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Cheltenham Festival

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Samcro

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Replies: 719
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 03 Jan 19 17:58

Jan 3, 2019 -- 7:34AM, Autocue wrote:


You've said before that you rely on your own opinions and I completely agree. As punters interested in racing we're exposed to more and more media crap. Punters are the cannon fodder that keeps racing going. Racing is funded by the levy on bookmakers' profits so it is in racing's interest for punters to lose. The Racing Post seems to have become more reliant on bookies. You can't use their website without specifying a bookmaker. The Sporting Life is funded by Sky Sports. Trainers are sponsored by bookmakers. Podcasts are sponsored by bookmakers. They've infiltrated most of the media so it stands to reason we're going to be fed information that is in their interests not ours. My New Year's resolution is to avoid all the media yak on the run up to Cheltenham and spend the time I would have spent reading it on more useful pursuits.


great post - and those more useful pursuits might include form book study and watching race replays...

would only caveat your opinion by drawing a distinction between fact and opinion - need to keep across factual information revealed by trainer e.g. I've just watched a clip where Olly Murphy confesses he left Brewin'upastorm in the Tolworth in error (not quite a fact I suppose but you get my drift)

By:
buddeliea
When: 03 Jan 19 18:04
Totally agree....great post.
Completely echoes my thoughts.
By:
Autocue
When: 03 Jan 19 20:55
Yes, better off spending the time on race replays. More so than the form book I think though obviously you need both. You need experience to make use of it and if anyone is starting out that's how I would recommend learning about the game. I've had enough of the rest as I find it impossible to sort the wheat from the chaff and the vast majority of the second hand hand information you get is the latter.
By:
irishone
When: 03 Jan 19 23:16
Yes autocue without a doubt.
Last uear i happened to have previously watched rathvinden, balk do flos, ptesenting percy , and penhill all win at galway, my local track not to mention tiger roll.
Their performances were what put me on them.
That old adage ....believe nothing of what you hear
....and half of what you see was never more appropriate
By:
impossible123
When: 09 Jan 19 16:42
The boy is ill with a lung infection, and very doubtful for the Festival; Punchie could be on the agenda though, according to Eddie O'Leary. Get well soon, precocious one!
By:
Movewiththetimes
When: 13 Feb 19 15:16
Don't throw away those antepost vouchers just yet Crazy
By:
impossible123
When: 13 Feb 19 15:53
Why Cheltenham over hurdles? Why not over fences at Aintree or Punchestown given he'll be going chasing? At least then he'd not be rushed into something not relevant to his career next season. My mind boggles!
By:
ImSoLuckyLucky!
When: 30 Mar 19 13:20
I see hes entered in the Aintree hurdle
Will he turn up?

Wink
By:
impossible123
When: 31 Mar 19 11:56
So is Apples Jade. I think he'll be more likely to be kept back for Punchie as the extra couple of weeks would help him.
By:
impossible123
When: 26 Nov 19 19:13
Samcro's in the Drinmore Novice Chase this sunday at Fairyhouse at 6/4 possibly against Fakir D'oudairies and Burrows Saint and a few others; Fakir D'oudaries was a very good winner last time out, and so was Samcro.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 27 Nov 19 16:26
not a layer but i will 100% be against samcro on sunday hopefull they all line up and i can get a decent price about one or 2 of the others ,he makes the market but i dont think he is as good as he is hyped .
By:
duffy
When: 01 Dec 19 15:23
He's not a quick jumper and lost ground at most against a horse that pinged every fence along the way, but the engine was there for all to see and despite the talk after bigging up the battle that we were deprived of, what we were in fact probably deprived of was the sight of Samcro powering clear.

Yes, they are there to be jumped but I think today Samcro went some ways to restoring that very lofty reputation.
By:
irishone
When: 02 Dec 19 12:25
He never had power at the end..... Pmsl

The horse cant jump  fences at the moment,  end of , has to go right handed and was knackered when he fell, tired jump, came off the bridle just before the fence, and bumped into it .....
By:
harry callaghan
When: 05 Dec 19 16:25
big drift on this horse today
By:
harry callaghan
When: 05 Dec 19 16:27
for jlt that is
By:
harry callaghan
When: 05 Dec 19 16:57
Gordon Elliott has yet to decide on the next target for Samcro but he could step his star up to three miles.

The much-talked-about seven-year-old departed two fences from the finish in the Drinmore Novice Chase on Sunday, when going well upsides eventual winner Fakir D'oudairies.

While he could not have been travelling any better at his point of departure, Joseph O'Brien's four-year-old had been gaining ground at every fence before then and Elliott feels a step up in trip could put less emphasis on his jumping.

"He is 100 per cent and is back riding out. He is entered in all those Grade One novice chases at Christmas, at two miles, two and a half and three miles, so we'll see where we go," said Elliott. I'll chat with the owners and see."

He added: "Obviously two out is a long way out in any race, but he looked like he was cantering at the time and I couldn't have been happier with what he had done to that point.

"He won a point-to-point and I don't think he'd have any problem going up to three miles - three miles might even suit him better because he doesn't jump bad but the other horses are gaining lengths at fences over a shorter trip. Over three miles he would be able to get into his own rhythm."
By:
irishone
When: 05 Dec 19 18:21
Laugh
By:
irishone
When: 26 Dec 19 14:47
Samcro first circuit today was faultless, slow into six out, left.his feet in two out , not fluent
By:
duffy
When: 26 Dec 19 16:11
There must be something wrong with the horse they just aren't getting to grips with, that looked like last season all over againConfused
By:
impossible123
When: 26 Dec 19 17:21
I think the bubble has truly burst, and he's a bridle horse as one poster had alluded to in the past. Only one possible excuse left ie the heavy ground. As such The JLT is his only Cheltenham option (Arkle pace too quick/RSA too far). And, if Faugheen turns up only better ground will he possibly gain revenge for the drubbing today.

If Laurina gatecrashes (she'd too sloppy to go Arkle) will Faugheen (surely Mullins will not want Laurina running too) head to The RSA instead to do battle with Champ? However, Faugheen is as short as 5/1 (10/1 best) for The JLT, and 25/1 for The RSA.
By:
irishone
When: 26 Dec 19 19:36
He wasnt hanging right today even when left alone , maybe he is frightened about putting a short one in, he took off far too early at one down the back and never banked it , i think he is a big baby and confuses himself prior to take off, its symtomatic of a horse that hasnt had enough practise changing his lead, im also unsure about the consistency of the stride pattern, he is an ideal davy russell ride at this stage, im. not sure young kennedy has the patience and understanding to rebuild his confidence
By:
duffy
When: 27 Dec 19 18:01
Quite damning from Elliott, said he looked like he never had any heart, can't find anything physically wrong with him.
By:
miltons sophie
When: 27 Dec 19 18:34
Not sure there needs to be anything wrong with him. I am a long way from being a ratings junkie but if you look at all of his RPRs at 157 he was only just below his best at 161 and many ratings in and around what he achieved Boxing Day . Heaven forbid that he just ran to his ability. I have never in all my years of watching racing known a 160 horse be so ridiculously hyped. Maybe we can all just chill out now and appreciate a 160 horse in the same way as we do other high class but not elite level horses. He did not have a single line of form that entitled him to beat Faugheen or have I missed something.
By:
impossible123
When: 27 Dec 19 19:11
I think that was his true potential on Boxing Day maybe Faugheen could turn out to be just as effective over chases as hurdles. At least this time he stood up as both times he was challenged/challenging eg hurdle and chase he fell - maybe he was distracted or weakening at the time.

He's no 2nd Coming - that's for sure; take away his privileges eg no more special barn, but put him back along with the rest.
By:
impossible123
When: 29 Dec 19 15:47
He's going for another check-up, according to Elliot, after downing tools like a chicken. I was hoping a heart transplant...
By:
impossible123
When: 01 Jan 20 09:06
He'd be running in handicaps. According to Eddie O'Leary: "We'll probably have to end up with a handicap mark now as he's going nowhere as a good horse. A good horse, he's not. He's going from cantering to emptying within two strides."

The bubble has truly burst even connections have finally come to accept.
By:
impossible123
When: 20 Jan 20 19:35
The one-time "perceived" 2nd coming has been entered in a handicap race at Cheltenham this weekend. If running, will he win? Not so, if there's tussle at the end the way he capitulated against Faugheen at Limerick.
By:
ENGLANDBARNES1
When: 20 Jan 20 21:07
In order for a trainer from Ireland to find out a horses official rating, they sometimes enter their horse in a race they have no intention of running it in.
I hope it does turn up as it will no doubt be favourite and make the market for some others in what is always a very good race, that produces lots of winners!
By:
irishone
When: 20 Jan 20 21:42
Impossible you are the biggest loon on here
Go back and read your posts on this thread
It was you who was bigging the horse up
As the best horse MOL would ever own
That it would win the ballymore
N enter the gold cup a year later
Whilst MOL was telling you he wasnt the second coming
Connections knew exactly what they had
idnt take you long to go back to the racism
You showed towards the irish last year
By:
ENGLANDBARNES1
When: 20 Jan 20 23:26
Reckon it’ll be 153 if they are lucky, 163 worse case scenario.
By:
impossible123
When: 21 Jan 20 17:51
He's been allocated top weight of 11st 12lbs (OR 157). But, price of 12/1 suggests he's more likely a no show.
By:
foxy
When: 21 Jan 20 18:29
With rain forecast for leopardstown and probable watering I doubt Elliot will run many at Cheltenham on Saturday
By:
miltons sophie
When: 22 Jan 20 08:45
Don’t think connections will be too happy with Dallas DP rating. Suspect they were hoping that two thumpings would sneak him in at 145. Tully East may have scuppered things for others perhaps.
By:
miltons sophie
When: 23 Jan 20 07:27
I think it’s fair to say they are distinctly unhappy...... article in today’s racing post
By:
impossible123
When: 23 Jan 20 19:01
This dog's entered in The Arkle (jumped into submission), Marsh (thumped by Faugheen) and RSA (stamina limited exposed). No handicap races though.
By:
ronnie rails
When: 16 Feb 20 12:03
any updates

have a good day
regards
Ronnie.
By:
impossible123
When: 16 Feb 20 19:28
An unusual but deliberate low profile approach to Cheltenham by connections. Let's hope the horse psychiatrist can bolster his mind and deliver a good result next month.
By:
ronnie rails
When: 16 Feb 20 19:33
Impossible
thank you for  feedback

have a nice evening
regards
Ronnie.
By:
duffy
When: 16 Feb 20 21:55
H e doesn't need a Psychiatrist, he needs a Pulmonologist.
By:
impossible123
When: 18 Feb 20 15:42
He's had a wind operation since Limerick (defeat) where he did not scope well post race; far from certain for Marsh (work dependent next 2 weeks) or if heavy ground would be rerouted to Fairyhouse.
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