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Limini - Mares Novice Hurdle

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Replies: 167
By:
stevedavis
When: 25 Jan 16 18:30
Hoping to see an entry for Saturday (Fairyhouse) for Limini tomorrow. Few alarm bells may ring if not. Normally the race Willie's uses for one of his best novice mares.
By:
maelduin
When: 26 Jan 16 12:57
Yep both Limini and Myska entered on Saturday. WPM did say Limini was been targeted at a race in England so will be interesting to see which one he runs.
By:
stevedavis
When: 26 Jan 16 13:31
I think she will run. The only suitable race in England that I can see is at Sandown on 19th Feb, and I can't believe that they will wait until then to bring her out...
By:
maelduin
When: 26 Jan 16 13:43
I think you're probably right. I see Myska is also entered @ Punchestown on Sunday. GL
By:
mrglovesthosetins
When: 28 Jan 16 14:45
This is the best bet of the meeting @ 5/2, the connections think the world of listening to variuos podcasts and interviews, i think she'll go off near odds on, especially if Min, Faugheen, UDS and Douvan have already dollied up. Shes in my bust off 6 fold with the Triumph favourite Ivanovich Gorbatov at 3/1 (107 on the flat, travlled jumped and pulled away after the last giving weight and a beating to the Mullins mare. The 6 fold pays around 135/1 and ill be off to the sun the weekend after the Fess. If that Sherwood yoke (beaten at Leicester in the week) was 10/1 third in to beat her she'll will defo go off odds on, she didnt jump that great back in May but she traveled great a few L's off the pace and came there pretty handy infact she was nearly strangled prior the line not to be shown up or win by any unwanted distance. The form of the placed horses since says everything, my only worry is not seeing her on the track since but the money here and with the firms says shes in good form, buttons traded on this market (12k) and the buttons are only holding the price up, get on and get paid on the best bet of the week. Mr G.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 28 Jan 16 15:53
She's running this weekend Mr G.
By:
wellchief
When: 28 Jan 16 16:22
I really cannot see a 5/2 shot, with one run a year ago in a maiden hurdle being the bet of the meeting personally.

Those on at 7's, I suppose that's a decent looking bet now, but she's done nothing since, and is now about 1/4 of the odds.

If I'm honest, I don't know a thing about 99% of the horses behind her in the betting, but this is race I have no plan on ever getting involved in.

I don't know what the rules are for 4 year olds running in it, but surely Apples Jade and Jers Girl have much better form?
By:
maelduin
When: 28 Jan 16 17:05
Yes 5/2 is crazy but she'll probably be an 1/1 shot if she wins the Solerina handily on Saturday.

WC - Good point on the 4yo's as they do qualify. They both have an OR of around 135+. The winner of last years Solerina got an OR of 145 so that is a bit of a guide. If the market is to be believed then she must be very highly regarded. GL
By:
slowerthanjohn
When: 28 Jan 16 18:25
It's all about her potential, the form of her hurdle win is decent and she won easily enough. She'd want to be hurdling better than on debut. But as an earlier poster said it's her beating of Manatee on the level that means ability wise she's surely head and shoulders above these.
By:
wellchief
When: 28 Jan 16 19:03
Yeah, I agree she looks to have a lot of potential, but there's a lot who were rubbish on the flat who were great over the sticks and vice versa.  Fwiw, I prefer to go for the good bumper ones rather than ones with high flat ratings but that's just me.

The form of her hurdle, a quick look through it and it looks ok but nothing great.  The runner up is now rated 136 (giving Limini lumps of weight that day) and the fourth is now 130.

It'll be interesting if the 4 yo's get weight, or if it's all off levels.  I'd fancy Apples Jade or Jers Girl, but I think they'd be Triumph bound if they put up a good show against Ivanovich next week.
By:
quantize
When: 28 Jan 16 20:43
Ricci in tomorrow racing post outs her in as one of his bankers.
By:
quantize
When: 28 Jan 16 20:43
*puts
By:
quantize
When: 28 Jan 16 20:44
I believe the 4yos do get weight from the older horses.
By:
delsie777
When: 28 Jan 16 20:44
Odds on next week
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 28 Jan 16 20:45
Deffo.
By:
slowerthanjohn
When: 28 Jan 16 20:46
I do think if she jumps she wins, because she definitely has more gears than anything else in this field.
By:
quantize
When: 28 Jan 16 20:46
Got late to the party, my own fault but have taken the 5/2 as it probably be even money after Saturday
By:
delsie777
When: 28 Jan 16 20:47
Catching pigeons apparently
By:
quantize
When: 28 Jan 16 20:48
He gives douvan, faugheen and limini has his Cheltenham treble.
By:
slowerthanjohn
When: 28 Jan 16 20:48
delsie that's a dreaded expression, like when someone says no problem, there always ends up being oneWhoops
By:
delsie777
When: 28 Jan 16 20:50
Can't catch Min - but the pigeons are easy meat, john!
By:
miltons sophie
When: 28 Jan 16 20:50
wc - yes they get weight i have been looking at the 4 year old angle and i think either paul kealy or nick watts was very keen on this angle (someone anyway) but think JG may be found out on better going and lets dance obviously same conections - so for me apples jade would be the interesting one. I did think which one is which ran a very eye catching race but have heard nothing since and wouldnt have a clue what the plans are for her - also trip probably on short side - so all in all clueless - so many think fav is home and hosed so they could well be right - the only other plan is wait to see if anything else attracts any money (particularly without running) and chance a cheeky few quid. All said i guess its a step up from the charity race
By:
slowerthanjohn
When: 28 Jan 16 20:51
Well I hope you're right on both counts.
By:
mrglovesthosetins
When: 28 Jan 16 21:06
Lets wait n see, its all about opinions and thats what this great game is all about, i think Limini is a certainty and the 5/2 now will be odds on come the Thursday. Whether your a layer or a player at the 5/2 good luck to all of ye !
By:
splinterboy82
When: 28 Jan 16 21:09
This horse is in 12 out of my 16 ante post bets at odds ranging from 7/1 to 7/2 after hearing Patrick Mullins on Final Furlong podcast last autumn - hope the hype is justified but form of the one run coupled with flat form & top stable rep - surely goes off silly odds on if week goes to form taking into account the race is run last on the Thurs...
By:
stevo1
When: 28 Jan 16 21:21
Very dangerous splinter being in 12/16 bets, good luck.
By:
splinterboy82
When: 28 Jan 16 21:38
Cheers Stevo - got previous with these type bets.....came off gloriously with Faugheen in Neptune yr before last but huge fail yr before when Champ Fever was in ALOT of bets for Neptune - rather sickening when he won the bloody Supreme! At least we know Limini runs in this as long as she's not injured
By:
mrglovesthosetins
When: 29 Jan 16 11:32
2.92 to lay fill your boots up lads 9/4 and 2/1 - Choo Choo !
By:
slowerthanjohn
When: 29 Jan 16 11:43
She's running tomorrow 3.05 Fairyhouse and she's 13/2 on the Sporting Life betting forecastCrazyWhoops Please tell me someone doesn't get paid to do that betting forecast!!!!
By:
mrglovesthosetins
When: 29 Jan 16 11:58
Wrong way around 2/13 Confused
By:
slowerthanjohn
When: 29 Jan 16 12:00
Possibly?

Forecast

Whistle Dixie (10/3), Cashelard Lady (7/2), Rosie Alice (7/2), Ten Times Better (9/2), Limini (13/2), The Brock Inn (13/2), Jodies Miss (33/1)
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 29 Jan 16 12:44
Haha, brilliant. I think my max bet level might increase if that was correct.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 29 Jan 16 13:15
Im obviously feeling slightly smug that I have backed Limini at nice prices, but her price is absolutely ridiculous now! Into 7-4 on the basis she is running this weekend? What price is she going to be if she wins?!
By:
mrglovesthosetins
When: 29 Jan 16 13:21
I think she'll go off odds on at the Festival if there fit and well.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 29 Jan 16 13:44
Assuming she wins this weekend, she definitely will!
By:
maelduin
When: 29 Jan 16 13:52
That market move on her is incredible. At 7/4 now from 7/1 on word of mouth. Amazing.
By:
slowerthanjohn
When: 29 Jan 16 15:29
It's combination of the connections, a mare with a lot of flat race ability and potentially the weakest race of the week.
By:
mrglovesthosetins
When: 29 Jan 16 16:07
Mullins has farmed this race the last 4 years ?
By:
Joist
When: 29 Jan 16 19:00
On a side note, I'm disappointed to see G. Elliott potentially ruining the mark of Whistle Dixie. 119 is surely a very well handicapped mare?
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 29 Jan 16 20:05
It's the first year this race has been at the Festival Mr G.
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