
Jan 17, 2014 -- 12:15PM, Eeternaloptimist wrote:
Either you've misread or I haven't been clear. My thoughts are that the strongest of a bunch of confusing cases until proven otherwise remains with those saying The Fly will win. I may as well elaborate but it will probably only highlight my changing thoughts:I took a firm view following last seasons supreme. I thought that specific race was spectacularly good and decided that I would be following the front three this year. CF going chasing helped. In my mind I couldn't split Jezki and The Tent because each had something to recommend them over the other this season. When I saw The New One touched off by Zarkandar at Aintree this reinforced my view. I didn't pay too much attention to Our Conor because I think 5 year olds tend to need to be very good and the champion field average for those to win. I thought both that The Fly would be slightly on the wane at 10 and that this field would expose the slight reservations I have about him at Cheltenham.So this season starts and the first thing I see is TNO wiping the floor with ROR and I was seriously impressed. ROR is pretty consistent and the ease with which TNO stood him on his head gave me great pause for thought which was reinforced when he ran away from Zarkandar. But by this stage a nearly equally interesting newcomer had entered calculations because I was nearly as impressed by Annie Power at Ascot as I had been by TNO and thought if she was to run in the champion and get soft ground she would be a big player.Then TNO and The Tent meet at Kempton and the picture becomes a little murkier because depending on your view both emerge with reputations enhanced or slightly diminished. Then Annie Power smashes Zarkandar again in a slowly run two and a half miler on the kind of ground which would make her a serious player thus further thickening the plot.Then to put the top hat on after a lacklustre first run The Fly beats off Jezki apparently comfortably. How much do we allow that horse for McCoy's poor ride? How much do we allow for The Fly's apparent continuing brilliance in Ireland? Does the evidence of this season suggest that Jezki hasn't made the necessary improvement? Did Our Conor enhance his own claims despite being beaten off comfortably?So many questions. So I've resolved to stick with what I think I know. I think The Fly has shown that he is as good as ever. Consequently I still think it will take an outstanding performance to lower his colours in March. I think more than one horse might be capable of doing that but they have to go out on the track and do it and I couldn't be at all sure that one of them will or which one will.Glad I've cleared that up?
That is an excellent summation of how this years champion hurdle is shaping up. That fact that the Fly looks as good as ever suggests that it's going to take something really special to beat him and who's to say that a pretender of rare quality might not present himself (or herself!) yet. But in the absence of any concrete evidence for that so far I think it could be a case old the old dog for the hard road. Again.
There's a hurricane a comin'
Jan 22, 2014 -- 11:19PM, barnesy wrote:
So Willie Mullins and Nicky Henderson are plundering the winter prizes while Jessica Harrington, Dessie Hughes and Nigel Twiston-Davies peak their horses for the spring festivals. Sounds right!

Nail on the head bruv

Jan 23, 2014 -- 9:27AM, dwm767 wrote:
Let me clarify my points here...1) My Tent Or Yours & Hurricane Fly are taking a punt at the Champion Hurdle; The New One, Jezki & Our Conor are investing their season's in the one race.2) My Tent Or Yours was trained for the Christmas Hurdle; that was his seasonal target, mission accomplished, anything else is a bonus.3) Hurricane Fly is ahead of Jezki & Our Conor as regards condition; the latter pair will not peak until March 11th.I'll leave this alone now; just making the point for consideration that you might not want to take everything you've seen and heard to date on face value. I wouldn't be surprised if Our Conor repeats his Triumph Hurdle feat and wins going away on the bridle, I wouldn't be surprised if Jezki outstays them all to the line given a more prominent ride, and I wouldn't be surprised if The New One emulates Rooster Booster, cruises through the race and leaves them for dead jumping the last. I would be surprised if Hurricane Fly wins, and I would be even more surprised if My Tent Or Yours wins.Best of luck.
Jesus wept
Jan 23, 2014 -- 10:13PM, jasey wrote:
Well his record suggests otherwise
You must be mad or something. He's run there 3 times and only won 2 Champion Hurdles(placed in another).
You must be stone mad man
Jan 23, 2014 -- 9:45PM, tomdeane wrote:
I completely agree with that barnesy. To me it's pretty clear that he hasn't shown his best form at Cheltenham.
Care to flesh that out a little, after all he only beats the same old horses back in Ireland.
Surely a horse, by definition, must show his best form to win a championship race, or is the Cheltenham Festival just a bit of craic after some other main event I, alas am evidently not privy to?