dunlaying

Havana Anna 0
Venetian Sun +1
Wise Approach +1
Song Of The Clyde +2
Samangan +3
Albert Einstein +3
Charles Darwin +4
Brussels +4
Outfielder +5
Zanthos +6
My Calyx Cen +6
Aspect Island +6
Fitzella +7
Spicy Marg +7
Northern Champion +7
Kimi Rey +7
Division +7
Coppull +7
Super Soldier +8
Midnight Tango +8
Havana Hurricane +8
Rock On Thunder +13
At 2lb per length there must be a rag worth backing . What about Fitzella ? Has a couple of good runs behind True Love in the book and has Ascot form .
...........
Ombudsman 0
Daryz +1
Kalpana +2
See The Fire +2
Minnie Hauk +2
Almaqam +4+
Dancing Gemini +6
Mississippi River +9
Devil's Advocate +9
EDIT : fwiw at levels
Ombudsman 0
Calandagan +2
Bay City Roller +2
Daryz +3
.....?.
Commanche Brave 0
Great Wish +1
Time For Sandals +2
Satano Reve +2
Sajir +3
Rosy Affair +3+
Night Raider +3
Flora Of Bermuda +3
Powerful Glory +4
Overpass +4
Big Mojo +4
Sayidah Dariyan +5
Marvelman +5
Joliestar +5
James Delight +5
Almeraq +5

Gstaad -1
Benvenuto Cellini 0
Causeway +1
Constitution River +2+
Christmas Day +3
Montreal +4
Hawk Mountain +4
Thesecretadversary +5
Pierre Bonnard +5
Piazza San Marco +5
James J Braddock +5
Italy +5
Endorsement +5
Action +5
A Boy Named Susie +6
Raheeb +7+
Isaac Newton +7
Ancient Egypt +7
Water To Wine +8+ wntbs
Bay Of Brilliance +8+

I have left a few out .
Alderman ran a good race at Epsom and seemed to shore up my figure for Water To Wine .
I am having second thoughts about Bay Of Brilliance . He was going nowhere close to home in The Derby . Unless there was an excuse he looks as if 11f is his limit in the top grade . With hindsight there was a suspicion of that at Lingfield . I will continue to follow him however .

Some people still fail to see how good Bay City Roller is . " A good horse in the mud " they say . But it was not mud at Chester or The Curragh .

.
Asfoora 0
Rayevka 0
Monteille +2
Time For Sandals +3
American Affair +3
Jakajaro +3
Rosy Affair +4+
Belike +4+
Night Raider +4
Rumstar +4
Miss Attitude +4
Frost At Dawn +4
Azure Angel +4
Aint Nobody +4
Overpass +5
Mission Central +5
Cover Up +5
Big Mojo +5
JM Jungle +6
Stardust +8
Mgheera +10
First Instinct +10
Shagraan +11
Khaadem +11
Getreadytorumble +11
Heavenly Heather +16

3lb per length

Opera Ballo 0
Zeus Olympios +1
Notable Speech +2
More Thunder +3
Ten Bob Tony +4
Ciceros Gift +4
First Conquest +4
Damysus +5
Docklands +6

............
Gstaad 0+
Talk Of The Town +1+
Bow Echo +1
Power Blue +2
Puerto Rico +5

Do remember that it is 2lb a length for both races .

Ombudsman's win at Sandown is puzzling , In short he ran as if he had no penalty on his back or he is a superstar or he is so strong that he did not notice the extra 7lb . I have opted for the last option . Others put it down to the lack of pace through part of the race , It is curious that people arrive at the same conclusion given that they use completely different methods .
Bedouin Prince ran a fine race as both he and Arabian Light were only there to ready themselves for Ascot . He ran 7lb below the high figure that I had him on so he really could be a good group horse .
Arabian Light might have improved too .
............??........
EDIT : Talk Of Bow Echo and Gstaad being great horses is nonsense . Look behind them and you find Lord Britain beaten less than 7 lengths Non stayer Power Blue not beaten far either. .
.

Witness Stand 0
Ten Bob Tony +1
Pearl Master +1
Never So Brave +2
Alcantor +3
Chicago Critic +6
Golden Mind +9
Balmacara +11

Yet again a post has been taken down for no reason .

Benvenuto Cellini 0+
Item +2+
Christmas Day +3
Pierre Bonnard +5+
James J Braddock +5
Action +5
Ancient Egypt +7+
Rebel Rocker +7
Bay Of Brilliance +8+
Maltese Cross +8
Balzac +9
Alderman +13
ATaste Of Glory +19
Poker +23

At present the 3 y o colts look much of a muchness .
The figure for Causeway is 8f form .
Fourth at Chantilly A Boy Named Susie paid a compliment to Christmas Day .
If Action runs he is likely to shorten up as many will spot the line with Benvenuto Cellini and Hawk Mountain .
From the original 10 on the "sure to get the trip , engaged at Epsom and The Curragh " list just four remain
Benvenuto Cellini
Pierre Bonnard
Bay Of Brilliance
Christmas Day . I am going to throw a few quid at a Tricast / forecast combination . Just in case .
In fact only seven qualified ,, the other three were Raheeb , Joulany and Port Ferdinand . The last named has earned a rating of 92 .
Some people worry that Colin Keane is inexperienced over the Derby course . The following might well have been trying Epsom for the first time :
Yes St Martin
T P Glennon
Willie Shoemaker
Mickael Barzalona
The great Paddy Beggy and the very likeable Emmet McNamara
I would have no worries about Colin Keane .
As for handling the track Lester said that if they are good enough they will handle it .
And for the Lingfield form my concern is that the third horse holds it back . Balzac became upset before the race and pulled his chance away during it .  Under the circumstances a Derby winner should have finished more than seven lengths in front of him . The trainer of Balzac says that he was short of a gallop at Lingfield .
Last season was dreadful for young Hannon . His babies were useless but now he is back on song I would not write off Alderman with respect to the place only markets . With interpolation it would be easy to push the horse up a few pounds .
...?.......?..

Calandagan 0
Bay City Roller 0
Lambourn +3
Jan Breugel  +4
Convergent +5
Illinois +6


The figure for Bay City Roller is from Munich on heavy ground , it is not from his close second to Daryz . He has not got the class of Calandagan but he is not without his chance .

This should make you choke . I thought it looked like a duel between Gethin and Ombudsman ,

Bedouin Prince 0
Almeric +1
Gethin +4+
Wimbledon Hawkeye +4
Arabian Light +4
Ombudsman +6

The top figure is from handicap form and I suppose he could be there to help the favourite . A very interesting event . The favourite has to be taken on .

Gstaad 0
Alparslan 0
Power Blue +1
Distant Storm +2
Neolithic +4
Thesecretadversary +5
Pacific Avenue +7
Go Just Do It +7+
Take Charge Star +11+
Bamako Beach +12+

The favourite is a lay , 4/9 is a joke .

Clearly Robson thinks Power Blue did not run his race at HQ and the same goes for Fozzy Stack with his charge .
The 10f horses came to the fore at Newmarket .
...?............
True Love 0
Precise +1
Beautify +2
America Queen +4
Magny Cours +5
Kensington Lane +5
Black Caviar Gold +6
Hope Queen +7
Abashiri +8+
Pivotal Attack +8
Sinmara +10
Sukampa +11

Beautify was second to Precise with Venetian Sun 2 1/2 lengths back in third last season . That is why she is so high in the list and she could be place value . 33/1 with Betfair so probably 50/1 or better elsewhere .
.........
Bay City Roller 0
Minnie Hauk +2
Almaqam +4
Saddadd +7
Royal Rhyme +7
Green Impact +7
Edward Hamilton +7
Tiberius Thunder +11

Amelia Earhart 0
Sugar Island 0
Venetian Lace +2
Legacy Link +2
A La Prochaine +3
On Message +4
K Sarra +4
Thundering On +5
Cameo +6


Beautify was probably flattered and is unlikely to get home .

Amelia Earhart looks short . Plenty of ability but she could boil over .
The figure for Precise goes beyond the norm but the form can not be read any other way . One "expert " , after a visit to Ballydoyle , said the vibes were that she was not ready yet . To this rank amateur she looked plenty ready enough even though both horse and rider looked untidy in the last furlong .


Almaqam did nothing that he has not done before .

Zeus Olympios 0
Notable Speech +1
More Thunder +2
Ciceros Gift +3
Sahlan +4
Damysus +4
The Lion In Winter +5
Jonquil +5
Dancing Gemini +5
Mississippi River +8
...........
Take a look at a replay of this year's Greenham . At 6f there is precious little between Albert Einstein and Aqpan .