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MASSIVE MASSIVE VALUE!!!! Saffers vs pakis 1st test

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Replies: 441
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 12:53
Did wonder why the market wasnt increasing, if something is too good to be true it usually is.  No complaints here, my own stupid fault,
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 12:54
What does that mean nigel?
By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 12:57

Feb 2, 2013 -- 12:54PM, rob_dylan wrote:


What does that mean nigel?


Read the F**king rules! Excited

By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 12:58
market finally waking up to the fact that PAK can't win this
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 12:59
I thought I had nigel.  Like I say I take it on the chin, the only way to take it.  But who hasnt made a daft mistake like that in their betting career?
By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 13:00

Feb 2, 2013 -- 12:59PM, rob_dylan wrote:


I thought I had nigel.

By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 13:00
only joking mate Excited
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 13:01
I would love to blame someone, but i have only myself to blame.  Cry
By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 13:03

Feb 2, 2013 -- 1:01PM, rob_dylan wrote:


I would love to blame someone, but i have only myself to blame. 


indeed.  Been there mate.  Annoying.  But as you say part of the game.

By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 13:04
tell you what, Draw could look an amazing lay in the low teens if it happens
By:
lanza
When: 02 Feb 13 13:05
hopefully smith'l charge and get stumped.  lol. ... or a run out.
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 13:06
Now I have to keep an eye on this match, which is generally devoid of betting opportunities, just to see how the next wicket falls.
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 13:07
Bowled or lbw would do, and far from beyond the realms of possibility.
By:
lanza
When: 02 Feb 13 13:11
bowled / lbw +130
run out / stumped / hit wicket  +380

caught -105


ooooo    2 lbw shouts....  lol..
By:
lanza
When: 02 Feb 13 13:12
obstruction +380... Cool

markets seem dead.  might switch over and watch us probably lose to ireland. Sad
By:
lanza
When: 02 Feb 13 13:16
shame you hadnt done 1st wicket stand.  101-106... unlucky.
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 13:25
That is what i thought i was backing, but 50ups on first wicket stand.
By:
lanza
When: 02 Feb 13 13:41
Sad
By:
rob_dylan
When: 02 Feb 13 13:43
Agree with lanza
By:
kingmax
When: 02 Feb 13 14:05
has any team EVER batted for 3 days?
By:
Mariner Paul
When: 02 Feb 13 16:29
A pleasing day. You can always rely on Pakistan. Laugh
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 02 Feb 13 17:46
Well I didn't expect that!

My Pakistani friend did allude to a crap batting performance first time out but I didn't figure him for Mystic Meg.  In hind sight I should have taken 1.70 when it was available as a couple of wickets from Steyn and Philander were to be expected but not 7 by lunch!

I think Smith will want 600.  He is overly cautious but Force 10 from Navarone wouldn't be able to stop play long enough for a draw!

Some days ve vin, some days ve lose.  Today ve lose! 

Lucky I don't trust Pakistan too much so £92 isn't going to bust my sphincter.
By:
tonyf
When: 02 Feb 13 18:20
600!!!!!!!!!!  Rubbish
By:
tonyf
When: 02 Feb 13 18:21
Declare with about 480-500 lead
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 02 Feb 13 18:59
600 is only two sessions batting.  He will certainly give the current pair a chance of making centuries and then bif bash Faf will have a tonk.   400 might prove more than enough already but no way in hell will he declare with a lead of 480.  You my friend are dreaming.  He will let his bowlers expand the cracks and continue to rough up the wicket.

A declaration at lunch leaves Pakistan 2 sessions on a day 3 pitch which potentially leaves then around 320 to get over days 4 and 5.  Agreed unlikely but he wont give them a sniff will Smith.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 19:04
I reckon he'll leave PAK 550 to get which will probably be done just after lunch.  Draw highly unlikely but still a hugely outside shout if rains sweep in.

PAK cannot win this and 65 is a good value bet to lay IMHO.
By:
nicky27
When: 02 Feb 13 20:34
still not sure why smith didn't enforce ,I know you might say he wants his bowlers fresh ,but they only bowled 29 overs , by enforcing the follow on, it takes any issue of when to declare out of the equation and also means you might not even need to bat again
By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 20:41

Feb 2, 2013 -- 8:34PM, nicky27 wrote:


still not sure why smith didn't enforce ,I know you might say he wants his bowlers fresh ,but they only bowled 29 overs , by enforcing the follow on, it takes any issue of when to declare out of the equation and also means you might not even need to bat again


A few ideas :

1) Sponsors, crowd and TV want as much Cricket as possible
2) Gives his lads a chance at batting
3) He was hoping to get a ton in his 100th TM
4) If PAK somehow managed to get > 300 in the innings SA would have some pressure
5) PAK batting half way through the day tomorrow after being out in the field for 50 overs will be tough for them.

All these in total however wouldn't have been enough if I were Graeme Smith.  Knowing what you need to get in the 2nd innings is a far more powerful position to be in.

By:
nicky27
When: 02 Feb 13 20:52
indeed nigel ...that is if you need to bat a second time at all
By:
nigelpm1
When: 02 Feb 13 20:56

Feb 2, 2013 -- 8:52PM, nicky27 wrote:


indeed nigel ...that is if you need to bat a second time at all


Exactly!  The way they were bowling it would seem quite unlikely.  Any thoughts on why PAK are still in double figures and not > 100?  Risk of SA declaring soon?  Highest ever total on this pitch is 311!

By:
tonyf
When: 03 Feb 13 08:54
Going to declare before lunch I reckon
By:
tonyf
When: 03 Feb 13 09:08
when Amla reaches 100
By:
nigelpm1
When: 03 Feb 13 09:10
Definitely.  Around a lead of 550.  Market finally getting it - PAK out >100.  Draw still a chance though - a lot of rain monday and tuesday now if PAK keep their heads.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 03 Feb 13 09:16
declared!
By:
tonyf
When: 03 Feb 13 09:19
as expected, I said 480-500, read above
By:
nigelpm1
When: 03 Feb 13 09:49

Feb 3, 2013 -- 9:19AM, tonyf wrote:


as expected, I said 480-500, read above


eh? Amla didn't get the ton!

By:
tonyf
When: 03 Feb 13 09:52
true, but the rest was spot on, some way from 550 and the guy who said 600
By:
tonyf
When: 03 Feb 13 09:54
not much point posting my views as just seem to get negative comments, so bye, find me on twitter if you want
By:
nigelpm1
When: 03 Feb 13 10:07

Feb 3, 2013 -- 9:52AM, tonyf wrote:


true, but the rest was spot on, some way from 550 and the guy who said 600


they declared early because of the chance of rain.

By:
nigelpm1
When: 03 Feb 13 10:08

Feb 3, 2013 -- 9:54AM, tonyf wrote:


not much point posting my views as just seem to get negative comments, so bye, find me on twitter if you want


hardly negative.  Posts need challenging

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