Cheltenham Festival
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RSA Chase (13th March 2019)
RSA Chase (13th March 2019)
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Replies: 77
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lostintranslation inthe mix after that 20/1
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That was the initial impression of his trainer, but jockey nominated the JLT for him.
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tizzerd bigging it up big time, thinks a lot of the horse for sure
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Just reading a preview on Sporting Life. Apparently, Delta Work CLEARLY has the option of the National Hunt Chase. You do wonder how these people draw a wage. There should be no chance of Delta Work going anywhere near the longer race. Did the writer miss him beating the near enough Arkle favourite over the shorter trip and that despite fluffing the last?
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Unless you want to back a horse for 2 or 3 races at long prices, it is best in my experience to wait until there is only one realistic target left at the Festival before having a bet. I do have a bet on Topofthegame for the RSA at 19 but that looked worth the risk before Boxing Day and he has halved in price but I will be laying the bet off and then backing him again once the final decs are known. I also backed Black Op for the JLT on the same day and that is now a loser.
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Going over previous races of those at bigger prices and one that stood out at a best price of 50/1 was Top Ville Ben.
An ex Henderson inmate, he's won 2 out of 2 since going over fences, winning over 3m both times at Hexham (you know he'll stay) and Wetherby (decent test of jumping). The Wetherby defeat giving 6lbs of Uppertown Prince, reads very well especially looking at that horses run at Aintree against Santini and OK Corral towards the end of last season. He was beaten when he fell and Top Ville Ben's jumping was very good with fences looking to have been the making of him after some sloppy falls earlier in his career over hurdles. Cliche alert but if he was trained by a bigger stable he'd be nowhere near 50/1, he's entered up to run in the G2 Towton at Wetherby on Saturday and is being well supported for that race as well. He could run a huge race in the RSA at a price. |
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I have been a fan of Crucial Role for a while. Such a great jumper and can go on any ground. Unexposed and Skeltons seem to be hitting form.
Has entries in both the Ultima and the RSA. Although the handicap run is probably more likely, the RSA could be a more attractive and easier route. After todays win will be only rated a few pounds behind the top rated in this race. It is also a race that often cuts up pretty badly. b365 going a crazy 80/1 NRNB. I cannot see the down side as if he runs I cannot see it being bigger than 20/1. |
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Santini very weak and some talk of him having jarred himself when schooling yesterday.
Doesn't look good   |
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No idea how that first emoji got added.
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Santini is a big drifter, manipulation or something untoward with him? His stablemate OtBS has been backed as a result.
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Shoe came of yesterday had his foot in something like a bandage over night seems the yard are not over concerned.
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Yep just about to post that foxy. NJH saying no reason he wont run. Probably not ideal, but sure the same happened with Altior didnt it?
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I think massive, massive manipulation on Santini. I tried to help myself to some, but each time the bots got in the way.
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Not sure it was the same thing catch me but yes something did happen to him last year.
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Can't help especially as they missed his prep and it is a gross of a horse that takes a lot of getting fit.
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Hendo: "Santini lost a shoe yesterday and the vet poulticed it as a precautionary. He's fine...and we see no reason why he won't run in the RSA."
Hendo was unavailable for a comment on the drift as he was in a meorial service. |
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Matt chapman said on the tele Nicky has handled it well been so open with the public bringing everybody up to date with things.
Around 30 hours after the shoe came off. |
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In fairness it was a better effort than the binocular episode.
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Maybe Hendo thought it was not a concern or worry as it was not something very unusual. However, what I find repulsive is those in the know use this to manipulate market to make a quick buck.
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There lies the problem impossible perhaps those who pressed the lay button this afternoon will end up paying.
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I hope so. But I think they might be too shrewd with the inside info eg they could have bought back on the cheap (with possible free bets in-tow) after knowing their actions had initiated a sudden sell-off; Santini drifted out to 10 here, and reward post the race.
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Hendo on Santini: "All is well in the world of Santini, and we're firmly back on track for the RSA!"
And the softer the better. Happy days for backers! |
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Mister Malarkey removed from the Arkle and the 4-miler. Reckon this is the race for him. He's the sort of thorough stayer that you need for this. Will be keeping on when some fancier types have cried enough.
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The World's End only has the RSA option now - 33/1 seems a fair e/w price to me.
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Drinks Interval could be a rick here . 66/1 is too big and looks e/w value NRNB .
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Massive drift on Santini - looks terminal this time
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Massive drift on Santini - looks terminal this time
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Henderson said the injury resurfaced this morning. Apparently he's still hopeful of getting there but there's a fair element of doubt about it now.
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Santini's participation is still in the balance; far from ideal prep to the biggest race in his career so far.
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Henderson has a habit of doing this, remember Binocular? or Altior last year? don't believe a word he says!
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In similar circumstance, normally, the horse would only have been re-shod a couple of days later and no sooner. Let's hope Santini will be ok to race on the day.
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of course he will be, it's a made-up issue to get the price up, he does it all the time
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just had a bit e.w Mr Malarky 14s with the forecast weather could be a tough slog which will suit fine.
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I have backed The Worlds End and Drinks Interval .
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Delta Work (Pertemps winner 2018) is stating the obvious but I don't like this comment on the Oirish forum...
peckerdunne • March 12, 2019 1:18 PM GMT a pinch of news this morning.. im told a touch of the cough in Elliots yard |
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See my post from January. My first ante post bet of this season was Topofthegame after he got so close to Defi du Seuil after giving him 20 lengths start. I have never even considered another horse for the race but how good is the mare that beat him last time?
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Pity that mare La Bague Au Roi has no entries
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mm
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