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New Zealand v Bangladesh - 1st Test at Wellington

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By:

pxb When: 12 Jan 17 04:46

25 overs scheduled.

Light shouldn't be a problem at this time of year.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 04:47

a few wickets would be nice

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 04:47

Bangla will feel stiff if they lose a few wickets here

By:

tyco161 When: 12 Jan 17 05:14

Bangla batting very well here.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:17

Jan 12, 2017 -- 5:14AM, tyco161 wrote:

Bangla batting very well here.

yeh, it's starting to annoy me

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:19

yes!

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:19

sweating on that tbf after laying the draw massively at 3.85

By:

pxb When: 12 Jan 17 05:19

We could see Ban 350 v NZ 400 and the draw sub 1.5. These grassed NZ wickets don't deteriorate much.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:20

Jan 12, 2017 -- 5:19AM, pxb wrote:

We could see Ban 350 v NZ 400 and the draw sub 1.5. These grassed NZ wickets don't deteriorate much.

I think it will swing and seam more tomorrow + get quicker and then flatten out day 3/4

By:

pxb When: 12 Jan 17 05:21

Or maybe not!

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:25

Jan 12, 2017 -- 5:21AM, pxb wrote:

Or maybe not!

you have more trust in the Bangla batsmen than me pxb

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:28

feckin dropped

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:33

what a farce

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:34

that must be it for the day

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 05:35

Santner cost me a packet there ffs

By:

pxb When: 12 Jan 17 05:58

Cost me a bit too, but Ban has gone out to 20s anyway.

By:

tyco161 When: 12 Jan 17 09:22

Draw going out though Juce, so you should be ok when we wake up to sunshine (or at least no rain)

By:

tyco161 When: 12 Jan 17 21:36

If Bangladesh apply themselves they could get a good score here.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 21:41

Jan 12, 2017 -- 9:36PM, tyco161 wrote:

If Bangladesh apply themselves they could get a good score here.

One of the most important words in the English language 'if'

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 21:47

looks a different game today, roll em roll em roll em

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 21:49

just a bit more pace in the deck and the bowlers are able to control the ball

By:

tyco161 When: 12 Jan 17 21:49

haha if is a good word. NZ looking keen today for sure. Bangladesh need to see off the first half hour, but that wicket will not be helpful.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 21:51

Mehedi Hasan Miraz, Taskin Ahmed, Subashis Roy, Kamrul Islam Rabbi

Long tail + Sabbir is more of a T20 slogger

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 21:52

laid 325 too to try and cover my 200 runs loss yesterday

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 21:55

Jan 12, 2017 -- 9:52PM, jucel69 wrote:

laid 325 too to try and cover my 200 runs loss yesterday

at evens

By:

pxb When: 12 Jan 17 21:59

My 225 runs lay isn't looking good, but all green on match odds, so basically a wash.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 22:00

still plenty of boundaries flowing

By:

tyco161 When: 12 Jan 17 22:02

I may have been on the other side of your 325 lay Juce...

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 22:05

Jan 12, 2017 -- 10:02PM, tyco161 wrote:

I may have been on the other side of your 325 lay Juce...

well at least one of us will be happy at the end of the inns

By:

tyco161 When: 12 Jan 17 22:06

your not wrong there... :)

By:

pxb When: 12 Jan 17 22:53

Any thoughts on pitch deterioration? If it doesn't much, I'm thinking a draw likely. Which Ban would be happy with.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 23:00

Jan 12, 2017 -- 10:53PM, pxb wrote:

Any thoughts on pitch deterioration? If it doesn't much, I'm thinking a draw likely. Which Ban would be happy with.

The pitch looks fine, the draw could trade low. However, it very rarely ends in a draw as a 2nd inns collapse happens more often than not

By:

Fatslogger When: 12 Jan 17 23:01

Jan 12, 2017 -- 10:53PM, pxb wrote:

Any thoughts on pitch deterioration? If it doesn't much, I'm thinking a draw likely. Which Ban would be happy with.

Kiwi wickets start green and end up flat, don't they? It's unusual for one to deteriorate much. I'm not sold on the Bangladesh batting doing enough for a draw this innings and next (scoring 400 is not a guarantee of safety if their attack gets taken to bits in unfamiliar territory) even from this very promising start for them but it's where I'm aiming to have my green for now, having backed draw 5.2 then mid 4s on the way down, looking to lay it off starting 4.2 down to mid 3s.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 23:02

I don't think the draw will go low until Bangla make a decent start 2nd dig

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 23:04

Jan 12, 2017 -- 11:01PM, Fatslogger wrote:

Jan 12, 2017 -- 10:53PM, pxb wrote:Any thoughts on pitch deterioration? If it doesn't much, I'm thinking a draw likely. Which Ban would be happy with.Kiwi wickets start green and end up flat, don't they? It's unusual for one to deteriorate much. I'm not sold on the Bangladesh batting doing enough for a draw this innings and next (scoring 400 is not a guarantee of safety if their attack gets taken to bits in unfamiliar territory) even from this very promising start for them but it's where I'm aiming to have my green for now, having backed draw 5.2 then mid 4s on the way down, looking to lay it off starting 4.2 down to mid 3s.

It won't deteriorate, you are just betting on Bangla batting well twice.
NZ could score really quickly and put Bangla under pressure on day 4/5
Almost always ends with the home side winning

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 23:05

Bangla tail is a worry too

By:

detraveller When: 12 Jan 17 23:05

Just saying, within the last 50 days, 3 teams have scored 400 in their first inings and still lost by an innings.

I'll agree with juce here. Can't see Draw price shortening just because Bangla are batting well first up. Remember they could still quite easily be 260 all out.

By:

jucel69 When: 12 Jan 17 23:06

NZ price starting to look tempting

By:

detraveller When: 12 Jan 17 23:07

Also don't forget draw started at 8s pre match. This is already a shortened price. Lost overs on Day 1 isn't that big an issue aswe'll easily make up 40 of the 50 overs lost.

By:

Fatslogger When: 12 Jan 17 23:15

Jan 12, 2017 -- 11:05PM, detraveller wrote:

Just saying, within the last 50 days, 3 teams have scored 400 in their first inings and still lost by an innings.I'll agree with juce here. Can't see Draw price shortening just because Bangla are batting well first up. Remember they could still quite easily be 260 all out.

While I agree with this up to a point, Bangladesh would have to try quite hard to be all out for 260 and if they look like they're shaping up to get 400, let alone over that, the market will assuredly react to that, even though I would definitely still consider the Kiwi win the most likely outcome even if Bangladesh get 400 (not so sure if it's 450 though). The draw market isn't reacting too much to this partnership other than initially, now stalled back in the mid 4s with my lay nibbled but not bitten hard on.

Oh, now it's gone a little bit, back to considering my 4.2.