Forums

We want to share an important update with our Betfair Community users.

Over the coming months, the Betfair Community platform will be winding down. The final active day for the platform will be December 21st. From December 22nd, users will no longer be able to access the platform.

Your discussions, insights, engagement, and, most importantly, feedback have helped shape the platform and guided innovation. Your feedback continues to be important to us, and we will continue to listen via our dedicated feedback channels, as well as through product testing and innovations.

To share your feedback and experience, visit: https://support.betfair.com/app/home

There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 130 comments are related to the topic:
This was written over at HPC about house prices. I like it a lot.

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 3 of 4  •  Previous | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 130
By:
lmfao
When: 24 Jan 10 23:38
ia mate of mine drives second hand jags- but looks at the new ones periodically - we went into the showroom and sat in one - £70k


I could have bought it with the credit card in my pocket


nice feeling


so i decided to keep it that way
By:
Dealem....
When: 24 Jan 10 23:39
well done lmfao.
an inspiration to many if they actually appreciated what you had done instead of wanting you to give them some of your spare cash coz by your own definition you dont need it as much now lol
By:
Dealem....
When: 24 Jan 10 23:40
that was to the post 3 up...
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 24 Jan 10 23:42
I wasnt really taking sides, I just tried to expand on what I thought the OP meant, which does have some rational to it in the deeper workings of things. Though it will not happen because we are too far down the line of investing in our homes.

The simple calculation that states property will always go up in the long run is not all it seems. Firstly compare it against inflation and in the long run it is on track. Add to this e cost of owning the asset and you can be looking at a loss when comapared to inflation. Secondly if you take two examples, (these are off the top of my head so dont correct me on exact number, the principle remains) :

I buy a house for £40K in 1988, and keep it until today. It is now worth 100K. 250% ROI gross @ 12.5% annualised.

I buy a house in 1994 for £40K and keep it until today. It is now worth 120K. 300% ROI gross @ 20% annualised.

There are other more subtle things to include such as operating costs, opportunity to invest elsewhere when not in the market as well as the opportunity to leverage, (which is all but gone for now).

Simply buying and holding is not optimal imo.


In addition to this, it is my strong belief, (I have said it on these boards doens of times), that landlords will be subject to a lot of tax and regulation in the coming years/governments. Hence my intention to pursue foreign properties. There are lots of hints at this in various pieces of journalism and politcal chat but it is all hearsay and conjecture. My gut feeling says that we now have a small army of individual landlords creating wealth that is not in the broad economy and is subject to a lot of cash free transactions. All this time he pension pots are being exposed as a sham, and the people opting out are not helping the situation, (good luck to them for it though). In the end any government chancellor has to say the simple question of "where is the money and how do I tax it". Can you imagine the joy on his face when he realises that it is a fixed imobile asset that cannot be hidden. It has to come I think :-(
By:
lmfao
When: 24 Jan 10 23:44
JH- buying is better than renting


renting- you dont see a penny of your dosh


buy it - and do it as quickly as possible - and you live rent free until your dotage - at which time you must take steps to rent and spend your capital!
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 24 Jan 10 23:45
If your not already up to speed look up remediation tax, (and understand it), before you get into any developments. This is where the money has been fo rhte last ten years. Not sure it will survive the next governments budget though.
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 24 Jan 10 23:48
It is just not that black and white lmfao.

I have now rented for the last 2 and half years. My cost of rent is a pittance really. I have not lost any capital gain on my properties, and I have had the income from that cash which covers the rent by a country mile.

If you mean better for life then you missed my earlier point regarding timing. If you want to buy your house an dlive in it til the day you die then forge the finer points of its investment value. There are better things for you to do with your time. In truth this calculation is simple, it is rent vs mortgage over expected life. If your looking at property as an investment then ignoring timing is folly.
By:
punterfleecer
When: 24 Jan 10 23:49
Dealem, I am not being particularly being nasty to you.

If I had met you at a bar, I'd buy you a drink, not that I'm gay of course

statements such as

i don't care for unfortunates , or wasters. but if they are happy then thats nice.

you don't care for unfortunates? what if you had an unfortunate kid but the government did nothing about it? is that what you want?, then I would take it that you prefer Britain contribute nothing to the late Haiti earthquake at all? because you don't care?

lets not turn this to policies coz A) i wont win, B) you won't change me c) this is a property thread lol

oh it turns to politics am afraid
By:
lmfao
When: 24 Jan 10 23:50
JH

I buy a house for £40K in 1988, and keep it until today. It is now worth 100K. 250% ROI gross @ 12.5% annualised.

WHAT????????????????????



I bought a £42k house in late 1985 - its worth around £280K+ now i should think


We bought our existing house in 2002 at £222k and as of 2 weeks ago the estate agent we bought from said it is now saleable at £395k ( we're not looking - btw- shes a neighbour)
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 24 Jan 10 23:50
PS I have met Dealem on a couple of occasions and he is pretty much as he says he is. he is shyte at flipping for beers though ;-)
By:
punterfleecer
When: 24 Jan 10 23:54
lmfao is not in scotland, that's for sure
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 24 Jan 10 23:54
So you agree lmfao? See what a difference 1985 makes?

Though your figures of growth are above average, which is possible area dependent. It is all about the timing. Take the extreme example. If you bought a house in June 2007 would you now be in profit or loss? If I bought next door to you this year, would you ever catch up in % roi terms?

If it was a car people would see it so clearly. Becasue you bring in the cost of rent vs loan people become emotive over it. I am not talking about owner buying here, I am talking about investing.
By:
punterfleecer
When: 24 Jan 10 23:55
Jim Henson, I always know when it's my cue to go for a jimmy when ah ken it's his roond
By:
Dealem....
When: 24 Jan 10 23:55
i think if comparing renting v buying over long term, timing is almost irrelevent

of course there are better or worse time. eg, mortgages are at an all time low at the mo, unless you got one when the companies must have realised that there might be some sort of massive interst reduction so buil;t in capped discounts....

i pay 93£ a month for 90k. means nothing unless you compare it but to rent out my little flat it would cost me 600£. the same mortgage now would probably cost you 250-350 off the tiop of my head.(interst only)

i know a small saving long term but on a bigger home with larger deal it would be far bigger. Homes are appreciating also, which is very important if my home appreciated more than 1100£ this year, i am living for free...
the one bit of luck i had was managing to scrape through a 30k top up weeks before the crash became mainstream..
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 24 Jan 10 23:55
The stock market is no different, except that when we dont want to be in it we are not forced to "rent" an alternative.
By:
punterfleecer
When: 24 Jan 10 23:58
dealem £93 a month on a 90k house? please state what deposit you made

dont confuse people on here

my lovely ex got a 95k mortgage but paying £500 a month for 35 years
By:
Dealem....
When: 24 Jan 10 23:58
no capital gains tax on your own home if that's what you meant.
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 25 Jan 10 00:00
i think if comparing renting v buying over long term, timing is almost irrelevent

I completely agree.

The trouble is the man in the street starts with this nugget and then decides that he is not the owner of an investment asset. This is ok for some when the market is ripe and allows for leverage. Unfortunately the masses get confused and start to think that the single property that they own is suddenly "creating wealth".
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:04
pf, i think the deposit is irrelevant, i am saying what a loan of 90k cost me. 93£ a month...


as it happend my little flat cost 56k i think. i was supposed to pay 10% and the w$nker broker(the only time i ever used one) tried to steal half of that. so i think i put about 3k down. i remortgaged to 90k on an offset. this was my first purchase and my current home. 1999 i think.
actually u have made me think, how can i borrow an extra 30 on top of 53 and it be 90... anyway, it is circa (56-3 so 53, plus 30)83k woohooo i just earned 7k lol

it is with coventry but they weren't my original lenders.
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:05
and i never stated it was a 90k house or flat. i just stated the loan.
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 25 Jan 10 00:06
Is that all I am charging you in interest? I will have to review your file on Monday :-)
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:10
i don't care for unfortunates

i dont. and i hope i dont end up in that situation, but i have the unique view that we should be able to abort up to 3 months after the birth.

the world the way it is is making too many unpure genes. we should still be fighting the cold and each other for mating rights... more and more unsuitable people breed each year and it only gets worse.

too many bad eyes, headaches and other unatural flaws. if it was animals we would pay to get rid of the chance to polute a prime recipient...
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:10
lol
By:
punterfleecer
When: 25 Jan 10 00:11
i fail to see that how ...

well ok you got a loan of 90k for £93 a month? is this over 200 years?
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:12
interest only...
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 25 Jan 10 00:14
PF, likely a tracker at a 0.75% over base. good times for these loans just now.
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 25 Jan 10 00:14
and probably an old deal, you would not get one now lol.
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:15
was just gonna say isnt "just now" is was just BEFORE...
By:
punterfleecer
When: 25 Jan 10 00:15
yea but a 90k mortgage on an endowment for £93 a month?

am surprised the housing market never exploded earlier!

anyway I must go to bed

got work tomorrow

night night(I'm working away too, I can't miss the pool car!)
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:16
and like i said, probably the only stroke of luck getting that through b4 the crash that i have had in the last 36 months barring the last 4 or 5 months...

the tide has turned for me hopefully...
By:
punterfleecer
When: 25 Jan 10 00:16
Jim Hensen cheers for your reply

I can understand it being cheap now

I suppose I didn't know when dealem got his loan

night night anyhow!
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:17
it was £450. get over it... low rates mean low costs.
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 25 Jan 10 00:17
Good luck, if you have made it this far and in good shape you should do ok.
By:
punterfleecer
When: 25 Jan 10 00:18
to let you know, I pay £150 a month, 2 bedroom apt, got 17 years to go!
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:18
i agree, and ty. it would have been nicer to get away with my MBNA and Hali Gold tho lol ;)
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 25 Jan 10 00:24
lol never mind. Always a new angle on the horizon.

When I started work I was fortunate enough to be taken under the wong of a very wise man. One of the many things he told me, that I never understood right off, was that there is always a trend for making money. Spot the trend and get in early and any fool will profit.

This was in the era of windfall payments from building societies and the like. Next was the dotcom era, next was the housing boom, then the onine gambling and trading platforms, (and maybe Ebay too). More recently we have shorting and commodities but these will never get the mass appeals of previous. Just now the trend seems to be in claims for finance. On one hand this has the potential to involve the mass public that is required to create a bubble. On the other hand it would be catastrophic to the wider economy. The former says to me that it will not happen. So where is the next bubble/trend that is inclusive to the masses?

No rush but if you can let me know before bedtime please ;-)
By:
Dealem....
When: 25 Jan 10 00:28
well, im not sure but i think there is claims that there may be ways out of mortgages... i have spoken to my mates in the "knock your cards" business and they say it will never happen, but to be fair they ahve been lucky not pioneers in their field...

maybe that is it...

i think the money is in development. i really really do.... and hopefully i will act on it.
By:
Jim Hensen
When: 25 Jan 10 00:29
I'd wait until next governement get in and then take stock. Also as said above look into remediation tax.
By:
Joe Jordan
When: 25 Jan 10 00:30
selling fridgerators + freezers to the Eskimos ..
when global warming really bites ,
I do not know one Eskimo who owns a fridge or freezer ..
You heard it here first :^0
By:
punterfleecer
When: 25 Jan 10 00:30
develop them for who?

ones on government grants? the rich who rely on government grants for developments?

anyway thats for another night

night night
Page 3 of 4  •  Previous | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com