Cheltenham Festival
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4-5 lengths imo
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Wont even place Bobs worth wins
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If the ground dries out you'd have to question whether he will even be there.
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4-5 lengths ahead of 5th maybe but erm that's it...3rd race in 3 months...watch him bounce all the way up the run in. If he turns up of course
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This another cert Clarky like Ruby Walsh riding a winner for Paul Nicholls at the Festival?
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How much NEEDLE will it get?
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I think it might well win, and would be shocked if it doesn't run. Even if the ground is good, I think they'll chance it. He's fully effective on quicker ground, for what it's worth, which makes the carrot of a Gold Cup victory all the more tempting (it would be understandable if they wanted to mind him because of previous injuries and he didn't act on decent ground, but only the first part of that is true).
More importantly, the form he showed in blitzing them in the Hennessy is up there with the best of what we've seen this season (behind only Silviniaco Conti's King George win in my opinion). He is a phenomenal jumper, which counts for a lot, he quickens smartly and looks like stamina will not be an issue. more importantly now, he won't be fighting Cue Card for the lead. This horse is a massive player now. As I type I am talking myself into a decent bet! |
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stamina wont be an issue after all the roids he,s been on for two years
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Cant see it taking part.
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is it unfortunate for connections?, go to a Ryanair check in desk and explain to all the travellers what a lovely guy oleary is
 then run as fast as you can, will oleary let this run and run you betya he will, for the good of the festival or not. |
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Unfortunate for connections my arse. Horse shouldnt be running. End of.
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I must say it was nice of the bha to inform everyone of their impeding arrival
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Horse will run and would not be surprised if he ran out an easy winner. He has all the form.
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Yes Alleged. Wouldn't want to turn up unannounced, look what trouble that has caused.
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Hope he gets ****
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Last Instalment doesn't worry me to be honest. Can't really see how he can beat Bobs Worth or Silviniaco Conti myself. Beating a 13yo 8 lengths who was pumped 30 in the Betfair then beat in a handicap isn't that big a deal IMO
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In fact I'd take it further by saying 7-1 is fooking rubbish lol
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Esp if Clarky is on it
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No disrespect intended of course...all fun n games
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Controls the pace, quickens coming down the hill, jumps them silly
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...gets booed back to the winners enclosure....fails the drugs test.
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So beating a 13yo means he's gonna easily beat the Cheltenham specialist and easy King George winner? WALOFS
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Bobs Worth is a very worthy favourite and no surprise to see him win but he is 7/4 and Last Instalment is 9/1 on here. Bobs was rank bad in the Betfair and then quietly impressive in the Lexus. Still, he beat First Lieutenant by a little over a length whereas the 9/1 alternative pulverised that same horse last time. First Lieut might not have run his race the last day, but then again, maybe he did. The ground was the same as in the Lexus.
Anyway, the point is that Last Instalment is the best jumper and will control the pace here. No surprise to see him take them along at nothing more than a gentle one and then wind it up from the front, which will put pressure on Bobs' and Conti's jumping (the latter is obviously a top-notcher but he fell last year and might not want this to be tactical either as he is a very sound stayer). Tidal Bay might be 13 but he is a mid-160 horse when on his game. Whichever way you rate the Hennessy, Last Instalment is a very good horse and he looked value for more than the winning margin. For the doubters, I suggest watching it again. He injects an impressive turn of foot to take lengths out of them in a few strides on turning in and should still be improving given his light workload in recent seasons (and this). Nonsensical for people to boo him if he wins. Obviously the trainer has a lot of questions to answer, but even if he is guilty, it might very well not be for this horse. Also, I suspect we're all being very naive if we think Fenton is the only trainer allowing vets to use steroids (if he even did - he is still innocent at this stage let's remember) when building horses back from injury. |
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Very well put Tom
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There may be some questions over the ground and distance but LI is the class horse in the field no matter where you look. Even as a novice he beat First Lieut quite readily also.
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He's the class horse in the field with the reigning Gold Cup n King George winners in there?you sure?
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Time will tell. Not long ago PFN was telling us that Silviniano
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Never ran at Cheltenham either...7s is a shocker man!
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Time will tell. Not long ago PFN was telling us that Chelts would not suit Conti and he may be right. Besides he couldnt beat First Lieut at Aintree last year either whereas BW and LI are tired beating him. I agree BW has proved everything but at the prices?
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Apparently they are doing a hair test on Last Instalment,and is that right that anything up to a year can be detetected??
Would be nice to know all is above board before the horse lines up in the Gold Cup. Incidentally, anyone know why The Tullow Tank was withdrawn so quickly?? And will he be tested as well?? |
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6 months I believe budd
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Pretty sure drugs can be detected in hair for up to six months so it would obviously have to be older, longer hair i.e from tail or mane as the coat is usually clipped fairly regularly.
Don't be surprised if LI turns up on the Friday with a very short tail and his mane cropped to a buzz cut  |
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Cheers lads. Would not have a clue myself, but it would be nice to know the horse has not been interfered with for at least a year,maybe not at all. And if it cannot be proved hes taken anything, then i guess he will be ok to run. I want him to run as hes my biggest winner of the week,but i do want it all to be above board. |
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I would have LI, Conti, and would have had Cue Card over Bob's Worth in this. Bob's is a shocking price, and can't see why he is half the price of Conti. It's his previous festival form that has him as favourite, when on this years races, Conti and LI should be ahead of him.
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^^^ Cue a torrent of abuse from Bobs Worth backers
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Yep, this seasons form has Bob behind those 2,absolutely.
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Well Festival form is clearly very relevant. He deserves to be favourite, being the reigning champ and 3/3 at the Festival, but I'd agree that he's plenty short enough.
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Just want to point out that I have nothing against Bobs at all. What's there not to like about a tough little battler like him?
It's just that repeat Gold Cup winners are extremely rare, and Conti and LI have performed better this season; its as simple as that. The question marks about Henderson and his yard have to enter the equation as well, because he's had a very poor season by his standards. It has to come down to price, and even though there is no Cue Card, I can't see how anyone would go in at 7/4. |
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Cue Card had no chance anyway unless they took 3 furlongs off but Bobs Worth is the Cheltenham horse.Last Instalment never even ran there and ok won the Hennessey but beating a 13yo and First Lieutenant who hated the ground and who never wins fook all along with other dogs isn't the best to be honest.
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I'm sure the Irish Hennesssey is a Mickey Mouse trial as well for this no?
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