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Sprinter Sacre unbeaten for the season

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Replies: 94
By:
R Carver
When: 21 Aug 12 19:28
I too think AF would have found up the hill, as CC did, but I think SS would have toyed with him in similar fashion.

AF did not beat FR (who had problems) at Ascot, the stable have not said it but i think they are quite certain SS is better than FR (though only the track, should they meet, would prove it) so as interesting as it would have been to have seen AF with a clear round, I cannot imagine how he would have won.
By:
buddeliea
When: 21 Aug 12 19:44
Well we will never know for sure,and unfortunately in racing that happens.
What i do know is that both horses were going well at the time,and AF is a proven solid stayer over 2m at Cheltenham.
Shame.
It would have told us more for definite than we know at the moment.
By:
buddeliea
When: 21 Aug 12 19:44
Well we will never know for sure,and unfortunately in racing that happens.
What i do know is that both horses were going well at the time,and AF is a proven solid stayer over 2m at Cheltenham.
Shame.
It would have told us more for definite than we know at the moment.
By:
buddeliea
When: 21 Aug 12 19:45
Still,its good to have some unknown,gives us something to debate.
By:
R Carver
When: 21 Aug 12 20:10
Certainly is! That 'never knowing' can be a huge source of frustration but it is also what keeps the game (and the forum) going!

How are you keeping Budd - having a good summer? I hope you are not getting involved in the flat!?
By:
buddeliea
When: 21 Aug 12 20:50
keeping well thanks RC,enjoying the summer,what weve had of it!!
No involvment with the flat,not my cup of tea at all mate,although am interested in how Frankel gets on tomorrow,as he seems a bit special.

Just a nice break in Greece in September to come,and then its all systems go,culminating in March!!
By:
buddeliea
When: 21 Aug 12 20:52
Trust you are keeping well,and looking forward to the new season.
Not too long now mate.
By:
R Carver
When: 22 Aug 12 07:04
Sounds good Budd. My flat involvement is similar! Very much looking forwards to Chepstow now.
By:
Howdi
When: 23 Aug 12 20:50
with injury factored in if the race was tomorrow they must have him at about 1.4 to win it if hye gets thewre
By:
Dado Bear
When: 27 Aug 12 23:22
Fair point Foyles but in its prep race it lengthened when asked a question, albeit in a race it was expected to win. Henderson said straight after the Supreme it would win the following years Arkle and there is little debate it travelled like the best horse till outstayed up the hill. The horse certainly strengthened last year and with nautural improvement it would appear there is more to come.  Finians will surely be stepped up in trip this year and do we really see a heavily raced 11 year old coming back to win a champion chase having been turned over as a 10 year old ?

In all honesty I cant believe that Sanctuaire is put up as alternative as I think it is not in the same league as Sprinter.  I have never seen a novice take a shape like Sprinter does at a fence. No doubt there are better judges than me and 5/4 may not represent massive value to some.  To my eyes, its taking 5/4 on the horse getting there because unless something does a Master Minded and appears from nowhere there is only 1 winner of the Queem Mum in March and it aint Sanctuaire or Finians Rainbow or Sizing E.  This game is all about opinions and one mans banker is another lay.

This will be off short in March but it is nearly 7 months, with current interest rates I would rather take my chances on a 125% profit.  Roll on March !!
By:
strontium
When: 28 Aug 12 12:40
Dado, you're probably right - but you're not certainly right, which is why we bother running the races rather than just handing over the cup and the money now.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 29 Aug 12 11:51
yeah dado fair point and as said before sprinter sacre is the most likely winner at this stage but on official ratings he is only 3lb clear of sanctuaire , official ratings are not set in stone but are a fair  guide imo,sprinter sacre may prove to be exceptional and a class apart ,we know he can travel jump and quicken and get 2 miles at cheltenham ! the one thing we are unsure about is what will happen when(or if ) his jumping is put under pressure  and he is forced into a battle over the last 3 or 4 fences what will he find ? he is easy on the eye jumping fences and cruising around  on the bridal and he looks impressive but jumping fences under pressure is a different ball game, he may well be up to it  but untill then we dont know.

  for sure ,but in the tingle creek is when  we may find out .
am already on sanctuaire at around 14 on here and happy with that but all about opinions . good luck
By:
duffy
When: 30 Aug 12 15:18
couldn't possibly have sanctuaire as any sort of challenge myself, think 9/2 is a good price, don't think SS will run in the victor chandler, more likely to miss that and take in the game spirit.
By:
bluebirdfan
When: 31 Aug 12 10:22
I'm on Sanctuaire at 66/1 but he won't get near SS, he is the best horse I've seen
By:
strontium
When: 31 Aug 12 12:01
I understand the anti-Sanctuaire camp because he was such a dog as a hurdler. However, chasing seems to be the making of him. He absolutely flew round Sandown in 2 of his 3 chases (after excelling at Exeter in the first) and any novice that can do that should be taken seriously. Sprinter almost certainly is a (much) better horse, but don't take it for granted. If I had Sanctuarie at 66/1 I'd be delighted - an excellent trading opportunity at the very least.

I'm also puzzled how anyone can say SS is the best horse they've seen - he was only a novice last season, not the best chaser to run last season and possibly not even the best novice to run last season (thinking about Sir des Champs and Flemenstar who also both have enormous potential).
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 31 Aug 12 22:55
i also think that sanctuaire is very well suited to fences and also although he dissapointed on occasions over hurdles he was held up in most of those and it looks like  that he is better suited blasting off in front ,he seemed to pull in his hurdle races and ruby held on to him and he could have sulked ! certainly looks  a different horse over fences with front running tactics .
By:
buddeliea
When: 01 Sep 12 07:25
Best horse ive seenLaugh

Look,he looks an exceptional talent,but lets wait till he starts beating horses out of novice company!!

As for Sanctuaire,lively challenger for sure,and that Sandown display was as impressive a 2m performance i saw from the novices last season.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 01 Sep 12 08:35
Maybe bluebirdfan is a young lad and hasn't seen many chasers!

I'm an old soak and have followed jump racing for 40 years. I've never seen a 2 mile novice chaser jump better. For a big horse, he is incredibly nimble and athletic.

180 OR rating by the end of the season? That's entirely feasible. That still wouldn't make him the best but would put him up in the ether. Sanctuaire was impressive at Sandown on only his 3rd start over fences but his racing style will suit the monster down to the ground.
By:
Howdi
When: 01 Sep 12 16:17
I dont think saying SS is the best youve seen is that daft - he may be the best any of us have seen in 2 years time.

BEAST AND A HALF
By:
Masterminded
When: 01 Sep 12 18:32
Sprinter Sacre already ranks right up there in the best 2 mile chasers I have seen. He's already probably the best jumper I have seen and if he continues to progress he may be the best 2 miler ever. I mean he went through the whole of last season without coming off the bridle. Against novices or not he was a novice and took on experienced rivals in the Game Spirit and he hasn't come out of 2nd gear.
By:
racingguru
When: 01 Sep 12 19:45
SS for me hasn't done a rating remotely close to what Masterminded did in his infamous QM rout but then again MM never did it again. For me if SS proves to find significant amounts off the bridle then he could be really very special but at this stage I reserve judgement as IMO Al Ferof was running a big one in the Arkle till that blunder. Not saying he would have won but it would have been interesting to see how SS would have fared if his biggest rival ran a clean race.
By:
strontium
When: 01 Sep 12 20:14
He could become one of the best - he's loaded with potential - but it's tough to say he is already. He just hasn't beaten that much yet, which isn't his fault because he scared a lot of horses off and he was a novice, but it does hold down the rating he deserves so far. He was outstanding in Game Spirit but against journeyman opposition. He'll have to start hammering the likes of Finians Rainbow and Sizing Europe to get his rating up (which he may well do). But that's all about the future. To say he's already the equal or better of Master Minded, Kauto Star or Denman (to name just three very recent examples) is not credible.
By:
Howdi
When: 01 Sep 12 21:14
^^^ good post but he could take everyones conkers yet. Love to see him trounce the big boys gonna be very hard to rate then by Mr Smith.
By:
duffy
When: 03 Sep 12 13:44
Sanctuaire reminds me of a type that will look good when it all goes to plan but his back story shows him to be fickle and untrustworthy, that sandown run sticks in peoples minds....we see those type of performances every now and then that get people confused don't we......mon parrain at sandown was one and tataniano at aintree a couple of seasons back was another.....sanctuaires run was another of those types.
By:
duffy
When: 03 Sep 12 13:49
I agree,we don't need to be proclaiming SS as the greatest just yet do we, the great thing about it is that unlike the flat he'll have every chance to prove it over the next couple of years, one snag, certainly in the immediate future is that he is going to be hit over the head with the "what's he beat" tag as finian's wasn't a good queen mum winner and sizing is probably past his best, other than that , it's looking a bit thin.
By:
strontium
When: 03 Sep 12 14:46
Interesting posts Duffy and I'd had similar thoughts. Sanctuaire did at least put in two good rounds at Sandown but they could be unrepresentative (and were late in the season which can also be misleading). Tatatiano's an interesting one though - he put in a very good performance in his one run last season (at Chepstow) before getting injured again so I'm not certain his Aintree star performance was a complete one off. I was disappointed he couldn't make another run last season.

I suspect you're right with Sprinter Sacre and "what has he beat?" (even if/when he beats Finians and Sizing). I can see that becoming a long and fruitless debate on here.... the 2 milers could well  be a thin division. For that reason, let's hope Sanctuaire and Tataiano (and perhaps Edgardo Sol) are up to being a yardstick for the mighty Sprinter Sacre.

Out of interest, I didn't buy the RP today - does anyone know which one Nicholls was talking up as pontentially one of his best 2 milers ever (a big claim, if true)?
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 03 Sep 12 15:16
nicholls says that sanctuaire is hopefully up there with the best 2 milers we have had ,on a mark of 66 he is the highest rated novice chaser we have had for 21 years ,since swithing to fences his form has been extraordinary in that not even grade 2 2 milers have been able to match strides or jump with him .
nicholls outlined a light but agressive campaign centered around the tingle creek and qmcc "we think he is best fresh so straight to sandown then we will keep him fresh for the festival ,he is hugely talented but enigmatic so we will have to keep his mind right .
By:
duffy
When: 03 Sep 12 16:19
he is hugely talented but enigmatic so we will have to keep his mind right .

See, that comment would put me off right away,it tells us that his good performances from last season were achieved without his old bad habits being eradicated, you'd have to be very worried that at some point when they don't get it 100% right, he'll let his supporters down big time, certainly having SS running upsides him him will test his resolution for sure.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 03 Sep 12 16:38
having watched his hurdle races my thoughts were that sanctuaire didnt like being held onto ,seemed to be pulling and wanted to go  and got moody when he didnt get his own way ,blasting off in front suits him ,just giving him a few races may  keep him keen . whether he can give sprinter a race we will have to wait and see , but we wont have to wait too long now ..........tingle creek on the agenda for both of em it seems .
By:
duffy
When: 03 Sep 12 16:42
I'm sure that if henderson could create the perfect horse to have in a race for SS it would be sanctuaire.
By:
strontium
When: 03 Sep 12 16:44
Thanks for posting that Foyles.
By:
wellchief
When: 03 Sep 12 17:35
I've had little nibbles at Tataniano - at 70's to win and 14's to place.  If he lines up in the race, I would definitely lay off the win part, but I think the place bet will look quite good - he is only rate 2 lbs below Sanctuaire; one is 9.4 and one is 75?  I know injury is factored into his price, but imo there shouldn't be such a discrepency between them - especially if there is good ground in March.

He was 3/1 second fav on the eve of last year's Tingle Creek, with Ruby booked for the ride.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 03 Sep 12 18:42
momentum gathers when we have what could be a special horse on our hands, and peoples judgement can get clouded by the the hype that increases after every race that he wins i am in no way knocking the horse and sprinter sacre could be just that a superstar ! and the superlatives were flying about on here and on the racing grapevine last season, and no doubt they will be  this season as well ,it seems that he is already past the post for the tingle creek and  champion chase in many peoples eyes  although there are some more level headed posters here who reserve judgement , he may well win the tingle creek .  champion ect and we all want to see a one off true champion over jumps ,even more so now we have a frankel lighting up the flat ,it would be great to have a similar household name to take over from kauto star .
there was a similar situation regarding hurricane fly last year ,only had to turn up to win the champion hurdle  one poster even quoted "'hurricane fly turns up 80 per cant fit for the champion hurdle the others are toast ",we all know what happened there . may be iam pocket talking having opposed sprinter for the champion but untill he proves it in a battle there has to be a doubt for me .we may see what he can do in the tingle creek ,if all the main protaganists turn out for the sandown race it should be a cracker ............watching sanc sizing and sprinter and possibly cue card and menorah taking the railway fences at speed will be some sight ...........and not too long to wait till the real racing starts ............bring it on !
By:
racingguru
When: 03 Sep 12 20:19
Ah Tataniano ....leaves a bitter taste in my mouth. Think I overrated his Aintree win a bit but nonetheless thought he'd be Ruby's mount for the QM for the future. 2 years of ante post no shows leaves me frustrated about him as really don't know what to think.

Yes, he seems fragile, needs fast ground and takes very little racing but has done some big ratings in my books. Think it will be a big bet first time up and then give up on it.
By:
R Carver
When: 04 Sep 12 18:55
Racing, I too was very taken (probably overly so) by his Aintree run - electric, no other word for it! If he is over his problems I think he is good, but i fear too much water has gone under the bridge to reach te top now. FTO could be the moment, I agree.

--

Re Sanctuaire, I do not have anything more to add than what I added on Whitbread day - the form of Sanctuaire's last run is seriously debatable IMO, but he will be razor sharp (no point Nicholls piching up half fit against the champion elect, he needs to know where he stands, and on a 'home' track, why not?), has strong track form, appears to love the track and acts well round the chase course there and front runs (at Sandown those are a good advantage IMO). The only concern IMO for SS is that BJG does not give Sanctuaire too much rope. I do not think he will let that happen so I think SS fans should be ok.
By:
racingguru
When: 04 Sep 12 21:48
R Carver - on sheer ratings I don't have Sanctuaire too far behind SS at present but I'm pretty certain Sanctuaire won't find at all and needs to have things his way (which will normally happen) and SS (may find but not a given by any means). Always the chance that SS bowling in front puts pressure on SS jumping. Be interesting to see.
By:
racingguru
When: 04 Sep 12 21:48
Sanct bowling along in front that is.
By:
duffy
When: 04 Sep 12 23:44
Don't think there is any need for concern over sanctuaire getting too much rope, SS himself is never too keen on letting anything get too far away from him is he, never mind the jockey.Grin,as said earlier, sanctuaire is perfect for SS, he will be his very own bullet trainGrin
By:
shockster
When: 05 Sep 12 09:11
Let's just say Sanctuaire beats SS at Sandown in the Tingle Creek.  From the majority of comments on here, I will be reading that Sandown is Sanctuaires track and Cheltenham will be different.  The excuses will start!!!!

I too believe SS is the better horse, but Sanctuaire looks a serious animal too and should he beat him at Sandown barring accidents, don't be too surprised if he confirms the form.
By:
strontium
When: 05 Sep 12 11:20
That's a good post Shockster. These superstar novices often do get found out - how often does it happen in the Supreme? Grands Crus was being talked about in a similar way in the middle of last season (and still would be if he hadn't had his RSA blip).

Also, this is National Hunt racing - even the greatest get beaten quite a lot. Kauto Star lost 12 of 31 over fences. Denman 9 of 19, Dessie 36 of 70, Master Minded 10 of 25, Best Mate 5 of 16. I can't find chase numbers for Mill House but he lost 18 of 34 in all racing. Even Arkle lost 4 of 26 steeplechases.

I.e. even horses we rightly regard as great or even all-time-great only won 50-60% of their races over fences over the course of their careers (the freak Arkle excepted). On that basis alone, Sprinter Sacre is far more likely than not to lose at some point, probably to lose quite a few.
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