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ANDY DUFRESNE

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Replies: 159
By:
harry callaghan
When: 01 Dec 19 13:12
looks a ballymore horse to me...he'll go the istabraq hardy eustace route i'd sayGrinMischief
By:
differentdrum
When: 01 Dec 19 13:15
Bit of a concern at the start but after that he has controlled the race without it being an easy lead and eventually won a shade comfortably. A stiffer two miles and he would have won even more comfortably. On that evidence no reason to do anything different.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 01 Dec 19 13:15
dint see the race but seems he was a good winner ,well done diff drum hope ya got the ante post prices . done my dough but happy if if this is a superstar .
By:
differentdrum
When: 01 Dec 19 13:19
Thanks, I prefer to give straightforward opinions. People can judge for themselves who was covering all bases and then doing a bit of after race fishing?
By:
harry callaghan
When: 01 Dec 19 13:24
nice to get a bite
By:
harry callaghan
When: 01 Dec 19 14:23
considering you didn't think it was a very deep race differendrum you must of been a tad disappointed he didn't win more comfortably?
By:
duffy
When: 01 Dec 19 15:28
Can't see why they need to go any further with him, he hasn't shown that's what he needs one bit, he's just swatted away the best that Ireland has to offer with the minimum of fuss.

I really liked the bit where you might half think that the 2nd was about to come to him on the run in but you then see that the horse almost senses him coming and basically says, back you go sonCool
By:
harry callaghan
When: 01 Dec 19 15:37
this is a brilliantly non biased thread, it has to be admiredGrin
By:
miltons sophie
When: 01 Dec 19 15:38
Interesting that PP have shortened AD. An unusual response to watching the only horse ahead of him in the market win impressively.
By:
miltons sophie
When: 01 Dec 19 15:39
Harry are you putting yourself forward as the only neutral poster on this thread
By:
duffy
When: 01 Dec 19 15:47
Well, let's ask what he did today to suggest he should go further?
By:
harry callaghan
When: 01 Dec 19 15:58
i try and look at things non biased miltons even if i've had a wager. pointless nailing yourself and ramping, as it's to easy to get things wrong so far away from the meeting without having all the facts, i realise that money talks though and it is certainly talking on this thread which will happen when your dealing with top class horses especially when they are all in the same barn. i've had a bet in the champion hurdle which is unheard for me and could be ramping on here but can't take the pain because in all likely hood i'll get it wrong as the race is brutal
By:
miltons sophie
When: 01 Dec 19 16:57
Totally understand and agree. Financially I would be better off with EA in ballymore but I can absolutely see the argument of it if ain’t broke don’t fix it and my balanced view is 51/49 to the supreme despite it hurting my multiples. When you say you have had a CH bet I assume you mean EA. Genuinely good luck with that am a huge fan of bets that come from alternative thinking. I am still having nightmares that McCoy managed to get binocular beat in the supreme with plenty on at 3 digit prices.
By:
miltons sophie
When: 01 Dec 19 16:58
Sorry AP fans just bitter money talk
By:
miltons sophie
When: 01 Dec 19 16:58
Sorry AP fans just bitter money talk
By:
harry callaghan
When: 01 Dec 19 17:07
no i haven't backed envoi allen in the champion i'd give it no chance the speed he jumps his hurdles at this stage of his career. it's all well and good getting loose on another easy lead compared with running against fast champion hurdle horses. i know people will look at the owners and think they would have a stab at the champion but i don't see that myself, yes if he'd won hard on the snaffle today by 10 lengths i'd have a different view but he didn't. they will not like keep making the running with envoi and he'll have to drop in at some point i still see him ending up in a ballymore but can see why people may think he could win a supreme as well but why put him to the sword in that, when the ballymore is there for the taking
By:
miltons sophie
When: 01 Dec 19 18:05
I agree re the CH. that said it is shaping up to be a pretty ‘young and inexperienced’ CH this year ... not sure I can remember a year with so many relatively lightly raced hurdlers at the head of the market.

I do see your point about ballymore but I can easily see EA doing a vautour... taking up early and others unwilling / unable to take him on for fear of jeopardising their own chance and de facto controlling  the race.

Time well tell. A little late for players to nail their colours now bar the big hitters so I think it is understandable that folks will be in one camp or another and what little objectivity existed will all but disappear, but personally I think that’s ok.
By:
duffy
When: 01 Dec 19 18:17
If AD wasn't to run in the Neptune then I'd have thought he'd be more suited to go up in trip rather than down, the way he travelled and finished off in bad ground over 20f on a stiff track like Navan suggests stamina allied with a degree of speed is his forte.

To that end I'd expect that Elliott would much prefer to see these two in both the Supreme and Neptune rather than one of those two races not having one of them in, EA for the Supreme and AD in the Neptune looks the best fit, of course AD has it all to prove yet and has to step up in grade before we can really see where we are with him.
By:
Forty
When: 06 Dec 19 09:48
The time of AD to me was pretty slow on bad ground compared to other races.

My take on running plans (pocket has spoken) is

Abracadabra Supreme
Envoi A Baillymore
AD Albert B

Forty
By:
harry callaghan
When: 14 Dec 19 19:13
another nice opportunity for the dufresne horse tomorrow. elliott entered 6 and runs 2 no doubt to stop the race being reopened...a nice weak race but 2/5 makes no appeal
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 14 Dec 19 20:04
dunno about weak harry a few usefull looking uns in there and elliot isnt discounting his other one conflated ,six shooter makes it interesting ,at 2/5 i think i will take him on with those 2
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 14 Dec 19 20:07
also nolan has what looks a half decent one .
By:
harry callaghan
When: 14 Dec 19 20:16
yes agree he looks the most likely danger. still not a great race for the grade imo
By:
cyclops
When: 15 Dec 19 10:04
No mention yet on this thread of how strong AD's debut over hurdles was.
The runner up, Cobbler's Way, won his bumper in hugely impressive fashion and seemed to take to hurdles very well. A huge beast, he jumped fluently, yet had no answer to AD over the final two flights. We have no idea how good a hurdler he might be but there is certainly a case for him being well above average. He was also backed down to 9/2, suggesting confidence.
The third, Alpine Cobra, beaten 16.5 lengths by AD, in receipt of 5lbs, has come first and second subsequently, recording RP's of 124 and 134. Given how easily AD won, this franks the form to some extent and points to AD already being a 150ish performer.

Today will provide more answers but he could have done no more first time out and certainly wasn't beating trees.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 15 Dec 19 11:41
yes cyclops when i went into the form more closely this andy fella does look the part and could be a monster ,still taking him on with those 2 , but prudent to have a few forcasts with him  as cover .
By:
cufcno1
When: 15 Dec 19 12:10
Wants put in the supreme speed to burn and a great jumper
By:
harry callaghan
When: 15 Dec 19 12:51
collapsed quicker than a cheap argos tent under pressure. 

i for one wanted to see more and now have the answer in regards dufresne. the winner could be an albert bartlett type and considering his mistake down the back he did well to win, although the dufresne hype horse will to win has to be questioned? who found little when put under pressure, his namesake put up a little bit more fight before resisting i'd say
By:
gutfeeling
When: 15 Dec 19 13:10
Latest Exhibition couldn't beat a 2 miler over 2 miles but he beat one today over 2m4f.

Hope all is well Harry.
By:
ImSoLuckyLucky!
When: 15 Dec 19 13:18
Trainer said he didn't run his race
Winner going for the AB

Wink
By:
miltons sophie
When: 15 Dec 19 13:20
How would he know he says he does nothing at home
By:
gutfeeling
When: 15 Dec 19 13:30
A trainer of Gordons calibre knows exactly what he has, So do the good lads.
Do you really think Gordon came from nothing to the top on his own without knowing his stock, Wise up.
By:
gutfeeling
When: 15 Dec 19 13:31
Could've got 50's for Latest exhibition for the AB a few days ago Wink
By:
Forty
When: 15 Dec 19 14:06
My view is AD is a stayer.  Has controlled pace in two slow run races and couldn't quicken.  Still think he has a chance is Albert B.

Forty
By:
miltons sophie
When: 15 Dec 19 14:09
Apologies gutfeeling I noticed another poster throwing a little bait out previously on a topic and I couldn’t resist. I actually think it’s pretty bad form so I have given myself a good flogging. Don’t take it personally but you were long odds on to be the first to bite. I have noticed on previous attempts to enjoy this forum that certain trainers were almost untouchable and it was clear that some posters had a close association with certain yards either directly or through friends/associates.

I noticed before that their understandable loyalty manifested in them responding quite disproportionately to posters that dared utter anything resembling a criticism.

For the record I think GE is a great trainer. I also respect people like yourself that share inside knowledge. I am now off to seek wisdom. Perhaps I can get help from the bloke on the ad that recommended the horse whisperer.
By:
duffy
When: 15 Dec 19 14:29
Yes, no excuses, jumped really well but did collapse as soon as it was put up to him, very disappointing all roundSad
By:
harry callaghan
When: 15 Dec 19 14:51
i'll be brutally honest and say i thought walsh pushed him out first time and i didn't think there was a whole lot under the bonnet when asked to pick up, he certainly didn't win unextended in a bad race in a slow time

today he once again travelled well and jumped well but nothing under the bonnet which explains elliott taking his other runners out he had entered to leave him with a perfect opportunity. the winner made an horrific blunder and still won so maybe there is something physical with dufresne but you would have to question whether he is any good or he certainly isn't as good as the hype would lead people to believe

in regards cheltenham i don't see it myself and he now how has a million questions to answer and like all novices his next start will tell us a whole lot more. i had a few token pounds for the supreme but i mean pounds not notes but i'd say all bets would be in doubt now just from a class point of view
By:
duffy
When: 15 Dec 19 15:59
What concerned me most was there was a moment turning in when the winner came to him and he had his chance to turn him away but it was at this precise moment when he felt that pressure that he made a mistake and from that point on he offered nothing.

Elliott is questioning whether it was his real running with regards the 3rd horse and of course he'll deserve another chance, but on that showing he looked a bit of a bully that turned it in when it got a bit tough.
By:
unclepuncle
When: 15 Dec 19 17:27
Oh well that's the Chheltenham dream over for this year, very much doubt he will even run now.Cry

But Don Cossack was well beaten in this race when sent off 8/15 to maintain his unbeaten record and he went on to win a Gold Cup so all is not lost long term.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 15 Dec 19 18:43
all in all it wernt a bad run and  by dufresne  the winner had more experience and was the form horse on his 2nd in  the grade 3  for auction hurdle, ,has lost a bit of his aura but jumped well in the main  and was beat by a strong stayer . obviously dissapointing to be beat at short odds but all is not lost .
By:
duffy
When: 17 Dec 19 16:26
I hope you're right foyles because another finish like that one and they'll have to rename him Andy Refrain!
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