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I saw that, Stron.
Jeriko is incredibly short for what he achieved on the clock first time out. |
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'strontium', indeed re: Willmount. As such, his price for this race has gone walkies. I should have known better; Hendo's behaving like Mr Mullins with his charges with old age.
But, unless Willmount has been bought by JP the owner of willmount will undoubtedly prefer this race to the Neptune. |
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Willmount went from going very well to backpedalling in a matter of strides. Either he ran out of puff over this 2m 4f trip or something was amiss. I think The Neptune is less likely than The Supreme at the moment.
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He was beaten far too far out for it be the trip.
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Jeriko with two easy wins and from the right trainer and with the right colours sees him pretty short now, unusually the Supreme market is a bit cloudy compared to recent years, Jeriko finished off well last time but was run at a crawl, the mares handicap earlier was miles ahead for much of the race all be it carrying 10lb less, still a mark of 132 is about 20 lbs below what a Supreme winner would usually be although he may well have that in the tank, but we're taking a lot on trust at his current price. He's a little bit of a default leader as the market is desperately searching for something to grab hold off and as said his connections provide this but there must be some value elsewhere.
With the paucity of real contenders grabbing hold of the market I think that it is worth taking the 8/1 on A Dream To Share and taking the punt that he can hurdle and there are no more setbacks, he did win the bumper and followed it up in Ireland, he's the one that we know can do it on the big stage already, he gave the impression with his big bumper wins of him being a strong stayer at two miles, finishing off very well, typically something that is ideally suited to the Supreme. He's due to appear soon and any kind of good performance will see his price chopped, we also know that Mcmanus doesn't mind having two market leaders in this race. |
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Any update on Willmount?
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Any news on It's For Me? Taken a big walk in the market, and not entered for the DRF.
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It’s for me had a setback…struggling to make chelts,,hoping for punchestown…read that on X
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Thanks Cobra, shame.
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Jeriko Du Rochet is a knocking ew bet at 9/1 with C*ral, after what Lump Sum did today.
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The best way for Mullins to win both races is to run Ballyburn in the longer race, but IMO, as much as he wants to win both races he really doesn't want to miss the Supreme, even if Ballyburn wins the Baring race. I reckon he won't trust Tullyhill to be his main hope in the Supreme, his jumping is just too bad, even the last twice when he had things his own way he was big and clumsy at too many and on the first day when he didn't have it his own way he steadied himself into practically every hurdle.
Regardless of whether Tullyhill only has the Supreme as an entry Mullins runs what he thinks is his best horse in the Supreme and that's Ballyburn. |
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Nothing wrong with jumping last time, just watched again, very impressive, rest of field under the cosh before home turn
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Ballyburn seems a certainty to be in Supreme looking at exchange. Was something confirmed in a festival preview night ?
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Ground will be key to Mullins decision and, although not at all reliable this far out, the current long range forecasts are suggesting it might be dry and sunny from the weekend before the festival and through it.
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Its a bit silly , but I really like Mistergif , Limerick performance on a ploughed field was excellent , jumping superbly and full of running at the line . Mullins also had 2/1 shot in race (with 50k bumper second form ) obviously an unfit (haha ) tailed off beaten 80 odd lengths , but fit enough to win a gambled on Punchestown maiden with first two well clear next time out . Mistergif only moderate on flat in France over middle distance and who knows what on better ground but interesting .
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Good spot Paulo. Only 20/1, so someone likes it. Just the sort of horse Mullins would have put in the County before the rules changed.
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Betting on here over last 24 hours strongly suggesting that Ballyburn is heading for Supreme with Mystical Power switching to Ballymore.
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I think Mystical Power (assuming he runs) and Jeriko Du Reponet are on backable prices now. Unless one has inside info or related to the two front-runners of Mr Mullins I'd not touch them at these prices. Tbh I do not even know who their owner/s is/are.
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It looks like Mystical Power ius toast here. He's drifted out to 25 here.
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Mystical Power has mystically become the fav in The Neptune - by design or mystic?
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MEG!!!
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A change of sentiment/fortune for backers of Mystical Power. He's back into 5.6 from 25 (here). It seems the big owners have had their way; Ballyburn has drifted from near odds-on (fav) to 3.75 (here) despite beating Slade Steel an easy 7l over 2m.
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Mystical Power is by Galileo out of Annie Power and is owned by Magnier, McManus and Ricci. So quite a few things in his favour. Unbeaten in 3 races but yet to take on anything top class. Tullyhill would seem to have just the better form and is owned by the Thompsons. Tullyhill is also the choice of Townend. Mistergif is the dark one.
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Mystical Power has the look of a flat horse being asked to jump hurdles at speed. Will the jumping hold up long enough to use the gears he has and has he the strength for the hill are the questions
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i know the hendo yard have been through a lean spell but that has helped jericos price and he can be backed ew , with ballyburn out the way he is my selection around 8/1 will do for me !
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Slade Steel will do for me.
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After the rain overnight and heavy rain now forecast tomorrow Slade Steel liely to shorten considerably
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Tullyhill has been steadily backed this weekend. Cheveley Park, Townend, Mullins. All of the stars aligned. His improvement (I presume) must be part of the reason why Ballyburn has been shifted to Wednesday
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Jeriko will be ridden by de Boinville; Mystical Power is ridden by Walsh - the retained jock of JP in Ireland. I like both with preference for the latter.
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Surprisingly no comment about the performance of Salvator Mundi at Punchestown yesterday. He's 4/1f for this race. I think but for his trainer, he'd be nearer to 12/1 rather than 4/1; his jumping was sloppy and amateurish.
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Yes, the jumping has been poor from a few near the top of the market. The DRF will tell us a great deal, but also take the value from whatever looks best. It might be an under-par renewal this year. If I had to pick a couple now, they would be Romeo Coolio and Workahead.
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Can see salvator running from the front in supreme and only thing to pass him would be The yellow clay but seemingly going to sun alliance
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I can't get past Salvator being hammered in the Triumph.
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Put all of Willie Mullins horses in a hat and pick one.
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I put £5 on Redemption Day on here at 90/1 and now the price has crashed to 31/1. I must know something, I don't know about. It will probably not even run. Laugh
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I will be hoping in the first at Navan tomorrow . Willie called Ballygunner Castle a stayer , but has run him over min distance , am averaging close to 100 so fingers xd. No loose horses this time .
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A bit of money for both BC and de Bromhead's horse. Should be an interesting race.
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At least with big prices it doesnt cost so much !
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An Irish winner looks to be guaranteed after Royal Infantry's dismal run yesterday.
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Kopek Des Bordes is all the rage for this, even his trainer is very sweet on him; his price 1/1. Unless Lulamba is rerouted here he looks the real deal.
Kopek Des Bordes (1/1), Sir Gino (4/6) and Constitution Hill (8/13) are a 5/1 treble. |