dunlaying

Quisisana 0
One Look +1
Kalpana +1
Ballet Slippers +1?
Wemightakedelongway +3
Bedtime Story +3
Latakia +4
Estrange +4
Waardah +8+
Danielle +9
........,
Words Of Truth 0
Egoli +3
Super Soldier +4
Mission Central +4
Kansas +4
Division +4
Ardisia +5

Egoli might be well over priced . He looked pretty good early on but lost his way , His last run was promising . The key race was Newbury July 19 , By my reckoning all that finished behind him that day have improved .

Benvenuto Cellini 0
Action +5
Oxagon +6
Hawk Mountain +8+
Rochfortbridge +8
Item +13+

The only interest for me is the running of Rochfortbridge . The horse that beat him at Pontefract has been forgotten , mainly because of the fuss made of Bow Echo . If the form is taken at face value Shayem would be right up there with Gewan .
Harking back to Champion's Day , for which the post has disappeared , I note that some people are stating that Rosallion is not the horse he was or even that he never was good . The Hannon yard has had a terrible season . Off the top of my head I could only think of two from that stable that have made an impact ; King Of Cities and Rosallion . Orions Belt is their only entry in the Irish Guineas and I can not think of one 2 y o of Hannon's that is any good . A return to form could see some of those babies particularly well handicapped .


A word of explanation about Dorset . I have two perfectly valid figures for him , +6+ would be ideal but as I back the top horse I have left him on top . Benvenuto Cellini is odds on and looks to be lay material . His latest form looks good on paper but it has taken knocks already . What did he beat ?


There are plenty entered that fall into the " could be anything " category e g Item and Hawk Mountain .
We need a Champion . At present I have Gewan just ahead of Zavateri and then Gstaad and the rest . I find it hard to believe that they are future Classic winners .
We might have a Champion in yesterday's Kempton winner . I can find two figures for the race and they are 1lb apart . I have taken the lower figure . Barring accidents he should improve by at least 7 lb . So , if I am correct , we have a potential star .

Ombudsman 0
Calandagan +2
Delacroix +3
Almeric +3
Almaqam +3
Fox Legacy +4
First Look +5
Economics +5
Prague +6
Mount Kilimanjaro +8
Devil's Advocate +11

Delacroix is not a certain runner . EDIT , oh yes it is ,
John Gosden will know the pacemaker is two classes below Ombudsman but given a big enough start he could come into the reckoning .

......?.......
Fallen Angel 0
Rosallion 0
Field Of Gold 0
January 0??
Exactly +1
Tamfana +3?
Quddwah +4
Marvelman +4
Alakazi +4
The Lion In Winter +5
Never So Brave +5
Docklands +5
Dancing Gemini +5
Facteur Cheval +6
Carl Spackler +7
Ciceros Gift +8

Field Of Gold looks to be worth laying here . Take a careful look at his form and you should see that he is a very good horse but probably not a great one . At The Curragh he beat a complete hound in Cosmic Year and Hotazhell who was on his seasonal debut . At Ascot he beat Henri Matisse and others that can be ignored . It might have been the poor Henri Matisse that turned up that day . Then there was Goodwood and his " lameness " . After a lay off he has to take on top class opposition . The shortest he should be is 9/4 and the last time I looked he was 6/4 .
..........
Lazzat 0
No Half Measures +2
Rosy Affair +2 NR
Witness Stand +3
Big Mojo +3
King Cuan +4
Spy Chief +5
Rayevka +5
Kind Of Blue +5
Inisherin +5
Art Power +5
Run To Freedom +6
Montassib +6
James's Delight +6
Flora Of Bermuda +6
Ten Bob Tony +8
Kings Gamble +8
Iberian +8
Powerful Glory +9
Quinault +10

2lb per length and wide open . Rosy Affair looks too high but the figure is there .
Good luck .

Zavateri 0
Gstaad +1
Distant Storm +3
Alparslan +4+
Gewan +4
Saba Desert +5
Italy +6
Pacific Avenue +8
Oxagon +8


A thriller on paper . There have been big price winners in the past like Generous and Milk It Mick . I am not sure that all are classically engaged but the bottom two are so none is without a chance . 2lb per length .
Oxagon split two Longchamp winners last time but , according to my figures , they only improved by 1lb and 2lb . The figure for Gewan comes from The Acomb .
EDIT : It is worth noting Pacific Avenue at the price . Twice he has looked like he did not get home . Against Bow Echo the race was at 8f and in The Solario there was give underfoot . Today we are 7f on good to firm and some believe that he is there to make the pace . At 80/1 I am in for the price of a takeaway . It is iffy but can you see value in any other runner ?
....?...........
Midnight Tango 0
Coming Attraction +1
Calendar Girl +2
Senorita Vega +4
Brings Sister +4
Mood Queen +5
Classic Cuvee +5
Tavana +6+
Mubasimah +9+
Shady Dame +11+

............


One for the notebook Blue Jewel (IRE) . A Frankel out of a Dark Angel mare .
Re Longchamp , the clues are there to say that the going was not as stated . Asfoora wins , Givellotto runs well , Kalpana runs badly and so does Alohi Alii . It rode fast and Graeme North was the only "expert " to suggest that that might be the case .
As a final word , I have just heard a prize Jeremy say that Kalpana is not " the horse " she was when she ran so well against Calandagan .
Everybody seems to forget that that race was marred by the eccentric tactics employed by the Ballydoyle duo .

Asfoora -2
Monteille 0
Sky Majesty +2
Frost At Dawn +2
Rumstar +3
Mgheera +3
Ain't Nobody +3
She's Quality +4
Washington Heights +5
Rayevka +5
Jm Jungle +5
Afjan +5
Night Raider +6
Pontos +7
First Instinct +7
.........
Puerto Rico 0
Rayif +1
Time To Turn +1
A Bit Of Spirit +1
Nightime +4
Imperial Me Cen +7
Vardif +7
Campacite +10
Cielo Di Romano ???

Imperial Me Cen should be an outsider but 66/1 is too big . 8 lengths behind the winner last time giving her 4lb . Level with the rest and they were ;
Venetian Sun
Gstaad
Wise Approach
Outfielder a Wesley Ward confection
Coppull
...........

Argentine Tango 0
Song Of The Clyde +5
Hollywood Treasure +9
Arduis Invicta +10

I thought that Argentine Tango was over the top but connections knew what weight she would have and they know full well what she is capable of so it might be that this race has been the target .
....?........
Half Sovereign 0
Blakefell +2+
True Test +2
Jel Pepper +2
Come On Eibhlin +2
Wetsand +3
Straight Time +3
Mystic Moment +3
.........
If you like tilting at windmills , in the Sun Chariot , note that Sparks Fly is unbeaten in October .

Vafortino -5 handicap form
Vafortino 0
Duty First 0
Schutzenauber +2
Espero +2
Shootout +3
Quebec +5
Breizh Sky +6
Dhitjari +8
......
Sibayan 0
Tiffany +2
Alleno +3
Egina +5
Path Of Soldier +7
Columbus +8
Think Giant +10

Daytona -7? Possible
Bow Echo 0
Humidity +4
Ancient Egypt +5+
Pacific Avenue +5
Daytona +6 probable
Action +7
Lord Britain +10
Tailgunner Joe +14

It is messy .
...............
Beautify 0
Royal Fixation +1
True Love +2
Havana Anna +3
America Queen +3
Fitzella +6
Anthelia +7
Onions Belt +8+
Golden Palace +15
...............


Wise Approach 0
Coppull +6
Kansas +7
Hilitany +7
Havana Hurricane +7
The Publicans Son +8
First Approach +8
Brussels +9
Five Ways +11+
........
Geryon 0
Hawk Mountain +6
Al Haarith +8
Port Of Spain +9
Shaihaan +9
........
Composing 0
Green Sense +6
Dorset +8
Brownstown +8
August George +9
Punica Granatum +10
Stop The Nation +11
New Monarch +11
Take Charge Star +12+

Swinging The World 0
War Saint +2
Femme Beauty +2
John La Bear +6
Sinners Kid +8

Venetian Sun 0
Composing 0
Beautify 0
Suzie Songs +2
Skydance +6
Pivotal Attack +6
Precise +8
.......
Joyful Tidings 0
Many Cours +3
Brings Sister +4
Uncertainty +8
Sudbury Hill +8
..........
Asfoora 0
Arizona Blaze +3
Mgheera +5
Bucanero Fuerte +5
She's Quality +6
Lady With The Lamp +6
3lb per length and the range is only 13lb
............
Venetian Sun 0
Composing 0
Beautify 0
Suzie Songs +2
Skydance +6
Pivotal Attack +6
Precise +8
.......
Zavateri 0
Gstaad +1
North Coast +4
Saba Desert +5
Italy +7
Dorset +8
Often the Ballydoyle runners run below par here . Henry Longfellow won but had nothing to beat . Arizona ran 14lb below when Pinatubo bolted in .
........
Dumonet 0
Bolster +2
Uthred +3+
Daryz +3+
Nahraan +3
Croix Du Nord +3
Daring Prince +6
NB conditions . Daryz and Croix Du Nord are penalised .
The figures for Dumonet were arrived at before Arc trials day .
There has been no interpolation .