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pxb
26 Aug 15 02:00
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Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 8,019 | Blogger: pxb's blog
At the SSC this time. A ground with a lot of draws. While P Sara has hardly any. The ground or the vagaries of the weather?

Forecast about the same as the last Test. I expected the draw to be shorter given the ground and was going to lay it, but 2.5 about right IMO.

SL have only lost 1 in the last 21 Tests here.

A modest lay of Lanka as India the better team, but without much conviction. I don't like to oppose that kind of history.
Pause Switch to Standard View Sri Lanka v India, 3rd Test at Colombo
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Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 6:55 AM BST
All it needs is a bit of rain/a storm to give us a very volatile market here.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 6:57 AM BST
More chance of leprosy than a drop of rain; unfortunately.
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 7:01 AM BST
Going to be afternoon if at all it seems. market all over the place on that wicket.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 7:02 AM BST
What a pathetic weasel Tiramisu is. He must be the worst international batsmen in world cricket at the moment
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 7:05 AM BST
Yeah in awful form atm. Situation doesn't suit Kushal P either, can see him going cheaply. Only Herath who could potentially bat overs with Matthews here imo. Things looking very bleak for SL, desperately needing the rain gods to save them.
Report pxb September 1, 2015 7:08 AM BST
I doubt they'll make it to the new ball.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 7:10 AM BST
Yeh I can't see them batting til tea
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 7:12 AM BST
yup, no chance of them saving it without some sort of weather intervention.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 7:15 AM BST
One man show again. The rest can hardly hold a batCrazy
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 7:33 AM BST
Risky singles right before lunch when you are trying to save the game. Mind boggling stuff
Report shotgun111 September 1, 2015 7:45 AM BST
one man team without sanga jaya poor lot
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 7:47 AM BST
Market has more faith in them than I do. 1.25 at lunch with India needing another 5 wickets for the win. Don't see them getting to tea here.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:03 AM BST
About 60 overs left for 5 wickets. 33 with the old ball & 27 with the new ball = no chance
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 8:09 AM BST
Doubt we get all of the overs in. Even with no rain, bad light could knock off a few. Getting to tea max 7 down is going to be some ask though.
Report the whizz kids September 1, 2015 8:20 AM BST
Wickets please. I traded all my green (1400) on India between 8.4 and 4.0. come on Boys.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:23 AM BST
SL 44sLaugh
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 8:28 AM BST
SRILANKA from 70-40's courtesy few 4's
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:30 AM BST
they will be odds on soon
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 8:30 AM BST
under 30's now:)  what 70 layers feeling now:)
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:31 AM BST
all the way up to 400
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 8:35 AM BST
400 :) huh :) backers free money now
nightmare for layers
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 8:36 AM BST
my guess is SRI will collapse soon:) these are not sangakara's and jaywardanay's
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:37 AM BST
an afteroon shower will send the market into a spin
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:40 AM BST
no more wickets in the next 30 mins and the draw will drop quickly
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:41 AM BST
About 4 hours of play left - 13 overs per hour. 52 overs 5  wickets. Could get interesting
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:43 AM BST
here we go, the train has departed again
Report dylansdad September 1, 2015 8:44 AM BST
not watching thecricket just the market and the draw crashing now?
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 8:44 AM BST
There has to weather threat surely. Odds don't make sense otherwise.
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 8:44 AM BST
played my first bet of the match:) was just following match till now

backed draw 3.5+ now
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:44 AM BST
once it reaches that tipping point it always goes quickly until a wicket falls
Report dylansdad September 1, 2015 8:46 AM BST
when going at 4 an  over all outcomes possible,no run rate dropping makes it draw or india win
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 8:46 AM BST
Seems a bit early for the price to go already.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:47 AM BST
The middle session has been the quietest in terms of wickets through the test match
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:49 AM BST

Sep 1, 2015 -- 8:46AM, Only-the-Brave wrote:


Seems a bit early for the price to go already.


Not really, let the trend be your friend. Old ball, the constant threat of a shower from nowhere etc. 20 overs til the new ball and people are pushing the draw down and then flip when the new ball approaches

Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 8:50 AM BST
Fair point - not complaining, it's done me a massive favour tbh. Just surprised it went as early as it did, esp when you consider the Lankan tail.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:51 AM BST
Not sure the market takes that in consideration just yet. India backers at short odds will also take a loss as the fear factor creeps in
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 8:53 AM BST
Kohli has taken a few fielders out of catching positions as well now.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 8:54 AM BST
Yeh he will try and sit in now, the fear of loss will start to enter his head
Report dylansdad September 1, 2015 8:57 AM BST
backed the draw 1/2hr ago at 4.7 and just backed sri lanka @ 36, hoping india drift shortly
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 8:57 AM BST
SRI 18's what a turn around if these two stays SRI can win it too
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 9:00 AM BST
@dylansdad

green out dear :) wicket can fall from no where and odds wont let u green out
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:00 AM BST
Risky batting from Perera. SL win not even in the equation imo - although I have comedy green under them. Very good hour for them though after lunch.
Report dylansdad September 1, 2015 9:02 AM BST
your right slick indian price sticking around 1.47, might look to take a small green rather than wait and price doesn't move up just down?
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 9:03 AM BST
@Only-the-Brave
comedy gree = 100k? JK

ya SRI win is out of question:)
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:09 AM BST
Nowhere near 55 overs left, more like 45 max
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:10 AM BST
maybe the ball change will help India (hopefully not)
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:10 AM BST
India's odds haven't changed for ages, the fix must be inLaugh
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 9:11 AM BST
that
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 9:12 AM BST
thats exactly what i m thinking :) india odds stuck around 1.44-1.45 for a long time

at what stage u guys think draw be 2
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:13 AM BST
tea without any wickets
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:14 AM BST
Once India's odds start moving they too go quickly until they get a wicket
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:14 AM BST
*will
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:15 AM BST
Tea without wickets and I'd have the draw pretty decent fave. No way do all of the 54 overs get played here.
Report dylansdad September 1, 2015 9:16 AM BST
indian price slowly difting
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:16 AM BST
Still best part of an hour until then though, huge ask to survive until then. Perera already lasted a lot longer than I thought he would.
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:16 AM BST
1.5 barrier broken at last.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:21 AM BST
SL layers at massive odds starting to twitch a bit
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:27 AM BST
I never lay high odds, I haven't got the stomach for it
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:30 AM BST
I reckon there is only about 42 overs left. 1 hr til tea and 2 1/2 max after tea. 3 drinks breaks & fading light 3.5hrs  x 12 per hour = 42
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:30 AM BST
T20 generation believes anything is doable. SL should be 50s really.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:31 AM BST
yeh + the new ball will do plenty and slow the over rate down. A wicket is about 5 mins also.
Report dylansdad September 1, 2015 9:34 AM BST
good luck gents im out, small green for a hours workGrin,
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:35 AM BST
Ashwin beginning to look a bit more threatening
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:42 AM BST
This is turning into a cracker
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:42 AM BST
Matthews lucky there on first look. plumb lbw
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:43 AM BST
He's had 3/4 lives today
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 9:43 AM BST
India had the rub of the green massively in SL's first dig
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:44 AM BST
Be interesting to see when Kohli starts to genuinely fear the SL win. These runs must have him twitching. Some more run prevention fields would be great.
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 9:51 AM BST
India 1.9 (10/11) with ladbrokes atm.
Report slick1976 September 1, 2015 10:08 AM BST
india odds again declining strange

from 1.9 to 1.75 again and around 1.8
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:08 AM BST
11/10 with the bookies
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 10:09 AM BST
new ball around the corner. They look short to me now though
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:10 AM BST
One wicket and the SL win is out of the equation. They're far too short atm as well.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 10:10 AM BST
One shower now and this game is over
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:14 AM BST
So many variables with effectively all 3 results in play. Especially as afternoon session is where the weather/light threat is as well.

As I type, Perera gone just before tea! Talk about throwing it away.
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:14 AM BST
Reverse sweep, really?
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 10:14 AM BST
They should of played for the new ball, then tried to see that off & then gone for the win in the last hour, if possible. Not great thinking
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 10:15 AM BST
brainless really after all the hard work
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:15 AM BST
tbf SL will take it. Top innings nonetheless and much more than you'd expect from him.
Report pxb September 1, 2015 10:28 AM BST
New ball should mop up the bowlers.

Great innings by Mathews.
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:32 AM BST
SL's session definitely. Game on after tea. Keeping most of my green on the draw, think bad light will come into play.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 10:39 AM BST
Probably about 2hrs 15 mins left, 28/29 overs. A long time for Mathews and the tail to last
Report slip5 September 1, 2015 10:43 AM BST
herath is one of the better number 8 batsman in world cricket, he base his batting technique on brian laras i think
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:44 AM BST
Hopefully we only get about 20 in
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 10:45 AM BST
20 will probably be enough
Report slip5 September 1, 2015 10:51 AM BST
mathhews choked again
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 10:51 AM BST
Laugh well that's killed what could have been a great session of test cricket
Report slip5 September 1, 2015 10:53 AM BST
Herath is good enough blocking 100 balls can the other block 70 balls, 12/1 draw is not the worst bet
Report slip5 September 1, 2015 10:56 AM BST
133 for the win lol
Report slip5 September 1, 2015 10:57 AM BST
he can play like brian lara this herath
Report slip5 September 1, 2015 11:06 AM BST
game over for draw backers
Report Only-the-Brave September 1, 2015 11:07 AM BST
Perera's reverse sweep looking like the key moment now
Report slip5 September 1, 2015 11:13 AM BST
what where sri lanka win odds when they where 242/5
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 11:16 AM BST
just nipped out and got back gsm. Never mind had a realy good test match. A draw would have been brilliant but that's life
Report pxb September 1, 2015 11:16 AM BST
An undeserved profit for me, after I c0cked up the rain call yesterday.
Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 11:16 AM BST

Sep 1, 2015 -- 11:07AM, Only-the-Brave wrote:


Perera's reverse sweep looking like the key moment now


Yeh they got carried away thinking they could win

Report Mike-lfc September 1, 2015 11:17 AM BST

Sep 1, 2015 -- 11:13AM, slip5 wrote:


what where sri lanka win odds when they where 242/5


they were 20/1 (on 365 so mug odds) when they were for like 260-6 so im guessing still a big price.

Report jucel69 September 1, 2015 11:19 AM BST
down to 6s on bf
Report Mike-lfc September 1, 2015 11:19 AM BST
i sympathies with batsman who face spin all day now after playing against an overseas spinner on a ****g awful wicket the other day. Managed to last his last 2 overs he had left but was a struggle.
Report mnbfrankel September 1, 2015 8:25 PM BST
Terrific test series to say the least, that's how tests should be played. Both the teams attacked and went for the win all through the series and hence no draw. India could have easily won it 3-0. but 2-1 is a fair result. Virat Kohli off the mark.
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