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South Africa v Australia 3rd Test - Cape Town
South Africa v Australia 3rd Test - Cape Town
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Replies: 988
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I dont understand why anyone thinks the follow on should be enforced here. Give your bowlers
a rest, keep the South Africans in the field and give yourself around 120 overs to bowl the oppo out on a day 4/5 pitch - you know it makes sense. |
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have a bash tomorrow for 2 sessions and have a couple of overs before Tea
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That is stumps. Seven over short today even after that extra half hour
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Or Australia bat. Get South Africa 120-8 then it pisses down with rain.
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440-450 in 135 overs, gives South Africa a sniff at odds of 18
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.................AFTERTIMERS FROM WOODWORK...........................
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Don't think Clarke likes the mindset of losing time and meandering along tommorow
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he will set them 450 with just over 4 sessions to get them IMO
make it possible for them to win otherwise we're going to see a very very boring batting display from the Saffers |
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possible mathematically I should say, with the odds stacked in Australia's favour
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Haven't watch enough of this Test match to form opinion of pitch, Clarke did say on radio that he thinks the weather would be good for the final 3 days of this test match...........
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Looked at the forecast WCE. Sunny.
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I think Australia will look for a minimum lead of at least 420 (if South Africa chase it down it will be a world record) but he also knows that they don't need anything more than 450 (lost of time). Make no mistake Australia will be attacking in the first 2 sessions tomorrow. Even got a sneaky suspicion they might try to rack up the 200 runs in 35-40 overs tommorow
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Clarke would love to have '3 new balls' at his disposal............not that they need it
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That India game was pathetic. Had the chance to make history and bottled it.
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Clarke Declaration ? 4th Day: Morning Session 21.00 , Afternoon Session 1.81, Evening Session 2.62, 5th Day 50.00
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Beating Australia more significant and important than beating India. South Africa wouldn't miss that chance if they were playing Aussies.........
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Yeah - they've got previous mike
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Clarke will want to throw a dangle to South Africa in chasing down the target or to block 140-165 overs to save the same
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Run Rate Scoring for 5 Test matches at Cape Town-Newlands traditionally been a fairly slower scoring ground. Run rates of: 2.93 for morning session, 3.17 for Afternoon session and 3.28 for Evening session testament to that
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So I think if Clarke sets them say 450 off 155-165 overs based on that, still do favour a result (win or lose). If Clarke sets them 450 off 130-135 overs (Draw should obviously come in a bit more). Declaration decision will be pretty important , the gap between 15-25 overs is huge in the context of where the odds will go (also have to factor into account squeezing the 98 overs all in a day as well)
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I cant see SA getting out of this one. The pitch is dry so plenty of reverse swing + the occasional
delivery will be keeping low on days 4/5. Blocking out for 4 sessions going to very difficult. |
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Learnt a new word today 'Corgis'-breeds of dogs having short legs, erect ears, and a foxlike head, one breed
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Queen Elizabeth has always kept Corgis as pets.
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Smith announces his retirement after this . Adds a lot of spice to proceedings!
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^^^ I didnt know that
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Respect to Graeme Smith, been captain of national side for a period of time. Great ambassador to the gam.
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South Africa's record @ Port Elizabeth since readmission: 6 Wins, 3 Draws, 4 Losses
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South Africa's record @ Durban since readmission: 9 Wins, 6 Losses, 6 Draws
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South Africa record V Australia since readmission at this ground: 1 Win, 1 Draw, 2 Losses. So its a happy hunting ground for the Aussies
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OK in the last 5 matches played at Newlands, Cape Town the average run rates for each session: 3.21 Morning, 3.24 Afternoon and 2.90 runs per session
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1 test match can completely reverse those results around
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Day 4 Morning Session averages at Cape Town on the last 5 days here: 71/4, 127/1, 74/2, 96/2 and 109/4
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think we will see a flurry of runs in the morning session as well as a few wickets to tumble....I'll have a stab and say 110/4 in the Morning Session
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Backing South Africa in Graeme Smith's final game as a player at odds of 17/1 is the bet for me. Think we will see single digits in the run chase/declaration. It's a 'risk free' Back-To-Lay bet for the time being.
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Last 7 games overall aggregate run rates of the whole match at this very ground have been: 3.010, 3.076, 3.623, 3.950, 2.978, 3.680 and 3.064. Not sure what I can depict from those figures but interesting nevertheless.
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