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foolsgold123
26 Dec 14 17:16
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Date Joined: 16 Jan 11
| Topic/replies: 559 | Blogger: foolsgold123's blog
So many excuses horrible ground, bad mistake, no Ruby. I'm willing to forgive and steam into to this this won't last long.

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Replies: 88
By:
harry callaghan
When: 26 Dec 14 17:41
never went a yard for me at any point today...why anybody now see him as a bet after that should be careful imo until they at least know the well being of the horse...kalkir was also disappointing, smells to me but hey ho we shouldn't speculate
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 26 Dec 14 17:48
All over this bet!!
By:
sintonian
When: 26 Dec 14 20:12
Surely WPM's record with chasers at Cheltenham/UK puts you off..6% strike rate!!
By:
Howdi
When: 26 Dec 14 21:12
i agree over reaction today
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 26 Dec 14 21:15
Don't want to bash Townend unnecessarily, and the horse clearly wasn't himself today but he didn't seem to get a decent jump out of him all the way round.
By:
Tory
When: 26 Dec 14 21:18
The over reaction has been immense!! Bookies are reacting as if the horse has lost leg!! 6/1 to win any race is a pure do your bollocks on it and I can't believe it's around to be honest
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 26 Dec 14 21:20
Especially when it's virtually the same price as his general for each of the Arkle and JLT.
By:
CVByrne
When: 26 Dec 14 22:47
He's not a 2 miler, he made a bad mistake and plugged on to regain 2nd on run in. I've taken the 6/1 to win any race, it's exceptional odds.
By:
CVByrne
When: 26 Dec 14 22:50
Just placed a large bet at those odds. Only worry is an injury, if he's done himself today or not.
By:
Graeme83
When: 26 Dec 14 23:29
If he's sound enough i think he will be an arkle horse. Unless he gets stuffed before then.
By:
CVByrne
When: 27 Dec 14 00:53
Never runs over 2 miles again. Lesson learned.
By:
Howdi
When: 27 Dec 14 01:24
not a 2 miler act up he won the supreme doing cartwheels CV you write some horlicks in here
By:
duffy
When: 27 Dec 14 02:33
Yeh, and I don't think it was the pace of the race that beat it today somehow....he smashed up clarcam hard on the bridle last time out.
By:
stevo1
When: 27 Dec 14 02:36
Think we will find out shortly he has a problem? Defo never looked in comfort zone at all.
By:
TheCollector
When: 27 Dec 14 08:14
As Howdi says...you do read some amount of b0llocks on here.....
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Dec 14 09:03
yeh, the complete disregard for all  the likely horses he may face at the festival.
Theres loads of good novices around this year.
Gilgamboa was a lot more impressive yesterday,and will probably contest the JLT and theres plenty of others.

Agree with CV in that he wont be in the Arkle, although I am not so sure he aint a 2 miler still.who knows what would have happened had he not made that mistake, and novices are allowed to, as long as they learn from them.
By:
sintonian
When: 27 Dec 14 09:14
Gobsmacked noone mentions the training of the horse. How many times have you seen Mullins send a novice chaser into a Grade 1 chase with 1 run and they end up falling? Guy never learns. MDH, Flat Out, CF, now Vautour.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 27 Dec 14 09:31
Horse never travelled in the race before his bad mistake and he clearly wasn't right. He thrashed the winner on the same terms on his debut. Be interesting to see what's reported over the next few days.
By:
wellchief
When: 27 Dec 14 09:32
From a personal point of view, I was quite fortunate to lay off my Arkle and Champion Chase bets on Xmas eve; but I've now reinvested that money with this bet.  6/1?  I can't believe it, out from a general 6/4.

Hills have now trimmed him back in to 9/2.

When Champagne Fever tripped up in the same race last year, he was eased from 3's to 5's for the Arkle, so it was an overreaction for the bookies to push Vautour out to 8's straight after.

Just shows with these novices though, like UDS in his first race, its a risky business going in big on them at short odds, because they can be prone to mistakes.
By:
Howdi
When: 27 Dec 14 09:37
just hope he hasnt picked up a knock.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 27 Dec 14 09:41
Not a 2miler? I think I've heard it all.

Sint, I know WPM's record is poor, but think its a bit harsh in this instance. Vautour was unbeaten and has looked nothing but exceptional. The way he jumped first time up was outstanding. As good as you could hope to see from a novice chaser IMO. I don't think they over faced the horse yesterday... Just agree that there must have been something wrong. That and the fact PT never seemed to get him into any sort of rhythm. Think the horse lost his confidence after a couple of dodgy jumps.
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Dec 14 09:47
Its possible hes not as good chasing as he was over hurdles??,it can happen.
Not saying I think that, he jumped really well on his debut as you say.
Hes a 2 miler, course he is, but its possible hes also a 2 and half miler and in time a 3 miler...who knows??
Its the job of trainer to work out his best distance at this time and the distance that gives him most chances of winning races.
His next entry will be interesting.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 27 Dec 14 10:23
what i noticed was that he was not given as "easy time " up front as he has had in his last few races, he was headed up front by real steel  ,don't know if its significant  and in no way crabbing vautour as he is obviously an exceptional talent ,who knows what would have happened without the mistake imo he needs further than 2m ,I know he pished up in the supreme but wpm has said he is a possible gold cup horse ,thing was he made the mistake 5 out but it was a slip on landing he didn't hit the fence and have the stuffing knocked  out him  ,he lost  about 2-3 lengths   and was quickly back in contention ,ground may have been an issue? or something may come up post race ??
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 27 Dec 14 10:35
Whether he hit the fence or not Foyles, that would still have taken plenty out of him.
I agree it's an over reaction from the bookies, he still has plenty of talent as we know.
It will interesting to hear the excuses from team Mullins, and where he goes next. I hope he bounces back and heads for the Arkle still.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 27 Dec 14 10:40
what bookies are going 6/1  any race?
By:
sj
When: 27 Dec 14 10:54
"Not a 2 miler" thats a unbelivable statement. He almost stopped to a walk up the run in. Do you think he would of won over further CV?
By:
Tory
When: 27 Dec 14 10:58
Unless I've really missed something I'm surprised people are saying he wasn't travelling and didn't look happy. I've watched it back this morning and he seemed to be going fine to me until he knuckled on landing and almost went over. The ground looked awful so maybe he didn't appreciate that too much and it stifled his fluency a little, but it's not like he was jumping badly beforehand. Given how he dispatched Clarcam first time out, and with the ground yesterday, I'm drawing a line underneath it unless of course something does come out in the next few days. He may well have strained something when he almost went
By:
Tory
When: 27 Dec 14 10:58
It was Hills Foyles but they are back into 9/2 now
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Dec 14 11:00
Think the crucial thing as far as future running plans are is what connections will be thinking after that yesterday.
Hopefully we will know sooner rather than later.
By:
Graeme83
When: 27 Dec 14 11:25
I'm not one for criticising jockeys, but i don't think that was the smartest of rides. Could be wrong, but he should have looked after it more.
By:
wellchief
When: 27 Dec 14 12:42
Yeah, I thought that.  After his chance had gone, I thought they could have been a bit easier on him in the home straight.
By:
CVByrne
When: 27 Dec 14 12:46
Too much whiskey for me last night!! Laugh He probably still goes for Irish Arkle next.

I've him to win any race at the festival now so I don't mind where he goes after that. I'm just near certain UDS and Vautour won't run in the same race, which would lead me to believe Vautour will go for the JLT.

Anyway, tired of the Vautour Cheltenham target talk. It won't end until he lines up in March.
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 27 Dec 14 12:51
PP still after Vautour in Arkle. Gone 8/1 this morning. Have stepped in. Cant let that go. Worth taking the chance.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 27 Dec 14 13:02
Agree entirely with you Graeme... PT seemed desperate for second when the race was over. Thought he might have been trying to teach him to battle, but seemed the wrong time to do it after the near fall.

I've never rated him as a jockey and thought he was pretty poor overall yesterday.
By:
Tory
When: 27 Dec 14 17:38
Willie Mullins is drawing a line through Vautour's defeat at Leopardstown on Friday.

Last year's Supreme Novices' Hurdle winner lost his position at the head of the betting for the Arkle when well beaten by Clarcam, whom he had beaten easily earlier in the season.

A bad blunder in the back straight contributed to his defeat, but Mullins also feels there was an underlying issue.

"I'm just drawing a line under Vautour's run. He wasn't right. I didn't actually see the race yet, but from talking to all my people at home in the stable and people who watched the race, the horse wasn't right," said the Closutton handler.

"I have my own reasons. People who were watching him said to me 'he just didn't stride the way he does'. I have my own reasons for that and I think he'll get over that and hopefully I'll bring him back to the way he was. Vautour will come back to himself."

Champagne Fever ran with credit in the King George before getting tired close home and the champion trainer said: "That's probably as good as he is. He'll probably get an entry in the Gold Cup, but he'd need to improve about a stone on the King George run to have a chance."

While Kalkir was also turned over at long odds on, he is another Mullins thinks will bounce back.

"I didn't expect him to get beaten and I think he'll come back from this," said Mullins.

He added of Christmas Hurdle hero Faugheen: "He's improving all the time and we were delighted with him.

"We went racing yesterday with four favourites going to Cheltenham and we knew they couldn't all win."
By:
Teletubbie
When: 28 Dec 14 11:34
As long as he's fit and well I am still v.confident. I was at Cheltenham for Supreme and have a compelling image of how Vautour charged up the hill. He may be more of a spring horse, his run early New Year 2014 was fairly average, struggled to beat Western Boy. Next run a month later he impressively beat the Tullow Tank.
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 28 Dec 14 21:30
I am sticking to the dream - Vautour (Arkle) and Kalkir (Triumph). Conditions at Leopardstown were extreme and the nose dive definitely negatively impacted Vautour and it makes no rationale sense for Clarcam to deliver such a huge reverse with Vautour. I am going to take advantage of the doubters and carry on loading on both Vautour and Kalkir - double and singles.
By:
Benjy
When: 28 Dec 14 21:52
So they'll all 'come back', cheers for that Willie Plain

How about considering alternative targets for Champagne Fever rather than helping us out with OR for the Gold Cup...
By:
Tory
When: 05 Jan 15 19:09
Entered in the Irish Arkle alongside UDS. Wonder if he'd run both seeing as the JLT is looking the race of the festival at the moment
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