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Joist,one more and the excuses have run out imo.
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Yep, well it's all about opinions, I'm probably miles off and as I say I've never been a fan of his and certainly never backed it before in my life and still haven't, but as a side note I kind of like it when occasionally I begin to entertain the chances of horses I previously have had my mind completely shut off to, that' been a problem a bit in the past for me certainly, the " no, that's not one of my horses" full stop syndrome
,this phenomenon is starting to happen with regards Captain Conan too.![]() |
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Yeh,i was like that with Boston Bob mate,but ive changed my mind somewhat after the RSA,and actually now think he has a decent chance of a big run in the Gold Cup.
Don't think I will ever be a fan of Captain Conan though,overrated aint he?? |
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With regards CC, I'm beginning to get in my head the reason he didn't get home over 20f at cheltenham was because (and admittedly I keep reading this) he was a weak horse last term but has had a really good summer and strengthened up immeasureably, if there is any truth to that, (and at least he did win over 20f a couple of times, although on one of those occasions he did it whilst walking up the run in at sandown
) then I'm on his side, incidentally, with the benefit of hindsight he may well have won that arkle mightn't he? |
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maybe,the way it panned out he would not have been far away for sure.That IS his distance though,imo.
Do think Simonsig is better than that performance though,and on his day would have him a fair way in front of CC. If CC were at any other stable I think he would stay at 2m,and imo Henderson is in danger of messing up CC as he did with Oscar Whisky!! |
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The result definitely wasn't what I was hoping for but I think he deserves another chance. If next time he runs on better ground with a quicker pace and disappoints again then I'm afraid that's games up.
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I think last weeks was a great improvement. He jumped great and he ran on under pressure. An even faster pace at Cheltenham will suit him better and as long as the ground isn't too soft on the 1st day then he will be bang there at the end. What do u guys think?
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I don't think you can be put off by his last run. People may be underestimating the form of the Henry VIII. I wouldn't be surprised to see either of the first two from Sandown winning the Arkle. Grandouet has had far fewer chase runs than Hinterland, and, despite being beaten by him twice, I'd fancy him to improve past the Nicholls horse. He seems quite a good price for the Arkle at present.
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Down to run at Kempton on 27th. Would like to see a nice win before being put away when ground gets worse.
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I've suddenly become interested in this horse for the Arkle having gone right off him for the Arkle after his debut. Clearly, my Taquin Dy Seiul punt has gone awol now, so that is one reason, but some very shrewd punter brought it to my attention that Grandouet has not had an uninterrupted seasons with injuries since his Triump hurdle year. At the age of 6, going on 7, he should now be in his physical prime and needs 3 or 4 consecutive runs for conditioning purposes. 12/1 might look a big price given his hurdles form and class.
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Ground won't be any worse than it is now, Giggsy!
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Shouldn't his hurdles class and form get him beating Hinterland??
I know a few, inc me, have pretty much underestimated Hinterland,but I would really expect Grandouet to have beaten him lto. Theirs just something about this horse that tells me he aint trustworthy, and imo there are more reliable ones for the Arkle at prices similar or bigger. |
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With CF getting turned over 2day ( I think he would've lost even if he didn't make that mistake) the Arkle betting is wide open. If Grandouet wins well 2mara he'll be an 8/1 chance.
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Valdez pulled out 2day so basically a 2 horse race. If he doesn't win 2day then it's game over as far as the Arkle is concerned.
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Sure is. I would say that he would need to win by at least 4 lengths too given he is receiving 6lb from Dodging Bullets.
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I'll show my ar$e if Grandouet wins the Arkle
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Well, that's his Arkle dream over imo. Jumped pretty well today but still very keen and found little.
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Yep, I'm gutted with that in all honesty, I couldn't have got him much more wrong if I tried...and boy did I try!...back to the drawing board.
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Haha, Duffy, we all know how much you love Grandouet.
I'm just glad I laid my stake off after his first defeat to Hinterland. I see no point in carrying on over fences; has to go Champion Hurdle for me now. |
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Be interesting 2 here what BG has 2 say about it. Ground was pretty soft and he was keen having 2 make his own running. Sprinter Sacre and Simonsig had 2 do it the hard way for the last 2 years and done it easily and judged on that performance 2day he's nowhere close to either of those. He has had 3 pretty quick runs which I don't think he has had before and 2 of those were on ground he would've hated. Wonder were they'll go next with him?
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I don't see the point in returning to hurdles. It's not like his form over fences isn't worth a tuppence. Those 2 close runs to Hinterland still say he can win races. Maybe he'll be in the Grand Annual
Imagine that. |
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am I the only 1 on here that still fancies him for the Arkle? fast pace and good ground will suit him. hates soft ground (don't know why Henderson ran him at Kempton) so his 2 disappointing runs are easily forgiven. what do you guys/gals think?
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Having backed him I would like to say I agree but my main worry with him (beside his jumping!) is that he hasn't won for over two years!
I couldn't believe that was true when I looked back over his form. Hopefully he can turn it around at Cheltenham but I just get the feeling he'll end up getting beaten by one or two others. Not bad value e/w though at 20/1 |
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i think his jumping has been pretty good. I just think the make up of the Arkle will play into his hands with a fast pace and plenty of runners to help him settle.
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I really liked his runs before the last one and had backed him, but last time put me right off him...I get that a strong pace where he can settle will suit him, but I just don't trust him anymore, he just fell in a hole after having it all his own way, and yes I know making his own running wouldn't have suited ideally but he should have been lasting a bit longer than that...totally fell to pieces, at some point in the arkle it's going to get tough....!!! I've done me money on him I'm afraid.
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Completely agree with Duffy. I fancied him before Kempton, but, even allowing for conditions not being right for him, he had to perform better than that. He doesn't have the bottle for an Arkle.
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Having said that, he's probably a decent back to lay prospect. It's likely he'll appear to be travelling well at some point before finding little.
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Down to run this Saturday. If it's soft ground hope Henderson pulls him out!
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