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He was expected to be fresh for his first race. Didn’t pull in RSA so no reason to think he will in Gold Cup.
Hendo has confirmed he will be dropped in rather than try to lead. Who are you backing now Sage ? You were waiting to see his run before committing. |
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Although I can't understand why the other jockeys never out champ under any pressure, you'd still have to be happy with seeing him there over 2 miles ?
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I don’t think his jumping will be good enough in the blue riband. He is a lovely horse though. Maybe next year. I am green anyway on him, but I counted at least four novicesy mistakes. That equates to about five or six lengths lost. I also do not think he likes the new course.
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how can you say he don't like the new course?
he's only ran there once when he fell and was in front in a race where he'd probably won. |
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It’s just a feeling I have. I think he is a smashing horse. Just think he idled in the dipper when he fell, he was not up against much that day. I am green on him anyway so happy with position. But I think he is quirky. I am not a great fan of Nico de Boinville, would prefer a pilot like Mark Walsh, Darragh O’Keeffe or Jack Kennedy on him.
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He put in a short one at the last but on the whole I thought he jumped well, the key to him I think is making his mind up and not allowing him to fiddle them, positivity on him is half the battle.
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If he'd make the pace or up with the pace over 2m and jumped the way he did yesterday I'd have thought over 3m 2f+ would be less taxing. And, even if he was a couple of lengths behind ABP after jumping the last I'd take that now because he'd be the strongest finisher of all except Santini.
Champ and Santini - a rfc. |
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Hibore, I have Champ and ABP in my 10 to follow and will probably stick with those 2 but I can't see either of them shortening in price before the overnights so I am not tempted at the moment. There is no rain forecast for 2 weeks after tomorrow so it might be on the fast side after all.
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Very spring like today outside!!!
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I hope I am wrong but I think the three fences that willl cause Champ problems will be the last, the last open ditch and the dreaded fourth last. Especially if the site of the fourth last is closer to the bend. If NdB starts to go for it down the hill, he will not get back up it. I think he could be in a spot of bother on yesterday’s evidence. He was not clean at his fences. He didn’t get a ten out of ten for me for his jumping. If I was on Champ, I would just let him get him a rhythm and then let him freewheel down the hill. Then even if at the home turn I would not worry being ten lengths down. but NdB I do not think will out do Kennedy, Townend, Walsh, or a good few others in a finish as he seems to get his hands in a mess at key moments. I still have him six pounds below on my handicap to Al Boum Photo. But in saying that, I am green, so if he wins it’s a few quid.
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Just to summarize on here, no-one thinks he will win but are all green on him just in case he does
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I'm much less worried after yesterday. I was very concerned about his jumping last season, and his long holiday since. The longer Gold Cup trip will mean a slower pace than yesterday as I do not believe Native River or Frodon will dare tear off infront like a pair of whippets.
All sweet with me, if he stays sound. I'm not even perturbed by ABP on a line with Santini; Hendo 1st and 2nd (hopefully), but either will do if 1st to the finishing line. |
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Duffy
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Duffy is right though. Champ has less form to go on than any GC runner for a very long time. One chase run over 3 miles which he won from an impossible position 2 out. Otherwise he is a 2-2.7 mile chaser-or is he? The defeat of Dashel Drasher over 2m 6f looks OK now.
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Obviously, as Champ's outing this season has been curtailed by a wind op and going. But, one cannot say every one was not surprised to see him win the RSA from where he was, and on that jumping; the two horses that ABP beat for the title were mediocre or below average.
ABP is the reigning champ, but I think Champ is the one to beat on sunday's showing. I do not think an extra 2f will hinder him on his RSA run. |
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the two he beat,Allaho & Minella Indo have'nt exactly
franked the form.Well beat against top opposition. |
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True. Nevertheless the position he came from in the RSA astounded every one bar none. What was his in-running price then? 200 or more? ABP was held (and fell) 3 out in the 2018 RSA when behind Presenting Percy and Monalee. Was that good form? Of course not.
How good ABP is will be revealed next March. |
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since that fall he's improved,he's record speaks
for itself.Al Boum Photo is a top class stayer. |
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ABP a top class stayer beating Santini and Anibale Fly? Who'd have thought that? I'll reserve judgment...soon we'll know for sure.
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what top class horses has Champ btn?
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No one has said Champ is a top class stayer; he was 2nd in the Neptune. He's only run once over fences in senior company.
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What price will champ be on the day?
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Being JP's I think at best 4/1 given ABP is 11/4 at present. Nico is riding.
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If he is going off anything like that price, I will have a lumpy place lay.
What I don't get, impossible123, is that ABP's 2 Gold cups are a fluke; the (arguably) best staying chase performance this season - by A Plus Tard - is a fluke; the King George winner fluked that race; and yet the winner of a very ordinary looking RSA, who has only managed to make the racecourse once since, is the second coming? To put it another way: the 1st, 2nd and 4th in the Ryanair have since won Grade 1 chases, and the 3rd came 4th in the King George. How many Grade 1 winners have come from the RSA? It is not that Champ will turn out to be better than he has shown, but there is no way he is a good value bet at current prices, and his price compared with that of ABP and APT is a joke. |
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Correction: **It is not impossible that Champ will turn out...**
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The 2 wins of ABP is no fluke, but nothing better than mediocre against Santini (disrupted prep) and Anibale Fly who were 2nd; King George's winner Frodon was definitely gifted the race; APT probably improved up in trip.
Has ABP improved massively since running in The RSA? I think not given the 2 horses he beat in the Gold Cup. Champ may only have run once (no fault of his) this season but it was a jolly fine run against seasoned 2m chasers. He's also a RSA winner something ABP could not achieved. I think 6/1 is a decent price. |
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Why on earth would Al Boum Photo's case need bolstering with a Sun Alliance win when he's got 2 Gold Cups on his CV?
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he will send you dizzy muse.
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English gold cup
Win it twice ... And you are still mediocre What a chump! |
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Champ gave the field 10 lengths start and still won easily in the RSA. I seem to remember that at the time, Minella Indo and Allaho were considered to be top class, and we know how good Aye right is.
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I think Minella Indo and Allaho are perfectly good horses. They’re just not Gold Cup horses in quality or stamina. I’d love to see them in a King George or Ryan Air (In the case of Minella Indo)
Champs RSA was just fine form wise to me. He has all the talent in the world, he’s just prone to an error be it mental or jumping. RE Al Boum Photo, I think he is a victim of the way he is campaigned, abit like Quevega. Because he is generally seen so little, he doesn’t get near enough the credit he’s deserves, 3 Gold Cup’s in a row would be a quite ludicrous achievement. |
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Ludicrous ?
The only ludicrous thing about it is the fact that the rules or conditions of the race, as per the BHA allow Willie to do that. Every race run throughout the world has conditions of entry and every trainer throughout the world use those conditions to construct his training programme for his horses. The system appears to work. What do you want ? A gold cup preliminary round, qualifying ties like the F A cup ? Fact is people were shouting Mullins hasnt ever won the Gold Cup a couple of years ago on this forum and what is ludicrous now is the amount of sour grapes being spouted ! |
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Ludicrous as in ludicrously impressive. Tough crowd
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Because he is generally seen so little, he doesn’t get near enough the credit he’s deserves, 3 Gold Cup’s in a row would be a quite ludicrous achievement.
I assumed that part was just ignored? |
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Champ beat Allaho 2L in the RSA,he was 20L behind
A Plus Tard in the Savilles Chase. Minella Indo, he beat 1L, he was beat over 6L by Kemboy. Easy Game was hammered as well behind A Plus Tard. Battleoverdoyen,another well beat in a GD1 chse. Of course he could be much better than the bare form and win the Gold Cup.Should be bigger than 6/1 on form,to me anyway.GL to those on at decent prices,though. |
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Personally, the two telling indicators of how good ABP is his running in the RSA where he was held, and eventually fell in the race won by Presenting Percy with Monalee 2nd. ABP (after winning the Gold Cup) was 2nd to Kemboy (had his ground) at Punchestown; Kemboy is a good horse away from Cheltenham esp with ground to suit.
On 2 occasions ABP in a competitive field - I disregarded Santini (disrupted prep/probably mediocre) - and Anibale Fly (more mediocre than Santini) had every chance; fell in one (RSA) and finished 2nd (to Kemboy) in the other. Nevertheless, ABP managed to win 2 Gold Cup. Fortuitous or merit? Let's hope ABP can retain his crown come March against Champ, APT and Royal Pagaille - the new adversaries with yet unquantified potentials. |
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wasnt Kemboy, PP and Monalee all behind him in the gold cup's ? so why is the RSA and Punchestown runs more of a indicator ?
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Kemboy does not like Cheltenham; PP (hyped/mediocre) has had a bizarre prep and fragile; Monalee does not stay 3m 2f.
Punchestown was a level playing field eg no negative for ABP or Kemboy on the ground and course; ABP had every chance, and beaten fairly and squarely. I hope ABP, Champ, APT and RP will make the gig. Then we'll find out one way or another, all things being equal. |
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does ABP like punchestown ?
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Absolute garbage
No doubt when we do find out you will learn the errors of your ways ....and stop posting absolute garbage like that |