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1-00 Southwell
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Beyaz Villaz 96 - Just For Leo 87 - Heresillie 87 - Je Suis Unrockstar 87 - Molly Mykenis 80 - Mrs Nisbett not rated - Likeable Lad not rated - Ngina Beyaz Villaz and Je Suis Unrockstar are trained by Dandy Nicholls, one of those on my 'don't touch them' list I'm going to lay Je Suis Unrockstar for a place at about 1.63 |
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mr winkle Joined: 01 Aug 05
Replies: 13693 30 Nov 10 12:41 1-15 Lingfield WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Ebraam 96 - Matsunosuke 94 - Lewyn 93 - Brandywell Boy 88 - Silaah 84 - Wanchai Whisper 80 - Dancing Freddy 64 - The Magic Of Rio 63 - Hatman Jack There's a surprise !! The evens favourite isn't top rated. I shall have a place bet on Ebraam at about 3.1, who should travel well enough to trade out for a sheckel or two profit It won it at 13-2, it was 15 on here Evens favourite Matsunosuke was nowhere |
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Looking back at some of these selections over the past few moonths it comes as no surprise that the losers occur in mainly 2 year old races, or races with less than 8 runners.
Nonetheless. after a smoke in the garden I shall be 'doing up' the 2-30 race. 2 y-o claimer with 7 runners [smiley:crazy] |
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2-30 Kempton
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Danzigs Grandchild 87 - Danube Dancer 85 - Silver Age 85 - Skeleton 83 - Stacey 81 - Hacket 77 - Blaze On By At the weights, Danzigs Grandchild is 13 pounds clear of the field, but even without the 7 pounds claimed by Ryan Powell, hes still 8 pounds clear. This is the first time that an apprentice rides him, but you can take your own views on that. All this lot can muster up between them in 38 races is 2 wins and 2 places Going by the BF prices, and not my judgment, Caitlin is on the likely favourite, Skeleton. Caitlin is also on my 'not wanted; list of jockeys. Win or lose, it's odds on he will give the horse a thrashing with his whip. I think I'll lay Skeleton at about 2.7 despite the fact it has seen support from 3.3 last night. ![]() |
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At the weights, Danzigs Grandchild is 13 pounds clear of the field, but even without the 7 pounds claimed by Ryan Powell, hes still 6 pounds clear. This is the first time that an apprentice rides him, but you can take your own views on that.
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Kempton 2.30
1st 3 Danzigs Grandchild 6-4 F 2nd 2 Silver Age 11-1 |
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only realised there was racing on when I refreshed this thread
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wd
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I wasted 50 minutes at 2-15 a.m. studying the two claimers at Lingfield
![]() 4-30 Wolverhampton WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - So Is She 85 - Veeb 82 - Beating Harmony 81 - A Little Bit Dusty 80 - Mediplomat 79 - Ivans A Star 64 - Ad Vitam not rated - Bill Page Bill Page is being made hot favourite for this, but as this is his 3rd run, this is where he will get his future handicap mark. If it wins, imo, it won't win my much to keep the mark down, and a place bet is too short at 1.28. Best watched, or layed. Top rated hoss So Is She has not won in 10 starts, but the extra distance may help in a first try over 9 furlongs, and if she takes to the task, the 7 pounds that Julie Burke takes off will come in handy. Veeb's jockey and trainer are on my 'not wanted' list and doesn't enter calculations Caitlin is on my jockeys 'not wanted' list so Mediplomat is out of my reckoning. Ivans A Star does a good job of getting in the frame without winning. Ad Vitma has had 7 races any started at less than 33s on one occasion. Beating Harmony is one of Fanshawes cast offs, and today will be the first time he starts at less that 16/1. A Little Bit Dusty set sail for home too soon on his last visit here and the odds on favourite caught and passed him by nearly a length. Veeb will no doubt get out in front as he's headstrong, but will hopefully tire when it matters. I expect A Little Bit Dusty to run into the frame from thereon in, and have backed him at 2.14 for a place as the price is sure to shorten up. Should be able to trade out if and when he runs out of petrol. ![]() |
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I expect A Little Bit Dusty to run into the frame from thereon in, and have backed him at 2.14 for a place as the price is sure to shorten up. Should be able to trade out if and when he runs out of petrol.
Forgot all about this. [smiley:crazy] Traded very short (1.1something) for a place as it was still second well inside the last furlong when it hung right and was passed, eventually finishing 4th, beaten a head for 3rd. |
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6-20 Wolverhampton
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Clear Ice 94 - Ajaria 94 - Valentino Swing 93 - Bahamian Kid 92 - Dickie Le Davoir 91 - Kersivay 91 - Master Leon 90 - Spin Again 89 - Apache Ridge Apprentice galore here, so those allowances for them make quite a bit of difference compared to those who haven't. Non-runners 99 - Vhujon 92 - Misaro Clear Ice, the top rated, has raced here 4 times, been placed 3 times, and was 4th in a blanket finish in the other race. The fact I won't back it to win is that it's a Dandy Nicholls cast off, may be a worthy place bet at about 3.5, but there's not a red cent on it yet. Ajaria appears to be a moody beast, and a place bet is a waste of time. He has run here 10 times. winning 3, and been nowhere in the rest. Win bet or no bet seem the only two options. Valentino Swing has raced here 12 times and been placed just twice. Bahamian Kid has run here 18 times with 2 wins and 4 places, and his apprentices stats don't inspire confidence. His last 5 runs have included 3 that were stone last, and one that was second from last, the other was 4th on a 9/2 shot. Dickie Le Davoir is out of sorts lately, but has run well here before, albeit a long while ago. Kersivay was tipped for a place last time out, but only made the frame as the hot favourite, Matsusunoke, was a non-runner, and the new favourite Titus Gent, as predicted, ran like a donkey. Spin Again is passed over as it's trained by Dandy Nicholls and he's one of those on the 'not wanted' list. Apache Ridge was 2nd over 7 furlongs here last Monday when unfavoured by the weights, this 6 furlong trip may suit him better. After the departure of Vhujon and Misaro we are left with just one hoss, Master Leon. Missed the break here last time, and tried to get back into things around the outside, finishing 8th of 14. Given a smarter exit from the stalls, he could get involved, and at around 2.4 is worth a place bet. Watch the race live, and if he facks up the start again, trade out quickly before the price drifts too far. ![]() |
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Diane Abbott (nap)
Davina McCall Graham Norton Cilla Black Vanessa Feltz Sandy Toskvig Shammyleather Chukkerbutty ironically the only true English person has the surname black. ![]() |
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Missed the break here last time, and tried to get back into things around the outside, finishing 8th of 14. Given a smarter exit from the stalls, he could get involved, and at around 2.4 is worth a place bet. Watch the race live, and if he facks up the start again, trade out quickly before the price drifts too far.
Missed the break again, took my stake back immediately. It ran on towards the end but hung right again and finished 4th. |
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2-00 Lingfield
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Avonrose 98 - Timeteam 95 - Everymanforhimself 94 - Caprio 92 - Fishforcompliments 86 - Decency 85 - Dichoh 82 - Batchworth Blaise 70 - Suttonia Avonrose - I don't back his trainer or jockey Suttonia - I don't back his jockey Timeteam seems to prefer turf to polytrack, so I'll pass him over. Caprio has raced here 3 times but due being a hold up horse and the fairly short run in here, he has never managed to get in the frame Fishforcompliments is another hold up horse, and has been out of the frame in both his races here. Decency has been here 3 times and his best finish was 3rd, he was off the pace, but got going on the run in to be 3rd behind Titius Gent. Titus Gent has won 4 races here from 13 here, and been placed in 4 of the other 9. Bearing that in mind, I'm going to to back Decency for a place at big odds ![]() |
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Bearing that in mind, I'm going to to back Decency for a place at big odds
In at 7.8 it got as low as 4.0 ![]() |
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Just finished doing the 2-30 Claimer at Southwell, looked at the card on here for the betting and it's just been abandoned.
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12.30 Southwell
1st 3 Monsieur Jamie 10-3 |
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12-40 Lingfield
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Silence Is Bliss 99 - My Lord 91 - Sir Lunchalott 83 - Eternal Youth 84 - Theavonfilly 78 - Local Diktater Silence Is Bliss not proven over this far so I'm going to back his stablemate Sir Lunchalottm who will get this trip, for a place at about 2.4 and hope to trade out in running ![]() |
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Silence Is Bliss not proven over this far so I'm going to back his stablemate Sir Lunchalott who will get this trip, for a place at about 2.4 and hope to trade out in running
We now know that Silence Is Bliss definitely stays this far as he won it. I never watched the race, but he did drift out to 8/1 in running. [smiley:crazy] Sir Lunchalott got as low as 2.2 for the frame. I took my stake back, but no profit. |
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1-40 Lingfield
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Decider 99 - Brandywell Boy 99 - Wanchai Whisper 87 - Spic 'n Span 85 - Sharp Shoes 83 - Flow Chart 82 - Bobs Dreamflight 82 - Flaxen Lake non runners 93 - Jolly Ranch 91 - Crazy Parachute Pretty tight at the top of the weights, Decider just edges it due to the 7 pound claimer on board, but he can only muster 2 places in 7 races here. Brandywell Boy drops into this low grade for the first time and has 3 wins and 7 places from 18 races to his name here. Wanchai Whisper will be held up but his record at this course is not that good. Spic 'n Span has won 3 times and been placed 7 times on Fibresand in 18 races at Southwell, but has no wins here or at Wolverhampton in 14 races on polytrack. After taking all things into consideration [smiley:crazy][smiley:crazy] - I will lay Spic 'n Span in the win market. |
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Brandywell Boy
pushed along to track leaders, carried wide bend into straight 2f out, ridden and headway entering final furlong, stayed on to lead post Wanchai Whisper held up, headway over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, headed post. Spic n Span led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra near finish ^^^ finished 5th ![]() |
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COMPETITION RULES
ALL SELECTIONS MUST BE NAMED RACECARD NUMBERS WILL BE IGNORED SCORING Handicaps - 16 or more runners Winner - 4 points 2nd - 3 points 3rd - 2 points 4th - 1 point Races of 8 to 15 runners and non-handicaps of 16 runners and over Winner - 3 points 2nd - 2 points 3rd - 1 point Races of 5 to 7 runners Winner - 3 points 2nd - 2 points Races of 4 runners or less Winner - 3 points It's all about PLACES You get the above scores PLUS 1 point for each point of S.P. for a horse in the frame EXAMPLES : BARBER SHOP COMES SECOND IN THE GOLD CUP AT 20/1 then its 2 points for coming second & 20 for the SP - total = 22 Points DENMAN COMES 4TH IN THE GRAND NATIONAL AT 16/1 then it’s 1 point for 4th plus 16 for the SP - total = 17 Points KAUTO STAR WINS THE KING GEORGE CHASE AT EVENS then its 3 points for winning & 1 for the SP - total = 4 Points NON-RUNNERS In the event of selecting a non-runner you will be on the S.P. favourite In the case of co/joint favourites, you will be on the beast with the lowest racecard number NON-RUNNERS CANNOT BE CHANGED ONCE THE FIRST RACE IS OFF BONUS POINTS Are awarded for the following FIRST 4 SELECTIONS IN THE FRAME - 10 POINTS FIRST 5 SELECTIONS IN THE FRAME - 20 POINTS FIRST 6 SELECTIONS IN THE FRAME - 50 POINTS NAP OF THE DAY A CHANCE TO DOUBLE YOUR POINTS ON ONE HORSE MARK YOUR DAILY NAP EACH DAY FOR DOUBLE POINTS Your nap SHOULD be in the same post as your normal selections. Failure to post your NAP with your selections means that your NAP will be taken as your selection in the first race. If your NAP does not run, you revert to the NON RUNNER RULES, but you will get DOUBLE POINTS if the favourite gets placed. Naps CANNOT be changed once the first race is off |
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Morning all,
hope you're all well. Pumphol - is it in the run up to Crimbo you get those picture quizzes sent to you? Give me a shout (easy to find me on xf) if you are posting any on here. They're usually quite good. |
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Hi Thomas
Yes it is usually around now that my friend does it but perhaps he is to busy. I have won it the last two years ( well with a lot of help from forumites ) but I reckon if I have not heard anything by monday it wont be happening. Will post on here or put a thread up if it happens. Good luck with the specials & dont forget the placepot comp omorrow ( if its on ) |
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When I looked early this morning Cheltenham were 1.04 to race tomorrow, yet there were no markets on Betfair for tomorrows cards. [smiley:crazy][smiley:crazy][smiley:crazy]
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1-40 Wolverhampton
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Ebraam 94 - Monte Major 91 - Avonvalley 90 - Dancing Freddy 89 - Elfstorm 86 - The Tatling 69 - Brazilian Brush non-runners 81 - Dancing Wave 70 - Bluebok The Tatling is a grand old servant but has only got 2 places to his name in 7 runs here. Dancing Freddy has won over 5 furlongs elsewhere and has 2 places from 3 runs here Brazilian Brush was rated, and won, as high as 72 a couple of years ago, but has shown nothing worthwhile for a long while . The other 4 all have winning form here Ebraam is the short priced favourite and has 4 wins and 4 places from 17 runs here Avonvalley has 1 win and 1 place from 2 runs Elfstorms 9 runs have gained 2 wins and a place Which leaves Monte Major, who has had 35 races here, winning 8 times and getting placed in 13. His latst two runs have been in handicaps, and with todays rider claiming 7 pounds, must have a great chance of making the frame. This is a 7 hoss race now, but there were 9 this morning, so it pays the first 3 places and anything over 2.5 looks value for an in-running trade ![]() |
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cheers pumphol
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Monte Major drifting like a barge
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Monte Major drifting like a barge
![]() 'They knew' - stone last - never put in the race ![]() |
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Guess whatI backed Monte for a place !
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Varsity rugby match starting at 2pm.
on sky sports 1 ![]() |
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Teams
Oxford University: J Crozier (Colchester RGS & Kellogg); L Fenwick (MGS Christchurch & University), S Morris (Westcliff HS & Somerville), A Cheesman (RGS High Wycombe & St Edmund Hall), L Jones (Reading Blue Coat School & St Edmund Hall); C Marr (King’s College, Taunton & Brasenose), N Haydon (King’s, Sydney & University, capt); H Macdonald (Leeds GS & Wadham), G Oliver (Worksop College & Green Templeton), W Kane (Skinners’ School & Merton), T Evans (Christ College, Brecon & St Hugh’s), K Outen (Guildford GS & St Edmund Hall), D ****ss (Canberra GS & Keble), L Mather (KCS Wimbledon & University), S McKeen (St George’s, Vancouver & Harris Manchester). Subs: A Connor (Ermysted’s GS & Keble), L Anderson (Bexley GS & University), A Rowe (Queen’s College, Taunton & Queen’s), I Swan (Christ College, Brecon & Kellogg), J Mather (Abingdon School & Lady Margaret Hall), H ****ss (Radford College, Canberra & St Anthony’s), T Yusef (Millfield School & University), J Wisson (Dulwich College & St Anne’s). Cambridge University: J Richards (Rondebosch HS, Cape Town & Hughes Hall, capt); I Cherezov (Bedford School & St John’s), F Burdon (RGS Newcastle & St John’s), P Loudon (Edinburgh Academy & St Edmund’s), R Stevens (Wellington College & Jesus); G Cushing (Stowe School & Ridley Hall), S Hunt (Fettes College & Girton); N Conlon (Royal Belfast Academical Institution & St Edmund’s), J Gilbert (Robert Gordon’s, Aberdeen & St Edmund’s), S Brown (Lancaster RGS & Clare), T Harrington (King’s School, Parramatta & Wolfson), C Baird (RGS High Wycombe & St John’s), J Kururangi (St Kentigern College, Auckland & St Edmund’s), T Stanton (Stowe School & St John’s), B Maidment (Brighton College & St Edmund’s). Subs: C Hall (Whitgift School & St John’s), A Daniel (RGS High Wycombe & St Edmund’s), T Harris (Tiffin School & Churchill), S Annett (Methodist College, Belfast & Clare), B Martin (King Edward VI Five Ways & St Catharine’s), M Daly (Whitgift School & Jesus), M ****ss-King (Upper Canada College, Toronto & St Catharine’s), W Briggs (Bedford School & Magdalene). Referee: A Small What (Dunstable). |
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G uin ness starred out
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pumphol. 09 Dec 10 13:52
Guess what. I backed Monte for a place ! BOKIST REPORTED |
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4-00 Kempton
WINKLES WEIGHT RATINGS 100 - Golden Shine 93 - Johnny Han**** 89 - Mini Bon Bon 88 - Instructress 82 - Miss Toldyaso 81 - Fairy Tales 74 - Majestic Ridge 73 - Shutupandrive non-runner 71 - Walshtown Lad Golden Shine stands out at the weights and after I backed it at 1.7 it went as low as 1.47, afterwards, then for some reaon, drifted to over 1.9 for a place last night. It's now back to 1.55. I hope it runs better then Monte Major did earlier. ![]() Misstoldyaso is far too short at 6.0 imo and should be layed if you're brave enough. |
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Golden Shine stands out at the weights and after I backed it at 1.7 it went as low as 1.47, afterwards, then for some reaon, drifted to over 1.9 for a place last night. It's now back to 1.55.
1.3 now !!! |
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Got as low as 1.14 in running, thank feck.
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Just noticed that it was backed down to 13/8 favourite, a lot of wonga went astray there.
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1600
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