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Butchos123
23 Apr 13 08:18
Joined:
Date Joined: 17 Feb 02
| Topic/replies: 989 | Blogger: Butchos123's blog
A golden opportunity for the IPL to prove it is straight as a die. A crushing victory for RCB on the cards, with coloured caps all over the shop, at home against lowly PWI. Buying munny @ 1.67.
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Report tonyf April 23, 2013 1:48 PM BST
It's all over, can't believe Bang are 1.02. Time to have £100k on that!!!
Report tonyf April 23, 2013 1:49 PM BST
all agreed then, talk to Wonga!
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 1:49 PM BST
Only risk is the rain and hence chasing a smaller total.  It would be unbackable without that risk.
Report tonyf April 23, 2013 1:49 PM BST
even then Nigel, it will be 14+ an over
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 1:50 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 7:49AM, tonyf wrote:


even then Nigel, it will be 14+ an over


yes, but that's more do-able over the shorter length with finch in.  Just giving the reason for the market price.

Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 1:51 PM BST
Might be worth covering CMM market if you are large green as well
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 1:53 PM BST
but on the reverse of that CMM will be artificially high because others will be doing it ;-)
Report soba April 23, 2013 1:55 PM BST
We will take that knock to the grave with us, thank you Chris Gayle.

That has put me in a good mood, i'm going to have a Heinz Tomato soup

to celebrate Happy
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 1:56 PM BST
So, what if there's 30 overs left in a Test Match and Gayle's at the crease on a good pitch needing 200+ - wonder where the market would price it? ;-)
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 1:58 PM BST
Just ridiculous how you can still back RCB. It like backing Man Utd at 1.01 when they are beating QPR 10-0.
Report Cptamerica April 23, 2013 1:58 PM BST
Heinz Tomato soup gobbles all your green on RCB :-)
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 1:58 PM BST
on the basis that the floodlights may fail and the match is abandoned.
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 1:58 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 7:56AM, nigelpm1 wrote:


So, what if there's 30 overs left in a Test Match and Gayle's at the crease on a good pitch needing 200+ - wonder where the market would price it? ;-)


He opens for his team, so it depends how long he has already been out there. Fatigue plays a part. Also Tests have a much bigger ring than here. This is pretty small even by T20 standards. He would be no where near odds on thats for sure

Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 1:58 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 7:58AM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:


Just ridiculous how you can still back RCB. It like backing Man Utd at 1.01 when they are beating QPR 10-0.


no it's not.  Weather coming into play and all hell could let loose with DL

Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 1:59 PM BST
so rare that you see 'free money' but this actually is.
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 1:59 PM BST
It isn't going to rain
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 1:59 PM BST
Weather coming into play? Where?
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:00 PM BST
https://twitter.com/BritWeatherSvs
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:00 PM BST
And what would they need on D/L? Unchaseable even on that.
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:00 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:00AM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:


And what would they need on D/L? Unchaseable even on that.


It just makes it more a lottery than the clear free money that you seem to think it is.

Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:01 PM BST
OUT
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:01 PM BST
There we go. With that wicket even D\L can't stop RCB
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:01 PM BST
are we going to have the lowest ever total in a chase too?
Report Barksdalefamilybusiness April 23, 2013 2:02 PM BST
wow wicket first all and the market didnt move........fix
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:02 PM BST
ok, that's probably killed it.
Report Barksdalefamilybusiness April 23, 2013 2:02 PM BST
wow wicket first all and the market didnt move........fix
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:02 PM BST
You can still back RCB!
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:02 PM BST
1.01 available lol
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:02 PM BST
1.02!
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:03 PM BST
I got matched at 38 - suckers!!
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:05 PM BST
1.01 at the start of the innings. 1.02 when a wicket down and 9 runs, requiring 13 off every over.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:05 PM BST
I think these people must be insane.
Report mayburydrr April 23, 2013 2:05 PM BST
i know the answer to this will be FIXXX but can someone give me a proper reason for why IPL trades 20-30mn pounds EVERY match which is probably the same as major tennis finals, 4 days of major golf etc?
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:05 PM BST
Mr Patel in his corner shop, spending all his profits.
Report Backer007 April 23, 2013 2:06 PM BST
Good Question!!!
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:07 PM BST
1.02 again! Have Puny been given an extra 10 overs?
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:07 PM BST
A wicket bring the chance of a disruption more likely S or A!

The only reason we aren't trading 200 on Pune is the weather
Report bbc2 April 23, 2013 2:07 PM BST
what a shame if rain stops play
Report Rider April 23, 2013 2:08 PM BST
get the spinners on to get through the 5 overs
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:08 PM BST
I don't think it will rain - if you had a large bank here - very tempting to just unload it.
Report Rider April 23, 2013 2:09 PM BST
short run up rampaul ffs
Report mayburydrr April 23, 2013 2:09 PM BST
are bets void if it rains and match isnt completed?
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:09 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:09AM, mayburydrr wrote:


are bets void if it rains and match isnt completed?


Yeah

Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:09 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:09AM, mayburydrr wrote:


are bets void if it rains and match isnt completed?


Need 5 overs.

Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:09 PM BST
it has two and a half overs in which to chuck it down, because otherwise they would play on.
Report mayburydrr April 23, 2013 2:10 PM BST
and D/L comes in after 5?
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:10 PM BST
love the way the market reacts to every boundary as if Pune have any hope whatsoever
Report Backer007 April 23, 2013 2:11 PM BST
lol
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:12 PM BST
I dont think I have ever seen such a stupid market!
Report Backer007 April 23, 2013 2:12 PM BST
Its cricket man!!! D/L might help Pune [ They may need 65 runs off 2.3 over]
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:13 PM BST
It will most definitely help Pune - the only reason for the market price
Report bbc2 April 23, 2013 2:13 PM BST
come on pune rescue my chestnuts
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:14 PM BST
it won't help Pune. It is designed to be unbiased.
Report Steam April 23, 2013 2:14 PM BST
40 runs in 1 and half over to stay ahead of DL after 6
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:14 PM BST
and, it will not rain.
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:15 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:14AM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:


it won't help Pune. It is designed to be unbiased.


yeah, it is designed that way BUT it's been shown in T20 to help the chasing team.

Report mayburydrr April 23, 2013 2:15 PM BST
you obviously havent watched enough rain affected cricket. D/L is a joke and usually favours team batting 2nd
Report Steam April 23, 2013 2:15 PM BST
1.02 is gift at this stage
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:15 PM BST
not by much it doesnt.
Report joe39 April 23, 2013 2:16 PM BST
RCB scampering around the field, making sure they get the 5 overs in.
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:16 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:15AM, mayburydrr wrote:


you obviously havent watched enough rain affected cricket. D/L is a joke and usually favours team batting 2nd


in this case D/L would favour RCB massively because they hadn't lost a wicket by this stage. Also Pune well behind RRR

Report tonyf April 23, 2013 2:16 PM BST
bet365 were 1/40 before that wicket
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:17 PM BST
ANNNNND it's all over Laugh
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:17 PM BST
Bank emptied at 1.01 - thank you very much ;-)
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:18 PM BST
You can still back them!
Report mayburydrr April 23, 2013 2:18 PM BST
does it matter how many wickets RCB lost? i dont think so. it depends on the chasing teams wickets
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:18 PM BST
Hmmm... I'm definitely with you now S or A!
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:21 PM BST
I am on Pune.. at 500s. Happy
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:21 PM BST
they are the sensible odds.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:23 PM BST
The match after this will seem like a bit of a damp squib.
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:23 PM BST
more like 1000 now.  It's done as it was 5 overs ago.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? April 23, 2013 2:23 PM BST
but at least there will be smiley Zinta to entertain the cameras.
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:23 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:18AM, mayburydrr wrote:


does it matter how many wickets RCB lost? i dont think so. it depends on the chasing teams wickets


It depends on both. I did 4 years of stats at Heriott Watt uni for my honours degree. Went back and did a Masters avergaed 74%. I'm now a student actuary off on study for my exams. I make a living off (not including Betfair) knowing my stats. I understand how the model works.

Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:24 PM BST
1.01 shouldn't be available again now. That's that
Report tonyf April 23, 2013 2:24 PM BST
I managed to deposit £20k and made the easiest £400 ever
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:24 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:24AM, tonyf wrote:


I managed to deposit £20k and made the easiest £400 ever


well done.  It was free money

Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:25 PM BST
Only got £30 myself.
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:27 PM BST
Still free money there at 600
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:29 PM BST
Only 218 runs to go Laugh
Report mayburydrr April 23, 2013 2:29 PM BST
S o A is this one fixed to go to the last ball?!
Report ArmchairIdiot April 23, 2013 2:31 PM BST
Blatant fix this one, surely? Look at the Pune bowling to Gayle... or too obvious? Crazy
Report tonyf April 23, 2013 2:41 PM BST
thanks Nigel, the phrase is tedious in the extreme, there isn't any, but this was close. Must have been true odds of at least 500/1
Report tonyf April 23, 2013 2:42 PM BST
2% interest in two hours, Wonga would be proud of us
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:44 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:41AM, tonyf wrote:


thanks Nigel, the phrase is tedious in the extreme, there isn't any, but this was close. Must have been true odds of at least 500/1


of course you are right.  But backing 1.02 when it should be 1.005 has to be good long term sense.  Worth noting that Pune may have only needed 66 off the first five overs on DL though - market made sense until it was clear there wasn't rain.

Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:52 PM BST
Yeah but they lost a wicket right away which would have increased their total to win higher than 66
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:53 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:52AM, Arfy Barfy wrote:


Yeah but they lost a wicket right away which would have increased their total to win higher than 66


I meant in the interval before the wicket.  Price after that was just plain silly.

Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:53 PM BST
When that wicket went along with the chance of rain there should not have been odds available
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:53 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:53AM, nigelpm1 wrote:


Apr 23, 2013 --  2:52PM, Arfy Barfy wrote:Yeah but they lost a wicket right away which would have increased their total to win higher than 66I meant in the interval before the wicket.  Price after that was just plain silly.


Yeah that is true

Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:54 PM BST
But the chance of rain was so small. Then it would have to rain long enough that overs are lost so the D/L comes in to it
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 2:56 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:54AM, Arfy Barfy wrote:


But the chance of rain was so small. Then it would have to rain long enough that overs are lost so the D/L comes in to it


but probably about 1/50 or 1/100

Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:58 PM BST
Less than that I think but I admittedly I don't have a clue about Indian weather
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 2:59 PM BST
The game should be given a result when the rrr hits 42 an over...
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 3:00 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 8:58AM, Arfy Barfy wrote:


Less than that I think but I admittedly I don't have a clue about Indian weather


Judging by the earlier tweet I'd say it was quite remote but possible.

Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 3:01 PM BST
I thought that tweet was just for some excitement and followers. I don't trust weather predictions at all. I'm very cynical about it Laugh
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 3:03 PM BST
10 runs, decent over, exept they needed over 20 more lol
Report nigelpm1 April 23, 2013 3:06 PM BST

Apr 23, 2013 -- 9:01AM, Arfy Barfy wrote:


I thought that tweet was just for some excitement and followers. I don't trust weather predictions at all. I'm very cynical about it


ha ha might have been.

Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 3:07 PM BST
Tai?
Report Arfy Barfy April 23, 2013 3:07 PM BST
6 every ball?
Report Dragon32 April 23, 2013 3:26 PM BST
Got to fancy Gayle to be man of the match, imo.
Report nicky27 April 23, 2013 4:50 PM BST
WoW , just seen the score !

Gayle 175 n.o. from 66 balls including 17 sixes ! you've got to be kidding me GrinGrinLaughLaughLaugh

don't think that innings will EVER be beaten in any first class 20 over format match ...quite incredible Crazy
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