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Eng v NZ 2nd ODI - Duckworth Lewis Calculation Warning

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Replies: 253
By:
trader pj
When: 12 Jun 15 20:53
MASSIVELY in New Zeland's favour - as good as game over
By:
wit-ham
When: 12 Jun 15 20:53
only need 9 an over before the rain
By:
Fallen Angel
When: 12 Jun 15 20:54
where do they get these numbers from?
By:
jackkat
When: 12 Jun 15 20:54
Why are they not straight on by 9.10 it will be raining 34 from 13 balls not looking good
By:
trader pj
When: 12 Jun 15 20:54
tie is more likely than England win now
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 12 Jun 15 20:55
this is the first time ive ever seen d/l suit the bowling team like this.
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 12 Jun 15 20:55

Jun 12, 2015 -- 8:54PM, trader pj wrote:


tie is more likely than England win now


No, it isn't.

By:
leefee
When: 12 Jun 15 20:55
34 from 13? Wtf
By:
jackkat
When: 12 Jun 15 20:55
Botham trying to work it out just 2 much for him LaughLaughLaugh
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 12 Jun 15 20:56
Got a serious lump on 1.18 after that, Beefy was scratching his head trying to work it out Laugh
By:
Charlie
When: 12 Jun 15 20:57
Don't see how you got 1.18?
By:
Fallen Angel
When: 12 Jun 15 20:57
D/L is never in-line with betfair, they need to track the betting markets more closely Devil
By:
maleuk01.
When: 12 Jun 15 20:58
how did they come to that figure?

sounds wrong.

from 9 an over to 16 an over.
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 12 Jun 15 20:58
Back and submit did the job Laugh
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 12 Jun 15 20:58
I can see why botham couldn't belive the  new target, itttsss   bbbbbooooollllooooooooooooooooooooox
By:
ladofsteel
When: 12 Jun 15 21:00
got 1.19 on new z   How???
By:
johnnythebull
When: 12 Jun 15 21:01
the f*cking lights are on
why can't they just play out the overs
f*cking poxy arcane inflexible rules
if they can't finish it why even bother going out again?
total b*llocks
By:
trader pj
When: 12 Jun 15 21:02

Jun 12, 2015 -- 8:55PM, Angela Rebecchi wrote:


Jun 12, 2015 --  8:54PM, trader pj wrote:tie is more likely than England win nowNo, it isn't.


in the mind of traderpj AngelA!

By:
johnnythebull
When: 12 Jun 15 21:03
chris gayle & ABdV in tandem would struggle with this target
By:
curious-cat
When: 12 Jun 15 21:05
it's possibly easier to crash 20 from one over than 45 from 5

especially with 3 wickets left
By:
johnnythebull
When: 12 Jun 15 21:05
defo
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 12 Jun 15 21:06
its all booollllox cos they culd have started 10/15 mins ago
By:
DStyle
When: 12 Jun 15 21:06
d/l fails for big scores, because the relationship between the difference between the run rate required prior to the interruption and after it, and the difficulty of achieving it, is not linear.

so going from from 7 an over before the rain to 11 an over after the rain, is much easier than going from 11 an over to 15 an over.

it fails to take this into account, assuming that resource allocation is independent of the score, which i don't think it is, particularly when we're looking at over 350.
By:
curious-cat
When: 12 Jun 15 21:07
how many times have you seen the batting side get the odds in their favour by knocking 20+ from one over .... 2 sixes 2 fours = 20
By:
TerryHurlock
When: 12 Jun 15 21:10
c'mon plunks
By:
DStyle
When: 12 Jun 15 21:11
sorry. that calculation was wrong

D/L says going from 7 to 11 is equivalent to going from 11 to 17.28.

going from 6 to 10 is equivalent to going from 11 to 18.33

massively wrong.
By:
Fallen Angel
When: 12 Jun 15 21:12
made impossible by D/L
By:
johnnythebull
When: 12 Jun 15 21:12
totally ruined what could've been a superb finish
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 12 Jun 15 21:12
d/l ruins yet another match with its farcical targets, on this occasion it6s all but given the game o the bowlers usually it gives the game to thebatters
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 12 Jun 15 21:13
If Carlsberg did 1.08 shots.
By:
TerryHurlock
When: 12 Jun 15 21:14
fookExcited
By:
johnnythebull
When: 12 Jun 15 21:14
don't agree with that
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 12 Jun 15 21:14
it would have been better if theyd never come back on really.
By:
Fallen Angel
When: 12 Jun 15 21:15
Rashid you didnt deserve that, great little cameo
By:
curious-cat
When: 12 Jun 15 21:17
you can't blame D/L for Eng losing 2 wickets.

what if both balls had gone for 10 in total ?
By:
johnnythebull
When: 12 Jun 15 21:17
hy did 9 15 have to be the cut off point
what's the point of having warmish summer conditions & lights if u can't play on?
By:
jewell
When: 12 Jun 15 21:19
Don't get this nonsense about having to finish by a certain time. If they have lights then why not play all night if they have to?
By:
sickoflayinwinners
When: 12 Jun 15 21:19
more importantly  they could have started 10/15 mins earlier,
By:
Cider
When: 12 Jun 15 21:20
local curfew
By:
HonkyJoe
When: 12 Jun 15 21:21
They could certainly play on for another 20 mins, so it does seem ridiculous.  If there's a chance of playing the game to its natural conclusion, that should be the one aim. Anything else should be a last resort.
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