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*** laydraw or back2fav etc, continued ***

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Replies: 1,547
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 15 Dec 09 23:18
Test 68, SA v ENG; first test, at Centurion ...
SA 2.24; draw 3.25; ENG 4
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 21 Dec 09 08:10
Match 67 : backfav and backaus,
Match 68 : back2fav and backdraw,
backindia.... +£1094 (16 tests)
backasia..... +£692 (15 tests)
backsaff.... +£524 (14 tests)
back2fav... +£516
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
laydraw..... +£401
backeng..... +£223 (21 tests)
laydog....... +£86
layaus....... +£19 (23 tests)
layfav........ -£48
backaus..... -£104 (23 tests)
lay2fav...... -£348
backdraw... -£350
backfav..... -£361
backdog.... -£1475
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 25 Dec 09 21:24
Test 69, AUS v PAK; first test, at the MCG ...
AUS 1.84; draw 3.55; PAK 5.7
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 25 Dec 09 21:33
Test 70, SA v ENG; second test, at Kingsmead, Durban ...
SA 2.88; draw 2.18; ENG 5.1
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 30 Dec 09 12:11
Match 69 : backfav and backaus,
Match 70 : backdog, :-)
backindia.... +£1094 (16 tests)
backeng..... +£633 (22 tests)
backasia..... +£592 (16 tests)
laydraw..... +£524
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backsaff.... +£424 (15 tests)
back2fav... +£316
laydog....... +£7
backaus..... -£20 (24 tests)
layfav........ -£64
layaus....... -£81 (24 tests)
lay2fav...... -£256
backfav..... -£377
backdraw... -£550
backdog.... -£1165
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 02 Jan 10 19:11
Test 71, AUS v PAK; second test, at the SCG ...
AUS 1.78; draw 3.7; PAK 6
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 02 Jan 10 23:16
Test 72, SA v ENG; third test, at Newlands, Cape Town ...
SA 2.48; draw 2.92; ENG 3.9
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 06 Jan 10 07:43
Match 71 : backfav and backaus :^0
backindia.... +£1094 (16 tests)
backeng..... +£633 (22 tests)
laydraw..... +£561
backasia..... +£492 (17 tests)
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backsaff.... +£424 (15 tests)
back2fav... +£216
backaus..... +£58 (25 tests)
laydog....... +£27
layfav........ -£164
layaus....... -£181 (25 tests)
lay2fav...... -£219
backfav..... -£299
backdraw... -£650
backdog.... -£1265
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 07 Jan 10 18:40
Match 72 : back2fav and backdraw :-)
backindia.... +£1094 (16 tests)
backeng..... +£533 (23 tests)
backasia..... +£492 (17 tests)
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
laydraw..... +£461
back2fav... +£408
backsaff.... +£324 (16 tests)
laydog....... +£61
backaus..... +£58 (25 tests)
layfav........ -£97
layaus....... -£181 (25 tests)
lay2fav...... -£319
backfav..... -£399
backdraw... -£458
backdog.... -£1365
By:
smeagors
When: 07 Jan 10 19:27
:0 .. maybe B.E.B.S. might need some attention ?
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 07 Jan 10 19:59
B.E.B.S. ???
By:
smeagors
When: 07 Jan 10 20:06
back eng blind strategy :p
By:
bigjoe
When: 08 Jan 10 11:12
at 67% ROI in last 16 tests... i think B.I.B.S has to be one of the successful betting strategies ever .... Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery :D
By:
smeagors
When: 08 Jan 10 13:09
lets take it over a decent bit of time to make the stats more relevent eh .. lets say .. 10yrs .. over that period i would say that L.D.B.S. would be showing a better ROI than the B.I.B.S. .. i'm only guessing but i fancy the draw lay would be better .. of course i doubt there would be much in it between B.E.B.S. and B.I.B.S. .. when i've got some time i might even look the stats up ;)
By:
bigjoe
When: 08 Jan 10 13:28
Smeagors ... L.T.D.B is showing around 6% ROI after 72 tests ... 61% behind B.I.B.S :)

Ok 16 tests not a big sample .. but in last 10 years injuns had famous wins over Aussies that would have seen them at least 10.0 prematch... at least 4 wins at those prices ... just those 4 wins have payed for 40 test losses .... so even if you aplied B.I.B.S over 10 years it would still leave L.T.D.B trailing in its wake ;)
By:
Smalltime Punter
When: 08 Jan 10 13:32
Er, which 4 wins are those Joe? I hope you're not including the 2001 series in that, because there's no way India would have been 10.0 pre-match at home to Aus, even then. Obviously you'd have made a killing through top-ups in-running, but the pre-match odds wouldn't have been anything like that.

The wins in Aus, yes, fair enough, and the win in SA. But I can't think of any others that would have been double digits.
By:
bigjoe
When: 08 Jan 10 13:34
SP take a point or two i reckon even ones in india would have been around 10.0 .. dont forget aussies were playing there after winning 17 tests on the trot .. twice :0
By:
Smalltime Punter
When: 08 Jan 10 13:36
They were barely 10.0 in Aus (the Perth Test in 2007/08) - there's no way they would have been that in India. In my opinion anyway - I've no idea what the actual prices were.
By:
bigjoe
When: 08 Jan 10 13:44
they were 10.0 at waca cos aussies had no warne/mgrath...injuns were in top 4 of rankings ... in 2001 injuns were not so high in rankings and as i say aussies had won 17 tests in a row and were deemed unbeatable :0

I would hazard a guess aussiesn region of 1.3.. draw must have been 2nd fav.. and injuns rank outsiders ... wether they were 8.0 .. or 10.0 .. or 15.0 ;)
By:
Smalltime Punter
When: 08 Jan 10 14:05
Aus 1.3 pre-match to win a Test in India. OK. If that's the sort of retrospective pricing you're basing things on then I'll leave you in peace.
By:
bigjoe
When: 08 Jan 10 14:24
maybe someone can remember the exact price :(
By:
blackcap
When: 08 Jan 10 14:37
From vauge memory Ithought Aussie were around 1.7 the draw at about 3 and that makes India.......
By:
bigjoe
When: 08 Jan 10 14:53
i find it hard to believe you could have got 1.7 on a team that had won 17 previous tests... and had beaten injuns convincingly in previous test :0 .. but if thats what you say.. fair enough :)
By:
smeagors
When: 08 Jan 10 15:45
1.3 or 1.7 .. bit of disparity here .. :0
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 13 Jan 10 19:58
Test 73, AUS v PAK; third test, in Hobart ...
AUS 1.77; draw 3.5; PAK 6.4
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 Jan 10 00:25
Test 74, SA v ENG; fourth test, at the Wanderers ...
SA 2.54; draw 3.1; ENG 3.45
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 16 Jan 10 22:24
Test 75, BAN v IND; first test, in Chittagong ...
BAN 19; draw 6; IND 1.28
Any chance of an upset?
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 17 Jan 10 12:45
Match 74 : backfav and backsaf :-(
backindia.... +£1094 (16 tests)
laydraw..... +£508
backasia..... +£492 (17 tests)
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backsaff.... +£478 (17 tests)
backeng..... +£433 (24 tests)
back2fav... +£308
laydog....... +£101
backaus..... +£58 (25 tests)
layaus....... -£181 (25 tests)
layfav........ -£197
backfav..... -£245
lay2fav...... -£272
backdraw... -£558
backdog.... -£1465
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 18 Jan 10 08:43
Match 73 : backfav and backaus
backindia.... +£1094 (16 tests)
laydraw..... +£548
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backsaff.... +£478 (17 tests)
backeng..... +£433 (24 tests)
backasia..... +£392 (18 tests)
back2fav... +£208
backaus..... +£135 (26 tests)
laydog....... +£119
backfav..... -£168
lay2fav...... -£232
layaus....... -£281 (26 tests)
layfav........ -£297
backdraw... -£658
backdog.... -£1565
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 21 Jan 10 08:12
Match 75 : backfav and backind
backindia.... +£1122 (17 tests)
laydraw..... +£568
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backsaff.... +£478 (17 tests)
backeng..... +£433 (24 tests)
backasia..... +£392 (18 tests)
backaus..... +£135 (26 tests)
laydog....... +£124
back2fav... +£108
backfav..... -£140
lay2fav...... -£212
layaus....... -£281 (26 tests)
layfav........ -£397
backdraw... -£758
backdog.... -£1665
By:
bigjoe
When: 21 Jan 10 08:52
B.I.B.S proving to be twice as good as next most succesful blind strategy ;)
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 23 Jan 10 19:55
Test 76, BAN v IND; second test, in Mirpur ...
BAN 14.5; draw 4.9; IND 1.37
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 27 Jan 10 12:43
Match 76 : backfav and backind
(using odds of 1.33, 5.2 and 14)
backindia.... +£1155 (18 tests)
laydraw..... +£591
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backsaff.... +£478 (17 tests)
backeng..... +£433 (24 tests)
backasia..... +£392 (18 tests)
backaus..... +£135 (26 tests)
laydog....... +£131
back2fav... +£8
backfav..... -£107
lay2fav...... -£189
layaus....... -£281 (26 tests)
layfav........ -£497
backdraw... -£858
backdog.... -£1765
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 05 Feb 10 23:18
Test 77, IND v SA; first test, in Nagpur ...
IND 3.35; draw 2.04; SA 4.8
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 09 Feb 10 13:02
Match 76 : backdog and backsaff

backindia.... +£1055 (19 tests)
backsaff.... +£858 (18 tests)
laydraw..... +£687
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backeng..... +£433 (24 tests)
backasia..... +£292 (19 tests)
backaus..... +£135 (26 tests)
laydog....... +£31
back2fav... -£92
lay2fav...... -£147
backfav..... -£207
layaus....... -£281 (26 tests)
layfav........ -£401
backdraw... -£958
backdog.... -£1385
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 13 Feb 10 22:26
Match 78, IND v SA; second test, in Kolkata ...
IND 3.5; draw 2.1; SA 4.2
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 14 Feb 10 19:24
Match 79, NZ v BAN; only test, in Hamilton ...
NZ 1.28; draw 5.6; BAN 21
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 19 Feb 10 07:41
Match 78 : back2fav and backind

backindia.... +£1305 (20 tests)
laydraw..... +£777
backsaff.... +£758 (19 tests)
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backeng..... +£433 (24 tests)
backasia..... +£542 (20 tests)
backaus..... +£135 (26 tests)
back2fav... +£158
laydog....... +£62
lay2fav...... -£247
layaus....... -£281 (26 tests)
backfav..... -£307
layfav........ -£311
backdraw... -£1058
backdog.... -£1485
By:
bigjoe
When: 19 Feb 10 07:44
Good work crunchy..B.I.B.S continues to be in a class of its own :D
By:
crunchyfrog
When: 19 Feb 10 07:45
Match 79 : backfav

backindia.... +£1305 (20 tests)
laydraw..... +£798
backsaff.... +£758 (19 tests)
backsri...... +£489 (14 tests)
backeng..... +£433 (24 tests)
backasia..... +£542 (20 tests)
backaus..... +£135 (26 tests)
laydog....... +£67
back2fav... +£58
lay2fav...... -£226
backfav..... -£279
layaus....... -£281 (26 tests)
layfav........ -£411
backdraw... -£1158
backdog.... -£1585
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