Precise +8
.......
Joyful Tidings 0
Many Cours +3
Brings Sister +4
Uncertainty +8
Sudbury Hill +8
..........
Asfoora 0
Arizona Blaze +3
Mgheera +5
Bucanero Fuerte +5
She's Quality +6
Lady With The Lamp +6
3lb per length and the range is only 13lb
............
Venetian Sun 0
Composing 0
Beautify 0
Suzie Songs +2
Skydance +6
Pivotal Attack +6
Precise +8
.......
Zavateri 0
Gstaad +1
North Coast +4
Saba Desert +5
Italy +7
Dorset +8
Often the Ballydoyle runners run below par here . Henry Longfellow won but had nothing to beat . Arizona ran 14lb below when Pinatubo bolted in .
........
Dumonet 0
Bolster +2
Uthred +3+
Daryz +3+
Nahraan +3
Croix Du Nord +3
Daring Prince +6
NB conditions . Daryz and Croix Du Nord are penalised .
The figures for Dumonet were arrived at before Arc trials day .
There has been no interpolation .

Do Or Do Not 0
Catullus +1
Sunset On Hero's +5
Frescobaldi +7
Avicenna +7+
Do Bronx +8
Sir Albert +9
Northern Champion +11+
Henkelow +12+
Electrical +13+
.......?..
Lady Iman 0
Military Code +5
Mission Central +6
Kansas +6
Havana Hurricane +6
Palmers +7
Argentine Tango +7
Revival Power +9
Dickensian +9
Exclamation +11
Killavia +13

Calendar Girl 0
Jel Pepper +1
Poatan +5
Rising Empire +7
Song Of The Clyde +8
Tadej +10
Brussels +11

I have had a spec bet on Cashbox +13+ .
Ran well enough on debut behind Gewan . That race has produced the winners of four races since and Gewan is favourite for The Champagne .
Following that Cashbox has failed to stay in , what looked like , moderate events , However , one of those events was won in a pretty good time and the other was at Brighton . The Brighton winner runs in a Gp2 tomorrow . The drop back in trip might help and 50/1 was too tempting . De Souza will be wielding the cosh . The prize money ensures that the horse will be off and some might be able to bet e/w 5 places .

Anmaat 0
Delacroix +1
White Birch +2
Shin Emperor +2
Royal Champion +3
Hotazhell +4
Mount Kilimanjaro +6
Zahraan +7+

If they all turn up Delacroix would be a lay if odds on .
I suspect he will shorten to 4/5 . He plays up and has a new rider .
Expanded is a forgotten horse but his two poor runs have been in G1 events and his baby form was at the back end .
............
Copacabana Sands 0
Skukuza 0
Alakazi 0
Expanded +2
Scorthy Champ +3
Mutasarref +3
Johan +3
Chicago Critic +3
Commanche Brave +4
Lord Massussus +5
.............
Fallen Angel 0
January 0
Exactly +1
Atsila +1
Vera's Secret +2
Cercene +2
California Dreamer +3
Queen Of Thunder +4
Sparks Fly +5
Cathedral +5
Duckadilly +9
..........
Gewan 0
Oxagon +4
Puerto Rico +5
Cape Orator +5
Cape Ashizuri +14+
....?.
Lambourn 0
Scandinavia +3
Tarriance +4
Furthur +5
Carmers +5
Stay True +7
Rahiebb +7
......
This could be an expensive weekend .