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New Zealand v Bangladesh - 1st Test at Wellington

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Replies: 782
By:
pxb
When: 12 Jan 17 23:33
I had a draw lay at 4.1 which I cancelled an hour ago. I think the draw could go quite short. But NZ scoring quickly against carp Ban batting noted.
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Jan 17 23:40

Jan 12, 2017 -- 11:33PM, pxb wrote:


I had a draw lay at 4.1 which I cancelled an hour ago. I think the draw could go quite short. But NZ scoring quickly against carp Ban batting noted.


They might start slowly though as the Kiwi openers are not particularly dynamic

By:
detraveller
When: 12 Jan 17 23:43
NZ price stuck at around 1.55 even though it doesn't look like a wicket will fall and runs are coming.
By:
tyco161
When: 12 Jan 17 23:46
looks very easy for Bangladesh at the moment doesn't it. NZ could easy get 400 + on this too
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Jan 17 23:46

Jan 12, 2017 -- 11:46PM, tyco161 wrote:


looks very easy for Bangladesh at the moment doesn't it. NZ could easy get 400 + on this too


easily

By:
pxb
When: 12 Jan 17 23:50
Might be some drizzle that hangs around Sunday morning. Hard to say at this point.
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Jan 17 23:51

Jan 12, 2017 -- 11:15PM, Fatslogger wrote:


Jan 12, 2017 -- 11:05PM, detraveller wrote:Just saying, within the last 50 days, 3 teams have scored 400 in their first inings and still lost by an innings.I'll agree with juce here. Can't see Draw price shortening just because Bangla are batting well first up. Remember they could still quite easily be 260 all out.While I agree with this up to a point, Bangladesh would have to try quite hard to be all out for 260 and if they look like they're shaping up to get 400, let alone over that, the market will assuredly react to that, even though I would definitely still consider the Kiwi win the most likely outcome even if Bangladesh get 400 (not so sure if it's 450 though). The draw market isn't reacting too much to this partnership other than initially, now stalled back in the mid 4s with my lay nibbled but not bitten hard on. Oh, now it's gone a little bit, back to considering my 4.2.


yeh 450 and NZ backers will start to worry, especially as pxb says, could be a bit of rain Sunday morning.

By:
jucel69
When: 12 Jan 17 23:53
maybe those ODIs and T20s have allowed Bangla to get a grip of the decks in NZ
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Jan 17 23:57
juce you thinking of backing NZ? I think I will back them at 1.7 as my lays have done well.
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Jan 17 23:57
listening to the radio, it is an actual live a feed.
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Jan 17 23:58

Jan 12, 2017 -- 11:57PM, detraveller wrote:


juce you thinking of backing NZ? I think I will back them at 1.7 as my lays have done well.


I always so, what odds will NZ be at the end of the innings & even if Bangla get 450, about 1.7/1.8 seems a good entry point

By:
detraveller
When: 13 Jan 17 00:00
Which radio station you listening to? Ive lost the link and now cant find it.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 00:00
http://www.radiosport.co.nz/on-demand/listen-from-overseas/
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 00:01
you hear the dismissals before the odds change!
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Jan 17 00:09
thanks. the streams ive bookmarked, i see odds change and i open my stream to watch the fall of wicket live :)
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 13 Jan 17 00:12
Bangers look silly short now, how on earth could they take 20 wickets outside Asia?
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 13 Jan 17 00:17

Jan 13, 2017 -- 12:01AM, jucel69 wrote:


you hear the dismissals before the odds change!


That always catches my attention, think i'll tune in but last time I tried that station it had an unmanageable delay.  Antipodeans are also Promiscuous Geo-Blockers.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 13 Jan 17 00:34

Jan 13, 2017 -- 12:12AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Bangers look silly short now, how on earth could they take 20 wickets outside Asia?


Luck? Have to say, it does seem unlikely and I'm looking for a lay at 7.8.

By:
tyco161
When: 13 Jan 17 00:38
I understand the theory behind laying Bangladesh but thats the same as taking short odds and I am not a fan. Would rather back the draw for more bang for buck....  If Bangladesh do get 400... I guess that is what the market is expecting at the moment. Anything over 450 though and the draw might drop appreciably.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 00:54
http://www.metservice.com/maps-radar/rain-forecast/rain-forecast-3-day

If you look on this map, Sunday morning has rain over Wellington in the morning
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:01
Once the draw breaks 3, it normally goes down pretty quickly
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:02
like that!
By:
tyco161
When: 13 Jan 17 01:04
interesting. never realised that.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:05

Jan 13, 2017 -- 1:04AM, tyco161 wrote:


interesting. never realised that.


same with 4 a swell. 3s & 4s are often sticking points of resitance

By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:05
*resistance
By:
tyco161
When: 13 Jan 17 01:10
Thanks Jucel, might do some research on that..
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:15

Jan 13, 2017 -- 1:05AM, jucel69 wrote:


Jan 13, 2017 --  1:04AM, tyco161 wrote:interesting. never realised that.same with 4 a swell. 3s & 4s are often sticking points of resitance


Also, when the heavy favourite breaks 2. Tends to move rapidly after that, wickets permitting

By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:16
Who'd have thunk this would have happenedCrazy?!
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:17
Draw dropping like the proverbial.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:18
Match odds are saving my horrific run lines!
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:19
breaks 2Surprised
By:
tyco161
When: 13 Jan 17 01:19
that draw drop in the last 10 mins is extreme.
By:
tyco161
When: 13 Jan 17 01:20
my run lines are looking great.... thanks Jucel :P
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:20
CryLaugh My match odds are compensating; thank fcuk for that.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:22
boundaries agogo
By:
pxb
When: 13 Jan 17 01:27
None of us expected Ban to do this well.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:29

Jan 13, 2017 -- 1:27AM, pxb wrote:


None of us expected Ban to do this well.


Especially yesterday with that vile weather. However, the weather was that bad, it affected the Kiwis more!

By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:48
I remember Bangla doing this in Galle, cost me a king's ransom!
Thankfully this time managed to make a fair bit.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Jan 17 01:49
top knock from Shakib
By:
tyco161
When: 13 Jan 17 01:51
Yep well batted, came in at a pretty difficult moment for Bangladesh.
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