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I don't know if I'd say no novice because Cause of Causes is the exception to the rule and ruling him out would have been plain daft. The rule that a horse had to be placed over at least 3 miles is pretty thin to say the least though, it should be a minimum number of runs rather than placing.
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Yeah, was just saying guys...........definitely staying out of this one
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Adding my tuppence worth into this, but am a bit confused
cos, well, aren't novices not allowed to run in the National due to the new race entry criteria? Or is it just merely a minimum number of starts over fences of at least grade 3 level with at least one win ![]() I might be wrong but it is something along those lines |
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Looked it up because interested. I believe the below is still the criteria :
The Review Group proposed that the minimum age for a horse to be eligible to race in the Grand National be raised to seven years. While trainers supported the status quo of six-year old horses racing, the Review Group did not find evidence of six-year old horses greatly contributing to the success of the race. • The Review Group recommended that future participants in the Grand National must have placed no lower than fourth in a recognised Steeplechase event of three miles or further at some point in their career. Moreover, the Group felt that the suitability of a horse should be assessed in the light of expanded criteria, including Steeplechase experience, staying ability, previous injuries or declining performance. • It is also recommended that the current Rider eligibility criterion in the Grand National should be expanded to require at least 10 of the minimum 15 previous Chase/Hurdle career wins to have been in Steeplechases. |
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Has anyone heard anything on Rule The World? Was a load of money for it recently and now there isn't a penny wanting to back it!
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Quite surprised Black Hercules is fav for this. I would think Ruby might be pushing for him to go to the RSA after Pont Alexandre's run today, He's looking short of a decent mount in that race, barring perhaps a Mullins trained Gigginstown second string.
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duffy - re the National, I Like the 3m rule. Speed is a dangerous thing in that race and we were constantly treated to the sight of 2 and 2.5 milers batting off and setting the tone of the race. The 3m rule has calmed it down a bit.
Those calling for a novice restriction are barking up the wrong tree. So in that case a Young Hustler-type novice having his 15th start would be deemed unsafe but a horse who made a winning chase debut the season before and was having his second start in the National as a 'fully-fledged' chaser is ok? Hardly. There needs to be a minimum chase restriction of at least six starts and it will come imo. |
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I think they should try Pont Alexandre in this race, he isn't going to stand a chance over shorter as he will be running against horses that ultimately will get him off the bridal and he finds nothing off of it.
See if he stays and he may very well just outclass them without having to fight too hard to do it. |
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Agree re PA. Took although the 80-90 on here after the Flogas.
No doubt I'm on a non. |
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"although"?
"all the"! Crikey. |
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Just taken 20/1 Native River Corals for this. Seems an over reaction drifting him out so far. Decent trial to me and crying out for further.
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For the stats people out there, a couple of strong ones for this (from the excellent Gaultstats):
17 from last 18 had finished first or second in a chase over at least 3 miles. That's a big negative for Outlander backers, although he did finish second in a point to point back in the day. Of the last 13 runnings, 11 had finished either 1st or 2nd in a 3 mile hurdle. Another negative for Outlander, and Roi de Francs too, but he did win 2 hurdle races over 2m 6f. 27 of past 30, 1st or 2nd in either of past two runs. That most of the market leaders hit this one. 28 from last 31 all out at least 4 times that season and last 16 had all run at least 3 times over fences. That's a pretty big negative for Black Hercules. The last four winners rated 146, 150, 146 and 151 respectively. Lots of the market leaders hit this, showing the better quality. Black Hercules, Roi de Francs, Rule the World, Pont, Native River, Outlander. Interestingly, Black Hercules is the lowest rated of those at the minute. |
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Just glad to see Black Hercules get up after that. Jumped and travelled beautifully.
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Whichever way you look at it, that's not an ideal prep for BH for Cheltenham.
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Think that could seal The Herc heading for the four miler after that, good knows which one of the gigginstown horses go they've about four atom that could go ..
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Think I've done my dough on Native River 12/1 with bookies and double that on here before the suspension.
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Panic over shockster
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Yes Roo. Very good. Come on Native River.
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looks like he is likely to get derek o'connor shockster you'll be pleased to know
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That's good news. Also backed him for same reasons as shockster, posted on NH Big Race thread though.
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Not arguing with Derek O'Connor at all. Win or lose Roo and I have a fair bet.
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Not a race I would bet on until the 24 hour declarations and all runners and more important, riders, are known. It used to be a good race when it was only open to maidens at the beginning of the season. Pointers won a few times but my biggest win was Fuzzy Logic. Unbeaten after 2 wins over the course in 3 mile novice chases he started at 33/1 and paid 70 on the Tote. He was that price because he was owned, trained and ridden by a permit trainer and his son. These days it is another RSA chase for the horses just below top class.
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See O'Connor has jumped ship. Poor show from an amateur imo
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would be great if native river gets up close home to beat rocco for the heartbreak for o'connor
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Withdrawing Black Hercules to allow Minella Rocco a smoother path, conspiracy? No worries, RDF to the rescue.
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Why would the Graham Wylie owned, Willie Mullins trained Black Hercules be withdrawn to allow the JP McManus owned, Jonjo O'Neill trained Minella Rocco a smoother path
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Just a flippant thought similar to WPM's rerouting of BH to the JLT, a wholly absurd decision to say the least for a stayer.
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Don't get it at all. Shaneshill JLT and Black Hercules RSA looks so obvious if you were Wylie.
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BH has only a small chance of winning the RSA with both NMH and MOT in; if the recent sound bites about MOT proved untrue and MOT remained in the RSA then BH chance of winning the JLT would be enhanced despite the trip being a wee bit too short - this is merely a flippant thought just like some of WPM.
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God knows how he came to be the most successful trainer of recent years - couldn't place a horse to save his life. He should give up the game
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lol just lucky! You hear what DRussel said reg story about WM bumper winner briar hill i believe ?
That he got on the boat by mistake or something so they just decided to run him anyway lol?? |
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RBoyd86
Are you being mischievous about Vautour not showing same kind of spark at home? |
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no, not at all lol
Just putting what i read from RR. Love the horse his performance in the KG for 90 % of race was jaw dropping, very rare a performance leaves you gobsmacked. I just cant see him staying, i can understand they have to run him and see. Would be an awesome sight in the champion. And i would re mortgage the house for the ryanair. Just think were in the position a lot of trainers are (where bit diff now have commenwealth cup0 with 3yo sprinters trying to stretch them out to be milers. He deserves a chance as it is the GC. Just hope they have a rethink if he doesnt stay as i hate it when they try make horses run in races due to the prestige of the race, instead of running it over its right trip. Think we all agree he's a horse with a serious cruising speed, thats what he's about now stamina. Stamina horses win gold cups, synchronised, imperial commander, bobs worth, denman etc I no KS won at chelt but it was never his track/trip he was just that good and the times he won they where races he just had a significant abillity advantage over the others. Vauotur is the most talented of these but not enough to make up for his stamina deficiencies. Sorry rant over cant help myself CHELTENHAM FEVER has taken over! |
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not stamina
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I do not think Vautour will beat Djakadam either let alone the two Dons, why? The two extra furlongs and the punishing hill will take its toll on Vautour ie Vautour will be tanking 100yds from the line, big time; the Ryanair, is a different proposition - Vautour will run them ragged hence a good strategy for inclusion in multiples if nrnb.
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couldn't agree further!
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Was at a Preview last night and Barry O'Connell gave a big shout out for Ballychorus in this - 16s/20s
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I really like the look of Ballychorus actually. Any idea who rides?
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I really like the look of Ballychorus actually. Any idea who rides?
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