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how can the R rating nationally be very close to 1 again??
Am I missing something here?
Am I missing something here?
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Replies: 52
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Some data must be behind others is all I can think.
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The entire mechanism for measuring the reproductive number is through the analysis of lagging indicators.
As such, it's out of date before you've even finished your "current" calculation. |
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Increasingly, you'll hear more about the prevalence of infection alongside the reproduction number.
A reproduction rate of 1 is not necessarily a bad thing if you have a low prevalence. |
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as ive posted elsewhere even worse when you consider 10 million in London about to eradicate it all together ,if you believe what your told,would make some places well over 1
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0.8 is a mid point
It's quoted as between 0.9 and 0.7 and I've seen 1.0 quoted elsewhere in uk as a higher boundary R is number of infections that each infected person causes, according to Hancock today So likely national r will be closer to higher regions than lower ones |
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There are more folk up here with it pro rata too
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its just a joke hancock says children are least in danger of getting virus,but todays data says 5 to 14 years olds topped the charts for getting it at 18%, only 3% of over 70,s,obviously through shielding,
all these people need to stipulate the difference between catching it and dealing with it, even if kids get a mild dose you don't no what it does to the body in future,mild dose is not a green flag to catch it,all sorts of diseases are mild to some kids but serious to others,you don't advocate catching them |
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Did Hancock say that today?
Mrs thought he did, I thought he was talking about outcome as in they don't die when they get it. Was already tuned out of the guff he was spouting, interesting you heard that. |
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Eton shut till september,what a surprise,meanwhile the father billionaires want the plebs brats to go to school,liverpool already saying no to june 1st
 git a feeling there's going to be a few more yet as well. |
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Well done liverpool
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If its good enough for Eton...
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Measles is the most infectious virus with a reproductive number of 15.
MERS has a reproductive number of less than 1. SARS-CoV-2 and influenza have reproductive numbers of between 2 and 3. |
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Had Johnson locked down earlier they may have missed far less school
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Neither of those answers the question.
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Rather not kill the teachers and parents just so Johnny can pish around in class room where curriculum has been abandoned
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Here's what COVID-19 does to your lungs
[img]https://community.cdnbf.net/community.betfair.com/user/angoose/1a2d2df44d4b48dd4a51ca39a198674b.png?v=164400[/img] |
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they wont be getting educated its a child minding ,baby sitting service to get mam and dad back to work,brandon lewis already said today,they,d be getting taught social distancing,hand washing etc
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Teesside council say schools wont be opening on june 1st
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These are the areas that people will moan about being deprived. The irony won't be missed on many.
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The deprived being asked to go over the top first all over again.
Nothing has changed, nothing has changed. |
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It should be left up to the individuals to decide for themselves. A concept unfamiliar to left wing councils tbf.
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mumsnet,yummy muumy,s not exactly deprived,met tory children minister vicki ford today and 50% said they wont be sending their kids back
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Good idea, determine policy via mumsnet
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You got young kids ?
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Nope.
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Simple really, put the classes on and let the parents make their own judgement.
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that's yummy mummy,s mumsnet not allowed an opinion, deprived area,s not allowed one,
oh I get itr brandon lewis can decide who said he,d send his,if they hadn't already left school, ,the joyful right wing daily knicker twanging going on as they scramble around like ferrets in a sack,trying to form a response to covid is heart warming to behold |
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forums can have an opinion, they aren't a valid source for policy making.
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Do you not see the irrationality? Going to end up with the more affluent areas having the most important age groups getting the f2f education, and the kids in areas who would benefit most missing out.
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ok cider get ready with your knicker elastic,
the BMA back teachers union claim that its not safe to open schools yet,to much virus in the community |
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TWANG
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They would, wouldn't they
A union backing people not working, there's a first |
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MUMSNET
DEPRIVED AREA,S BMA NOT ALLOWED AN OPINION, please,please,it couldn't happen but wouldn't it be delicious if doris decided it was to soon, twang,twang,twang,twang, |
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Lives must always come before money.
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The massive hole in your argument is that it's the CMO, CSA and SAGE who are advising on this approach. You know, the actual experts in these areas. It's their judgement that it's the best approach considering all factors.
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ironic that its schools,because I did spend a week trying to educate cider and the loons that the unions were calling the shots not for a while and the right will just have to suck it up, daily mail starting a war against the unions doesn't help,
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If SAGE were saying teachers should get medical grade PPE the unions would be arguing the NHS is the priority and they don't want to scare the kids. They would be against anything that meant returning to work.
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