A good hiding might be a good thing going into ashes.  With the way oz are playing right now there is a danger of becoming complacent

I am green England and red on NZ and draw. Shorting the draw from the off has been a relatively good strategy in general terms but can't expect to win them all. That said there's still 4 days to go.

blades - are you millionaire morse in disguise?

ecdub2....explain your comments. 1.35 is a cracking bet on the draw! do you think otherwise, and why?

this is utterly ridiculous by fulton.

get on with it son.

it was just a joke comment as a wicket fell as soon as i read that comment. i am big green on the draw, nz happy to draw the series 0-0 was talked about plenty at the end of the 2nd test, but by the beginning of this one, everyone thought this was going to be an easy result wicket

dont go to bed trader - the draw is a mugs bet

It's tough bowling on the flattest track south of Bonneville but two wickets so far this session is encouraging.

winning the toss and bowling 1st has to be one of the worst decision ever

Thank god he is gone......perhaps the game will move forward now.

Next session could be the defining one.

yes but not if it means only 3 innings required for a win.

lybertyne 22 Mar 13 23:46 
Am I right in thinking that the longer the 1st innings go on for, the greater the chance of a draw (due to time constraints)?





In theory yes but only if the team batting second can bat for just as long as well.

If NZ get 550-600 then England need at least 350-400 to avoid following on. If they avoid the follow on and get towards 500+ it'll be a draw.

If England didn't get 350 they'd follow on and face a battle to save the match

NZ seem to be pushing on now.

Poor bowling from  don't care how flat the pitches are new zealand should not be posting big score after big score against you.  England have been pretty average the last 12-15 months apart from that India Series win.

I had no intention of posting but realised that the thread post count was sitting on a Nelson. My superstitious nature has got the better of me.
QED.

As I write Compton 12 from 62 does this say something about the pitch now. I think it's a small field and expected loads of sixes oh well. Lay the draw I think.

how many runs do england need to avoid the follow on,cheers.

Esox 23 Mar 13 04:31 Joined: 11 Aug 04 | Topic/replies: 86 | Blogger: Esox's blog
Has anybody considered that New Zealand may actually win this one.

not until N.Z. go odds on - then you will hear about how everyone has them on side.

ecdub2,

I think you'll find that everyone is green on all outcomes at this stage