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Yesteryear yesteryear where art thou yesteryear
Yesteryear yesteryear where art thou yesteryear
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yep drawn one or two or in the car park not ideal really
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First race at Kempton a case in point
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missed it
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Chelmsford last night:
1) runners 9; draw winner 9 2) 8; 6 3) 15; 12 4) 7; 7 5) 11; 8 6) 9; 5 7) 9; 10 (nr) 8) 12; 12 |
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 Recent track going or long standing you think ? |
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I'm doing some more digging.
Compare with Lingfield yesterday: (Dist; runners; draw winner) 7; 9; 9 7: 11; 5 8; 12; 11 7; 13; 3 13; 13; 2 10; 13; 1 10; 12; 2 7; 13; 2 |
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all the longer distance winners were drawn low
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All the longer distance winners also raced up with the pace. In fact, all the winners except in races 2 and 4, raced up with the pace.
That may be contrary to what many would expect at Lingfield. |
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That's not the norm I would have thought.
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We'll see - I'm doing some pace analysis.
I haven't got the distances/draws/runners to hand but early positions for Lingfield AW winners 18/10: 1)Led 2)Prom 3)Led 4)Prom 5)Prom 6)Held up 7)Prom 8)Led |
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Keep me informed
 I should have let you carry on with the comp, no winners yet  |
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Another one I've got handy - Ling AW 18/1/17:
1)Prom 2)Led 3)Prom 4)Held up 5)Prom 6)Prom 7)Led |
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Kempton yesterday:
Seven races: Stall 5: 4 winners 1 2nd 2 unplaced (both 66/1) |
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field sizes ?
May make a difference |
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Panglima six selections all odds on no winners
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You will go for these 8/15 outsiders.
 Dist; runners; draw 7; 10; 5 8; 10; 7 8; 8; 5 12; 8; 5 11; 10; 3 6; 11; 5 7; 11; 11 |
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Forgot to add early position of winner:
Prom Prom Held up Led Held up Prom Prom |
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still a bit of a mixed bag
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I think I said, I'm doing some pace analysis. Hopefully this will confirm which tracks favour front runners / hold up horses and to what extent.
Also, how individual tracks vary from meeting to meeting. There is a school of thought which says that on the AW, a track might favour front runners one day and hold up horses on another. This situation doesn't seem to correlate to weather conditions. Maybe track maintenance? Anyway, I will have a pace rating score for each meeting. I might be wasting my time but it might identify horses which peformed better than the bare form shows or those that under performed. |
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Agree with track maintenance I'm sure Newcastle being a straight mile alters from one meeting to another, its not till later in the meeting you probably realise if a high or ocassionally a low draw is best.
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Five winners from seven drawn 1 tonight
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The two that didn't win from stall one were 16/1 and 100/1.
Compare with my from the previous meeting: i_agree_with_nick 03 Nov 17 18:33 Joined: 21 May 10 | Topic/replies: 9,442 | Blogger: i_agree_with_nick's blog Chelmsford last night: 1) runners 9; draw winner 9 2) 8; 6 3) 15; 12 4) 7; 7 5) 11; 8 6) 9; 5 7) 9; 10 (nr) 8) 12; 12 |
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That's a bit of a head scratcher !
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Pumphol has a winner at last
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VWD - 33 BSP!
I noticed Panglima had a coule of winners too. |
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yep out of the mire it wasn't looking great
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SUPREME PLACEPOT COMPETITION 2017 - RULES
ALL SELECTIONS MUST BE NAMED RACECARD NUMBERS WILL BE IGNORED (unless you’re going on holiday and have asked for them) SCORING Handicaps - 16 or more runners Winner - 4 points 2nd - 3 points 3rd - 2 points 4th - 1 point Races of 8 to 15 runners and non-handicaps of 16 runners and over Winner - 3 points 2nd - 2 points 3rd - 1 point Races of 5 to 7 runners Winner - 3 points 2nd - 2 points Races of 4 runners or less Winner - 3 points It's all about PLACES You get the above scores PLUS 1 point for each point of S.P. for a horse in the frame EXAMPLES : THE THINKER COMES SECOND IN THE GOLD CUP AT 20/1 then it's 2 points for coming second & 20 for the SP - total = 22 Points DENMAN COMES 4TH IN THE GRAND NATIONAL AT 16/1 then it’s 1 point for 4th plus 16 for the SP - total = 17 Points KAUTO STAR WINS THE KING GEORGE CHASE AT EVENS then its 3 points for winning & 1 for the SP - total = 4 Points NON-RUNNERS In the event of selecting a non-runner you will be on the S.P. favourite In the case of co/joint favourites, you will be on the beast with the lowest racecard number NON-RUNNERS CANNOT BE CHANGED ONCE THE FIRST RACE IS OFF BONUS POINTS Are awarded for the following FIRST 4 SELECTIONS IN THE FRAME - 10 POINTS FIRST 5 SELECTIONS IN THE FRAME - 20 POINTS FIRST 6 SELECTIONS IN THE FRAME - 50 POINTS YOU CAN LOSE POINTS You will be deducted 5 points if ALL your selections are NOT posted BEFORE the first race goes off MORE BONUS POINTS - NAP OF THE DAY MARK YOUR DAILY NAP EACH DAY FOR DOUBLE POINTS Your nap SHOULD be in the same post as your normal selections If your NAP does not run, you revert to the NON-RUNNER RULES, but you will get DOUBLE POINTS if the favourite gets placed NAPS can be changed by posting up to the first race on any day. NAPS CANNOT BE CHANGED ONCE THE FIRST RACE IS OFF PODIUM PLACES - NEW STRUCTURE THIS YEAR Regardless of how many days there are at a meeting - whether it’s 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5: Up to 44 runners - Podium points will be awarded for the top 10 45 runners and over - Podium points will be awarded for the top 15 HOLIDAYS A lot of players take part in EVERY placepot competition throughout the season as you really need to post in every competition to stay in the running If you cannot gain computer access for any reason you may choose to enter while on holiday or on days out or know you will be suffering from a hangover by asking for any of the following : Returned Favourites (subject to normal joint fav. and co.fav rules) Racecard numbers (please leave enough time for these to be converted to names before the first race takes place Top weights in all handicaps, along with racecard numbers for non-handicap races. In the event of joint top weights or non-runners you revert to favourite rules |
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TTT
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TTT
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WD yesterday Pump. GL today.
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Just looked at the Guesses thread. Two long priced winners yesterday.
 Hope you had a few quid on. Did you have a little bit on the double? |
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Was going to back Ryan's selection today but thought I'd missed the boat when I say it was around 9ish on here. Now 5
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Hi Nick, faded pretty early sadly
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BSP was 4.22
I managed to get 16/1 for today's. Currently around 8/1 (10.5 on here). |
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good luck
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Pump
Great stuff. |
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Cheers Nick
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Balibour now 6.2 on here. Martabot drifting.
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WD yesterday Pump.
Had a small bet on Lihou in the Brocklesby. Ran reasonbly well - beaten 2L. Wasn't a confident selection but felt I had to have a go as I'd spent quite a while looking at the race and didn't like any of the fancied horses. (The winner was around 12/1 the night before.) |
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Hi Nick, thanks, never saw your race as on after ITV had finished
Spent a while on the 4.50 Naas put this up on horse racing Aussie Valentine - 2.50 Naas 15/2 Second run with new trainer but is taking the Exact same route as last year, went to Dundalk same meeting as last year running in a mile hcp, beaten around 3.5 lengths same as last year, then comes to this Naas race, last year came second in this race, horse that beat it is rated 111, AV is 4lb lower than the run last year & runs off its lowest ever turf mark, obviously this has been a main objective & you hope it will be in the shake up. Elm Grove - 2.50 50/1 Hard not to have something on Elm, first race 2016 after a six month break produced a win, again last year after another six month on the sidelines won on its comeback run, both times in big fields both times on heavy going, win in 2017 was off a 18lb higher mark than the year before & this year is 10lb higher than last year, runs off 81 but was running of 89 in the summer, with the claimer up is only 1lb higher than last win, yes its asking a lot in this very competitive heat but its obviously best after a break & comes here after a couple of runs over the sticks, Iv'e seen a lot worse 50/1 shots for sure. Be lucky if your palying today |