Hi Guys,

Happy to give a brief description of where I'm at.

Have had a BF account since 2002 and have made minimal money over the year just backing the odd event here.

My main interest is the stockmarket and that's where I've concentrated but about 5 months ago I got actively into value betting as aside line i.e. trying to get an edge - so far I've been pretty successful BUT have been banned at most of the bookies through arbitrage which is a pain but hardly surprising.

Basically only stumbled upon this forum about two months ago and since there's a lot of good knowledge on here I felt it worth throwing in my two pennarth as well.  I always find with web based forum I get much more out by posting myself.

In fairness I've had some good calls on this market BUT let's be honest it could have gone another way and the weather could have improved but then it's about taking the prices when the odds are in your favour. 

Back to this market, I note we are back at 1.2 which does seems silly given bookies down at 1.1.

bookies have taken a hammering on the draw nigel. they dont want to take any more hence 1.1

TRue odds on eng winning this with 270+ overs in the game are about 2/1 i think. Windies are sh1t lets not
forget.

Lix - is that a guess or from a source?  It might be true but I also imagine they took **A LOT** of money on England in advance and on England to win the series 3-0

Radar now showing Saturday and Sunday No rain but Monday rain from 2pm.  Equates to about 260 odd overs and probably explains the draw moving out slightly.

not likely we get 3 full days though. bound to be some sort of significant interruption on sunday or monday

whoever wins the toss will bowl. bound to be moisture around after 2 days under covers.

if england bat first a real long shot of winning. something like 400 in 120 overs required then bowl out windies in 70 and 50 if the weather allows

should add - not for me though.  Great arb just then between Will Hills (8) and BF (7) on England

no way.  more likely to be 1.15.  However, might start moving around 10:30 if play ready to go - anyone heard anything on state of outfield?

Because people will start arb'ing the bookies like I just posted and the exchange price for ENG will move back out to 7.5/8.

Looks like CP is ok to play as well which could make the difference :

http://www.dailypost.co.uk/sport-news/cricket/2012/06/09/second-day-washed-out-at-edgbaston-for-england-v-west-indies-cricket-55578-31144826/

Chanderpaul had a scan on Thursday, and a slight side strain rather than a tear has been diagnosed.

Yeah, SC just too easy

Im hopeing england bat first as ive backed the draw and sold 4 strugleing windies batsmen series runs with sporting index so if england bat 100 overs windies only bat once unless they are shot out for low score which is also good for my spread bets.  For what its worth its currently raining here in Kettering Northants

aston
The weather is coming from the west, so I don't think that the rain in Kettering will be affecting the match.

Morning everyone,

On the face of it we could still get a match which allows a min of 294 overs but with the forecast for Sunday looking bleak I think that even getting 240 overs in this match is a big ask.

Unless either side has a double batting collapse, or there is an ultra brave declaration,  there is just not enough time left in the match for a result.

The current draw odds of .16 look really good value at this present time.

GL to all

pah, ignore the radar, its not taking the welsh hills into effect. the rain clouds are being held there.

Good to see our tip on England is going well Lix, I will trade out some at 6.0

looks clear to me PTTT. All about how squelchy the outfield is.

hope so - outfield should be fine as they worked all night

there's plenty of time for a result if windies are batting 1st. AO in 60 odd overs sets things up nicely. monday isnt too bad imo

how cold is it? t shirt weather or jumpers needed?