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Arkle 2014

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Replies: 1,372
By:
cufcno1
When: 15 Feb 14 19:19
deep enough,its only cost me about £50,fy hasnt run for a while,dodging bullets going through that slog last week wont have done that any good,and trifolium was below top class as a hurdler,but i do think it looked like a chaser if ever i seen 1,just dont think it will be good enough,be honest tory i thought you had to win last time out,got it wrong !
By:
cufcno1
When: 15 Feb 14 19:22
briar hill is my biggest winner,especially if it lines up in supreme,which looks highly unlikely now,had few hundred on it to win any race at 9-2 !
By:
alleged22
When: 15 Feb 14 19:33
I don,t think theres a hores training in the uk that has had an ideal prep for Cheltenham with the weather we have been having, what worries me about fever is he has been scheduled to run twice in the last 2 weeks and missed both engagements, that must be a worry to a backer, my arkle money should felix not participate will be coming back as a free bet and unless I hear some positivity regarding fever in the coming weeks then I will just have to sidestep him and find alternative value.
By:
cufcno1
When: 15 Feb 14 19:35
fair enough,i suppose i and many other backers are hoping he is a much better horse at cheltenham !
By:
alleged22
When: 15 Feb 14 19:36
my biggest winner is ballycasey and im worried that he hasn't had an ideal prep I would have liked another run for him, not far behind bally is faugheen, his prep has been awful he has run over 3 diferent distances, im in quite deep on both of them
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 15 Feb 14 19:39
The Tullow Tank, Silviniaco Conti to name but two have had a beautiful prep
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 15 Feb 14 19:42
Tullow Tank will be too streetwise for Faugheen and if I was a Champagne Fever fan comin in to this with a 3rd I wouldn't be too confident to be honest but then looking at the opposition it's a godawful Arkle
By:
alleged22
When: 15 Feb 14 19:44
I mean with the ground being heavy everywhere for the last 3 months bally, its not ideal is it...
By:
cufcno1
When: 15 Feb 14 19:45
im  about 20th in that wiliam hill 10 to follow,and have cf,ballcasey,faugheen,ss,briar hill and red sherlock,ballydoyle if i had put conti in instead of al ferof i would have been leading,ttt will be placed in either race and conti will place at least !
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 15 Feb 14 19:53
It's not alleged no but I do feel certain trainers have ballsed up with their prep of certain horses. Henderson flapping about over Tent..could easily have ran him in Irish Champ or today but instead runs in some daft jumper bumper. There's enough races out there if certain trainers looked.for champagne fever to only have had 2 runs over fences at this stage is laughable.
By:
cufcno1
When: 15 Feb 14 20:00
i agree with you,there the best 2 trainers aswell lol !
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 15 Feb 14 20:10
Paul Nicholls is a better trainer than Mullins.Hendo n Nicholls best two for me but each to their own. Mullins faffs about a hell of a lot. I think C Fever and F Yonger been far too overhyped. Faugheen also who has only won a grade 3. It's obvious that stable thought F Yonger was the Arkle one and now that he fluffed his lines all of a sudden it must be C Fever that wins the Arkle. Mullins sent F Yonger in on heavy when horse has had previous on it. Why? You have to wonder...he would be the most exciting prospect in it but at 4/1 you can find far far better value in other races
By:
Howdi
When: 15 Feb 14 21:16
corruptus in extremus  • February 15, 2014 10:49 AM GMT 


All you champagne fever fans are clutching at straw.Just like our felix yonger bets.The second coming isnt happening lads.Hope felix gets to run against him.Just another talking horse c f will become,regardless  YOU SERIOUS???
By:
Howdi
When: 15 Feb 14 21:17
wellchief  • February 15, 2014 11:17 AM GMT 


Whether you think Champagne Fever is a good thing or not, it would take something extraordinary for him not to place imo.  4/1 ew currently on offer is a good ew bet to nothing, and I'd be very surprised if he didn't finish in the top 3, so money back if placed, and a 4/1 winner if he dots up.

From previous lessons, its best not to do all your cash on the Supreme and Arkle as all the joy of the festival can go away pretty quickly!

THE FENCES COULD STOP HIM PLACING , THEY DID LAST TIME
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 15 Feb 14 21:18
Absolutely.one bad mistake and it's game over.
By:
Howdi
When: 15 Feb 14 21:22
the irish form really is mixed al beaten each other....dare I say it aint going to take much winning this???
By:
Howdi
When: 15 Feb 14 21:24
my 2 pence for what its worth....champagne fever is no value. loads to prove over fences. 2 runs poor prep. no run this year awful stat but I think Cheltenham is his track, he seems to love that hill and bounds up it, if he jumps well he wins.
By:
Howdi
When: 15 Feb 14 21:25
anybody watching trifolium last time out would find it hard to believe he got thrashed by the 2nd in the same season.
By:
buddeliea
When: 16 Feb 14 06:51
Ground mate,makes a heck of a difference in this game.Plus Trifolium went off a lot quicker when he got beat,and was ridden perfectly when he won lto.
By:
Andymca
When: 16 Feb 14 07:20
It would have been interesting if Mallowney had stayed on his feet  I guess we will see how good he is today
By:
buddeliea
When: 16 Feb 14 07:29
Very true,he was gonna be 2nd at the very worse imo.
By:
buddeliea
When: 16 Feb 14 07:32
Think it puts Ned Buntline in a good light as well, as NB beat Mallowney.
I know NB seems to have 2 ways of running,but his best form aint too shabby imo, and were he to line up in the Arkle on a good day,hes interesting and available at big odds on here.
Worse bets for a couple of quid around.
By:
Howdi
When: 16 Feb 14 09:00
Something about arkle I love, I think its the fact you can spend months thinking who may graduate.
By:
Howdi
When: 16 Feb 14 09:00
You going all four days this year Buddeliea?
By:
buddeliea
When: 16 Feb 14 09:17
Not going at all mate.
Aint been for ages but I do plan to change that at some point in the future.
Got into an annual routine now,watch it with me bruv at home. We enjoy it that way,sharing opinions etc and it seems to do us ok re money wise,not life changing amounts, but we do ok.
By:
tony2914
When: 16 Feb 14 09:36
Still pretty confident champ fever will prove to be a cut above the rest in the arkle.Granted his prep has been messy and given plenty of ammunition to the doubters, however they have always thought he would excel over fences and that was always the plan ie he was going to go chasing after his bumper season. A lot of the opposistion are bascically here because they couldn't cut the mustard over hurdles.I can honestly see him winning quite comfortably and if u look through the field imo hes the only one with the so called X factor. Its all about opinions !!!!
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 16 Feb 14 09:43
I hope you are right tony! However, there is no stand out candidate on chase form this year so we may see a few more runners than normal, which certainly won't help given his inexperience over fences. I'm not bothered at all about his lack of a recent run. He is a lightly framed horse who won't take a lot of getting/keeping fit.
By:
Howdi
When: 16 Feb 14 11:40
watch willie stick him in the Jewson just becauLaughse he can
By:
wellchief
When: 16 Feb 14 12:01
Yeah,of course if he doesn't get round he won't place, but that's why they have prep runs etc, to give them experience.  Much better to hit one in a prep run than give him easy small runner races where his jumping is not tested.  They would have learnt a lot from his race when he unseated and I'd be confident he won't make this mistake again.

Haven't got any stats, but the best usually come out on top in the Arkle (or are at least in the mix).  Off the top of my head, I can't think of any really fancied ones in the last few years who have fell or unseated; apart from Tatanen, but you'd have to think Champagne Fever is a lot better than him.

I'm not saying it won't happen, but it's not something that tends to happen too often.
By:
Howdi
When: 16 Feb 14 12:37
^^^ he's had no experience though chief - well not much!
By:
Howdi
When: 16 Feb 14 12:37
fair point that in recent times that none have come a cropper though
By:
Ramruma
When: 16 Feb 14 13:13
The bigger the field, the greater the certainty.

Something odd about Champagne Fever that might be just coincidence. His defeats, and he has been beaten five times at short prices, have all come in small-field races.

Perhaps he needs a strong, even-paced gallop to bring his stamina (he is bred for further) into play. If so, then (ironically) Mullins running Felix Yonger might actually help Champagne Fever. The last couple of Arkles have had small fields, perhaps as the Jewson-now-JLT has drawn runners away, but before that you'd expect larger turn-outs.
By:
sintonian
When: 16 Feb 14 13:17
Think it's dangerous to assumer just because a horse ran on heavy ground last time out it automatically means he had a hard race. You can tell by how tired they finish usually and DB looked normal as you'd expect imo.
By:
sintonian
When: 16 Feb 14 13:19
Dont Push It & Twist Magic both fell. I think Ashley Brook did too and Kauto Star ??
By:
wellchief
When: 16 Feb 14 13:23
Shut up Sint, I thought I was on to a good point then Laugh
By:
sintonian
When: 16 Feb 14 13:25
Laugh

Maybe it is written in the stars Well Chief. Looking at that list of names it tends to be the good ones that fall!
By:
Ramruma
When: 16 Feb 14 13:37
Boredom & Raceform Interactive combine to bring you this list of Arkle fallers in the last dozen or so runnings.

11/03/03 Adamant Approach 7/1 fell 2nd
11/03/03 Le Roi Miguel 11/1 lw: led tl fell 3rd
16/03/04 Tidour 33/1 hld up mid-div: hdwy 5th: trckd ldrs 8th:3l down and styng on in 4th whn fell 2 out
16/03/04 Puntal 50/1 in tch and reminders after 4th: bhd fr 7th: no ch whn bdly hmpd and uns rdr 2 out
16/03/04 Mister McGoldrick 50/1 led 2nd to 3rd: chsng ldrs whn hmpd 4 out: slt ld 3 out out: narrowly hdd next:wkng 12l 4th when blnd and uns last
16/03/04 Thisthatandtother 5/2F blnd 1st: fell next
16/03/04 Central House 11/1 rangy: lw: w ldrs 1st: styd front rnk: chal 7th: trcking ldr whn blnd and uns rdr 4 out
15/03/05 Kadount 20/1 hld up in rr: hdwy and travelling wl whn mstke and uns rdr 4 out
14/03/06 Accordion Etoile 7/1 in tch in midfield tl heavy fall 8th
13/03/07 Don't Push It 4/1 lw: chsd ldrs: hit 7th: styng on and gng wl disputing length 3rd whn fell 2 out
13/03/07 Twist Magic 12/1 in tch: hdwy to trck ldrs 8th: styng on wl and disp length 3rd whn fell 2 out
11/03/08 Clopf 11/1 uns rdr 1st
10/03/09 Tatenen 4/1F 2nd whn fell 3rd



Kauto Star never ran in the Arkle. He missed 2005 and fell in the Queen Mum the following year.
By:
wellchief
When: 16 Feb 14 13:45
Cheers mate.  So nothing in the last three or so years.

You can't go into a race thinking one might fall, otherwise you'd never have a bet.  Of course, any one of them can, but that's racing; if you're only small stakes like me, I'm betting on the assumption that all of them will make it round.
By:
Arklearkle
When: 16 Feb 14 14:11
No great ones in the fallers list - I suppose twist magic and dont push it who won the National were ok - interestingly both fell at same time. Would be surprised if CF does not emulate that lot.
By:
sintonian
When: 17 Feb 14 12:14
OK? Twist Magic won 4 Grade1's including 2 Tingle Creeks. He was a bit of a nutter though.
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