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pxb
05 Jul 14 09:12
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Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 8,019 | Blogger: pxb's blog
A few showers around mostly on Saturday, but not enough to worry about IMO. Plenty of cloudy skies though.

Trent Bridge normally a result venue but talk is, the pitch will be no green seamer.

India normally a slow starter in series and do poorly outside the subcontinent. So on the face of it the 1st Test looks to be a slam dunk for Eng.

But India have an experienced captain at the top of his game against the woeful Cook + some very good new batsmen.  Pity about Gambir.

IMO will be closer than many expect with the series going 2-1 or 2-2.

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By:
Foinavon
When: 05 Jul 14 13:05
For me, England are an automatic lay against all but the poorest sides. Got in at 2.62 earlier.
keeping the draw onside for now.
By:
pxb
When: 07 Jul 14 00:28
Forecast has got worse. Keep an eye on Sunday.

Keeping the draw onside here.
By:
pxb
When: 08 Jul 14 10:15
If whoever bats first gets thru the new ball 0 or 1 down, expect a draw crash.
By:
joe39
When: 08 Jul 14 10:42
Prior a late doubt, thigh strain. Jos Buttler called up as cover.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 08 Jul 14 17:22
Don't know what to do here.

Early indications about the weather may make that an option to back it for me.  There is always a danger that the side batting first could be skittled too.  You can't win a Test Match on the first day but you can lose one.

I am going against the habit of a lifetime and going to wait and watch. 

On the cricketing side I expect India to emerge as the stronger team over the 42 days.  The big questions are still over their batting, which, I suspect to be vastly superior but untested on this green and pleasant land.  I expect their bowling to surprise a few. Shami, Kumar and Ishant being able to use the dry pitches to come that their two spinners might exploit second up.  I think a 5 man attack is required for India to have a chance in this series.

England are just The Calamity Jane of world cricket right now.  Despite that I think the selectors have brought in some good young players with Test Match potential.  What these guys make of their chance is to be seen.  If the ball does not swing I expect England to be spending long periods in the field.  It will be interesting to see all the bowlers on show using dry pitches from both sides.  The England batting is vunerable but if India cannot swing the ball I don't expect England to be under any pressure till they have to bat a second time.

I am just looking forward to an entertaining contest.  I also think that if anybody thought the Sri Lanka series got a bit narky then they are in for some fireworks.
By:
appformat
When: 08 Jul 14 22:01
any weather updates for the next few days?
By:
kingmax
When: 08 Jul 14 22:16
fine tomorrow thursday is doomdday
By:
appformat
When: 08 Jul 14 23:53
thanks.
By:
pxb
When: 09 Jul 14 02:26
Current forecast is for a washout Thurs with more rain on Sat and Sun, which makes the draw very big at 2,44. Not sure what is going on.
By:
trader pj
When: 09 Jul 14 08:41
India will take some rolling over. Good batting side.
By:
pxb
When: 09 Jul 14 08:48
India will struggle to take 20 wickets unless the ball swings, which it could well do under cloudy skies tomorrow, assuming rain stays away.

India win toss and bat they could be in a good position.
By:
trader pj
When: 09 Jul 14 09:02
Meteox forecast much less pessimistic on rain. See long term rain fcast
By:
OzBattla
When: 09 Jul 14 09:43
England lay to start for me
By:
pxb
When: 09 Jul 14 09:54
Netweather had a big change a few hours ago from a washout to no rain. Reversed my position accordingly.
By:
appformat
When: 09 Jul 14 10:09
back of India at 4.5 for me for starters...
Gl.
By:
trader pj
When: 09 Jul 14 10:14

Jul 9, 2014 -- 10:09AM, appformat wrote:


back of India at 4.5 for me for starters...Gl.


me too

By:
kingmax
When: 09 Jul 14 10:17
love to know what your looking at for tomorrow... looks like rain all day to me
By:
DStyle
When: 09 Jul 14 10:24
the weather is one thing; that the groundsman has appeared to have layed a dry road is just as important.

i like the draw and i like india's price, ergo a lay of england here.
By:
stickon
When: 09 Jul 14 10:27
This is very tricky
Some forecasts showing not a drop of rain tomorrow and other highly trusted forecasts have it pissing it down all day.
By:
appformat
When: 09 Jul 14 10:28
watching the BBC weatherman late last night, he said saturday was the most probable day for interuptions...
By:
kingmax
When: 09 Jul 14 10:32
india win toss and bat
By:
appformat
When: 09 Jul 14 10:32
big move for India into 4.1, presume they won the toss...Love
By:
trader pj
When: 09 Jul 14 10:37
this plays into the hands of draw backers as the market will always be preoccupied by tomorrow's weather forecast
By:
kingmax
When: 09 Jul 14 10:40
england 5/s by luch, draw odds on?
By:
appformat
When: 09 Jul 14 10:41
3.85 now India... tempted to take the green,.
By:
Only-the-Brave
When: 09 Jul 14 10:47
All they hype on Kohli as always, but Pujara will be the key.  India's best batsman in this format imo and the most likely to bat long.
By:
kingmax
When: 09 Jul 14 10:47
good luck guys
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 09 Jul 14 10:52
agree about Pujara, Kohli is just the cherry on top ( Actually if Dharwan comes off he will be but I don't think so )

I am waiting to see if the ball swings.  England might get Dharwan out early.  I am a lay England / back draw sort of mood.  Probably lay England should India come through this morning.
By:
appformat
When: 09 Jul 14 10:53
market expects early wickets...
By:
Steamship
When: 09 Jul 14 10:59
Backed England 200 @2.88
By:
peckerdunne
When: 09 Jul 14 10:59
get it on

wait see if they survive the first 30 minutes batting before i take the plunge, first move is the vital one, and the last off course.
By:
peckerdunne
When: 09 Jul 14 11:03
first over and Jimmy is huffing and puffing, ominous?.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 09 Jul 14 11:04
I would have played Ashwin rather than Binny.  If three seamers can't skittle England with a moving ball then they won't with 4!  I like Stokes a lot.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 09 Jul 14 11:10
Dont know why I have been so cautious.  First instinct was to lay England at 2.8 and back draw at 2.5
By:
trader pj
When: 09 Jul 14 11:10
the Bots keep going mad!!
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 09 Jul 14 11:13
If the ball does not reverse, both these attacks look powder puff.  Draw comes into it this summer if the spin is slow..

How do these bots work and affect the market.  Could someone kindly explain please?
By:
trader pj
When: 09 Jul 14 11:17
bots are computer arbitrage packages developed by rocket scientist types.
I'm not convinced by them though as occasionally you see them go mad - twice this mornings bots were trading against each other at stupid prices
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 09 Jul 14 11:20
bots have ruined the exchange. they do far more harm than good for liquidity.
By:
currant bun
When: 09 Jul 14 11:21
wonder if cook will have the brains to put a third man in...maybe someone will have to run onto the field of play to tell him
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